Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.7200 (1.34%) ($31.4400 - $31.7400) on Wed. Jan. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $31.7200(1.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    EWJ(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-4%)    XLE(0%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.13(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.98(2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.01(2.29%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 0.53%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(71%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.05%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.64%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2014	29.12	31.01	30.98	31.13	31.16	31.36	31.72(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	26	50	42	-22	2.61	60%	0.21	73.6	0.81%	0	1.8	56	0
2	Jan_14_2014	29.06	30.94	30.96	30.95	30.95	31.03	31.3(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	20	13	-45	5.01	57%	0.14	56.8	0.8%	0	0.8	53	0
3	Jan_13_2014	29.02	30.86	30.99	30.88	30.95	30.95	30.85(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	20	5	-40	2.23	53%	0.14	45	0.78%	0	-0	54	0
4	Jan_10_2014	28.98	30.81	31.05	30.87	30.88	30.88	31.05(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	0	13	-19	2.01	58%	0.14	38.4	0.77%	0	0.5	60	0
5	Jan_9_2014	28.94	30.75	31.09	30.87	30.84	30.81	30.75(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-0	-4	-14	2.09	56%	0.17	32.3	0.81%	0	0	58	0

6	Jan_8_2014	28.89	30.72	31.14	30.79	30.84	30.88	30.82(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	20	-13	8	3.01	56%	0.14	30.7	0.81%	0	0.2	66	0
7	Jan_7_2014	28.85	30.69	31.17	30.97	30.82	30.86	30.91(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-15	53	2.54	56%	0.14	36.8	0.81%	0	0.3	64	0
8	Jan_6_2014	28.81	30.66	31.16	31.13	31.04	30.76	30.8(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-70	-20	94	6	56%	0.14	41.1	0.82%	0	0.2	69	0
9	Jan_3_2014	28.77	30.61	31.15	31.27	31.25	30.78	30.65(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-110	-53	122	2.6	56%	0.14	42.9	0.82%	0	0.1	68	0
10	Jan_2_2014	28.73	30.57	31.14	31.43	31.45	31.32	30.75(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	15	-30	-36	167	4.64	56%	0.21	44.6	0.82%	0	0.3	66	0

11	Dec_31_2013	28.67	30.53	31.08	31.52	31.6	31.71	31.76(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	30	27	245	1.89	69%	0.17	48.2	0.7%	0	1.8	79	0
12	Dec_30_2013	28.62	30.46	30.92	31.39	31.44	31.59	31.68(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	80	40	31	227	1.21	69%	0.18	50.7	0.71%	0	1.9	73	0
13	Dec_27_2013	28.57	30.39	30.73	31.2	31.3	31.48	31.51(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	50	38	192	2.64	69%	0.18	55.4	0.72%	0	2	72	0
14	Dec_26_2013	28.52	30.33	30.55	31.01	31.09	31.3	31.43(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	72	60	41	166	2.55	69%	0.28	58.3	0.72%	0	2.2	76	0
15	Dec_24_2013	28.44	30.27	30.39	30.81	30.85	31.11	31.24(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	60	46	143	0.96	69%	0.14	62	0.72%	0	2.3	75	0

16	Dec_23_2013	28.4	30.2	30.26	30.57	30.64	30.89	31.1(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	63	60	48	109	1.74	69%	0.18	59.7	0.72%	0	2.5	66	0
17	Dec_20_2013	28.35	30.14	30.16	30.39	30.39	30.59	30.74(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	50	38	73	1.88	67%	0.14	59	0.71%	0	2	52	0
18	Dec_19_2013	28.31	30.09	30.09	30.19	30.25	30.4	30.55(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	40	41	33	2.13	67%	0.14	48.4	0.71%	0	1.6	47	0
19	Dec_18_2013	28.27	30.04	30.01	30.01	30.05	30.18	30.44(1.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	13	30	23	-18	7.28	72%	0.14	32	0.71%	0	1.4	49	0
20	Dec_17_2013	28.23	30	29.94	30.01	29.9	30.11	30.04(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	50	12	-50	2.36	70%	0.14	32.3	0.76%	0	0.1	46	0

21	Dec_16_2013	28.19	29.99	29.93	29.89	29.89	29.93	30.17(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	10	16	-50	2.25	72%	0.14	39.8	0.76%	0	0.6	52	0
22	Dec_13_2013	28.15	29.96	29.95	29.9	29.87	29.69	29.73(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-50	-25	-56	1.24	69%	0.11	48.5	0.75%	0	-0.8	48	0
23	Dec_12_2013	28.12	29.95	30.03	29.99	30	29.86	29.67(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-30	-17	-20	1.62	69%	0.14	61.5	0.76%	0	-0.9	52	0
24	Dec_11_2013	28.08	29.94	30.11	30	30.1	30.04	29.85(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-0	-3	8	2.19	69%	0.11	60	0.75%	0	-0.3	59	0
25	Dec_10_2013	28.05	29.91	30.15	29.98	30.04	30.15	30.05(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	30	3	19	0.96	72%		54	0.75%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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