Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.2400 (0.45%) ($31.0300 - $31.2700) on Tue. Dec. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $31.2400(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    EWJ(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    XBI(-2%)    UNG(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.81(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.39(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.27(3.2%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.41%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 0.64%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 0.98%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2013	28.44	30.27	30.39	30.81	30.85	31.11	31.24(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	60	46	143	0.96	69%	0.14	62	0.72%	0	2.3	75	0
2	Dec_23_2013	28.4	30.2	30.26	30.57	30.64	30.89	31.1(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	63	60	48	109	1.74	69%	0.18	59.7	0.72%	0	2.5	66	0
3	Dec_20_2013	28.35	30.14	30.16	30.39	30.39	30.59	30.74(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	50	38	73	1.88	67%	0.14	59	0.71%	0	2	52	0
4	Dec_19_2013	28.31	30.09	30.09	30.19	30.25	30.4	30.55(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	40	41	33	2.13	67%	0.14	48.4	0.71%	0	1.6	47	0
5	Dec_18_2013	28.27	30.04	30.01	30.01	30.05	30.18	30.44(1.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	13	30	23	-18	7.28	72%	0.14	32	0.71%	0	1.4	49	0

6	Dec_17_2013	28.23	30	29.94	30.01	29.9	30.11	30.04(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	50	12	-50	2.36	70%	0.14	32.3	0.76%	0	0.1	46	0
7	Dec_16_2013	28.19	29.99	29.93	29.89	29.89	29.93	30.17(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	10	16	-50	2.25	72%	0.14	39.8	0.76%	0	0.6	52	0
8	Dec_13_2013	28.15	29.96	29.95	29.9	29.87	29.69	29.73(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-50	-25	-56	1.24	69%	0.11	48.5	0.75%	0	-0.8	48	0
9	Dec_12_2013	28.12	29.95	30.03	29.99	30	29.86	29.67(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-30	-17	-20	1.62	69%	0.14	61.5	0.76%	0	-0.9	52	0
10	Dec_11_2013	28.08	29.94	30.11	30	30.1	30.04	29.85(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-0	-3	8	2.19	69%	0.11	60	0.75%	0	-0.3	59	0

11	Dec_10_2013	28.05	29.91	30.11	30	30.04	30.15	30.05(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	30	3	19	0.96	72%	0.14	54	0.75%	0	0.4	55	0
12	Dec_9_2013	28.01	29.88	30.15	29.98	29.94	30.16	30.21(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	50	12	29	1.18	74%	0.14	50.4	0.77%	0	0.8	59	0
13	Dec_6_2013	27.97	29.82	30.13	30.02	29.91	29.94	30.16(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-0	4	39	1.97	74%	0.14	51.1	0.79%	0	0.8	60	0
14	Dec_5_2013	27.93	29.77	30.09	30.1	30	29.72	29.74(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-80	-29	45	2.32	72%	0.14	49.3	0.78%	0	-0.1	58	0
15	Dec_4_2013	27.89	29.74	30.07	30.23	30.21	29.87	29.75(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	-80	-41	64	4.41	72%	0.14	52.9	0.78%	0	0	61	0

16	Dec_3_2013	27.85	29.71	30.08	30.33	30.38	30.28	30.02(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-20	-19	105	2.72	76%	0.14	51.2	0.77%	0	0.6	69	0
17	Dec_2_2013	27.81	29.68	30.06	30.34	30.41	30.54	30.44(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	40	16	139	2.75	82%	0.18	50	0.74%	0	1.6	76	0
18	Nov_29_2013	27.76	29.62	29.98	30.24	30.31	30.49	30.57(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	50	36	148	1.51	82%	0.29	42.8	0.75%	0	2.1	82	0
19	Nov_27_2013	27.68	29.55	29.87	30.07	30.13	30.28	30.38(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	58	40	33	132	2.75	68%	0.22	34.9	0.77%	0	2.2	82	0
20	Nov_26_2013	27.62	29.5	29.76	29.89	29.95	30.12	30.24(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	50	20	98	1.94	68%	0.18	27.7	0.83%	0	2.2	69	0

21	Nov_25_2013	27.57	29.47	29.65	29.8	29.82	29.98	30.07(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	40	19	91	2.34	68%	0.22	25.5	0.83%	0	2.1	70	0
22	Nov_22_2013	27.51	29.44	29.57	29.74	29.75	29.78	29.93(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	10	12	79	4.45	70%	0.11	33	0.83%	0	1.9	59	0
23	Nov_21_2013	27.48	29.43	29.49	29.68	29.74	29.66	29.72(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10	1	65	1.5	70%	0.18	41.5	0.85%	0	1.2	60	0
24	Nov_20_2013	27.43	29.42	29.41	29.63	29.72	29.72	29.5(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	10	-1	50	3.91	70%	0.18	52.6	0.85%	0	0.3	53	0
25	Nov_19_2013	27.38	29.41	29.39	29.6	29.66	29.81	29.8(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	40	21	50	1.77	74%		65.4	0.84%	0	1.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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