Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $30.3800 (0.46%) ($30.3300 - $30.4400) on Wed. Nov. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $30.3800(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    EWJ(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(3%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.07(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.87(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.55(2.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.34%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.16%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.9%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.35%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_27_2013	27.68	29.55	29.87	30.07	30.13	30.28	30.38(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	58	40	33	132	2.75	68%	0.22	34.9	0.77%	0	2.2	82	NAN
2	Nov_26_2013	27.62	29.5	29.76	29.89	29.95	30.12	30.24(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	50	20	98	1.94	68%	0.18	27.7	0.83%	0	2.2	69	NAN
3	Nov_25_2013	27.57	29.47	29.65	29.8	29.82	29.98	30.07(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	40	19	91	2.34	68%	0.22	25.5	0.83%	0	2.1	70	NAN
4	Nov_22_2013	27.51	29.44	29.57	29.74	29.75	29.78	29.93(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	10	12	79	4.45	70%	0.11	33	0.83%	0	1.9	59	NAN
5	Nov_21_2013	27.48	29.43	29.49	29.68	29.74	29.66	29.72(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10	1	65	1.5	70%	0.18	41.5	0.85%	0	1.2	60	NAN

6	Nov_20_2013	27.43	29.42	29.41	29.63	29.72	29.72	29.5(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	10	-1	50	3.91	70%	0.18	52.6	0.85%	0	0.3	53	NAN
7	Nov_19_2013	27.38	29.41	29.39	29.6	29.66	29.81	29.8(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	40	21	50	1.77	74%	0.18	65.4	0.84%	0	1.7	53	NAN
8	Nov_18_2013	27.33	29.39	29.32	29.47	29.49	29.73	29.74(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	60	26	23	2.92	74%	0.18	73.1	0.84%	0	1.5	49	NAN
9	Nov_15_2013	27.28	29.36	29.27	29.38	29.33	29.51	29.66(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	40	27	5	7.87	74%	0.18	75.6	0.84%	0	1.3	49	NAN
10	Nov_14_2013	27.23	29.32	29.22	29.27	29.24	29.26	29.45(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	0	18	-26	1.47	74%	0.18	72	0.84%	0	0.5	43	NAN

11	Nov_13_2013	27.18	29.3	29.21	29.17	29.24	29.16	29.33(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	0	-3	-54	1.57	74%	0.15	62.5	0.84%	0	0.1	42	NAN
12	Nov_12_2013	27.14	29.26	29.22	29.16	29.13	29.22	29.19(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	20	8	-50	2.84	74%	0.18	65.5	0.84%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
13	Nov_11_2013	27.09	29.23	29.27	29.13	29.16	29.11	29.28(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10	4	-52	0.84	74%	0.15	63.9	0.84%	0	0.1	45	NAN
14	Nov_8_2013	27.05	29.19	29.3	29.15	29.1	29.05	29.08(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-20	-14	-45	1.27	75%	0.15	65.3	0.84%	0	-0.3	54	NAN
15	Nov_7_2013	27.01	29.15	29.36	29.17	29.18	29.21	28.96(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	10	-4	-23	3.86	75%	0.07	64.6	0.85%	0	-0.4	53	NAN

16	Nov_6_2013	26.99	29.12	29.43	29.25	29.2	29.21	29.28(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10	-5	4	1.54	79%	0.11	59.7	0.83%	0	0.3	62	NAN
17	Nov_5_2013	26.96	29.04	29.44	29.3	29.22	29.16	29.06(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-20	-20	22	1.52	79%	0.07	53.5	0.84%	0	0	64	NAN
18	Nov_4_2013	26.94	28.98	29.49	29.42	29.36	29.24	29.36(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-30	-10	70	1.26	83%	0.11	52.8	0.83%	0	0.6	76	NAN
19	Nov_1_2013	26.91	28.91	29.46	29.47	29.45	29.28	29.2(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-40	-24	87	2.23	84%	0.11	54.4	0.83%	0	0.4	73	NAN
20	Oct_31_2013	26.88	28.85	29.44	29.57	29.55	29.49	29.34(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-20	-14	121	1.94	84%	0.11	56.9	0.84%	0	0.7	79	NAN

21	Oct_30_2013	26.85	28.78	29.4	29.63	29.62	29.49	29.54(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-0	2	155	3.12	84%	0.15	59.9	0.83%	0	1.1	87	NAN
22	Oct_29_2013	26.81	28.71	29.32	29.6	29.63	29.61	29.66(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-0	2	179	3.15	84%	0.11	61.5	0.83%	0	1.4	94	NAN
23	Oct_28_2013	26.78	28.63	29.19	29.57	29.58	29.64	29.62(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	20	12	199	2.04	84%	0.11	63.9	0.83%	0	1.5	91	NAN
24	Oct_25_2013	26.75	28.54	29.07	29.44	29.53	29.65	29.68(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	40	25	201	1.33	84%	0.11	62.9	0.84%	0	1.8	85	NAN
25	Oct_24_2013	26.72	28.45	28.93	29.3	29.36	29.52	29.63(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	40	24	193	1.57	84%		62.3	0.84%	0	2	79	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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