Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $28.1000 (-0.11%) ($27.8900 - $28.1200) on Wed. Oct. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $28.1000(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(3%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.99(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.51(2.14%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.41%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -0.61%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.85%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.28%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2013	26.35	27.51	27.99	28	27.96	28.03	28.1(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	11	66	2.38	77%	0.08	69.9	0.88%	0	0.8	75	0
2	Oct_1_2013	26.33	27.41	28	27.98	27.93	28.03	28.13(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-20	5	84	6.06	77%	0.08	62.5	0.91%	0	0.9	71	0
3	Sep_30_2013	26.31	27.3	27.94	27.93	27.91	27.89	27.81(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10	-7	91	1.9	76%	0.04	55.6	0.9%	0	0.6	71	0
4	Sep_27_2013	26.3	27.19	27.91	27.93	27.95	27.97	28.03(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	10	3	123	1.31	76%	0.08	45.6	0.9%	0	1	82	0
5	Sep_26_2013	26.28	27.09	27.83	27.94	27.92	27.94	27.95(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	34	0	-3	145	1.24	76%	0.08	39.2	0.91%	0	1	84	0

6	Sep_25_2013	26.26	26.99	27.74	27.97	27.94	27.93	27.98(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	41	-10	-4	177	1.48	76%	0.08	37.9	0.91%	0	1.1	85	0
7	Sep_24_2013	26.24	26.91	27.65	28.02	28	27.89	27.88(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	55	-30	2	215	2.13	71%	0.08	39	0.92%	0	1.1	82	0
8	Sep_23_2013	26.22	26.85	27.56	27.95	27.99	27.96	27.88(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	-0	2	231	1.52	71%	0.08	40.8	0.94%	0	1.2	84	0
9	Sep_20_2013	26.2	26.8	27.42	27.87	27.9	28.1	28(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	78	50	22	246	1.19	59%	0.11	41.1	0.96%	0	1.5	87	0
10	Sep_19_2013	26.17	26.74	27.22	27.69	27.77	28.02	28.09(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	83	70	38	219	3.44	55%	0.11	38.6	1.05%	0	1.8	82	0

11	Sep_18_2013	26.14	26.66	27	27.47	27.49	27.7	28.25(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	68	60	29	184	2.91	55%	0.08	31.4	1.09%	0	2.3	81	0
12	Sep_17_2013	26.12	26.57	26.77	27.24	27.28	27.53	27.54(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	70	25	159	1.79	53%	0.11	25.1	1.04%	0	1.7	67	0
13	Sep_16_2013	26.09	26.52	26.59	27.11	27.15	27.29	27.47(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	40	33	124	2.8	53%	0.08	20.5	1.06%	0	1.8	53	0
14	Sep_13_2013	26.07	26.48	26.41	26.89	26.98	27.03	27.1(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	20	21	70	2.09	52%	0.12	10.5	1.05%	0	1.3	48	0
15	Sep_12_2013	26.04	26.46	26.29	26.68	26.79	27.01	26.97(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	70	27	25	2.39	52%	0.08	-1.1	1.06%	0	1.1	47	0

16	Sep_11_2013	26.02	26.45	26.18	26.46	26.53	26.93	27.1(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	30	110	42	-5	2.6	52%	0.12	-10.3	1.06%	0	1.4	56	0
17	Sep_10_2013	25.99	26.43	26.1	26.23	26.25	26.57	26.89(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	23	90	44	-40	3.6	52%	0.12	-20.6	1.06%	0	1	51	0
18	Sep_9_2013	25.96	26.41	26.08	26.01	25.98	26.14	26.41(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	40	24	-71	2.91	49%	0.12	-35.3	1.04%	0	0	45	0
19	Sep_6_2013	25.93	26.43	26.13	25.86	25.87	25.93	26.01(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	20	9	-92	2.97	50%	0.08	-45.8	1.03%	0	-1	36	0
20	Sep_5_2013	25.91	26.46	26.22	25.84	25.87	25.82	25.88(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	0	-1	-96	1.73	48%	0.08	-48.5	1.04%	0	-1.3	33	0

21	Sep_4_2013	25.89	26.49	26.29	25.86	25.8	25.81	25.96(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-0	-6	-102	1.57	48%	0.04	-48.4	1.05%	0	-1.3	33	0
22	Sep_3_2013	25.88	26.52	26.36	25.94	25.85	25.78	25.8(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-30	-22	-104	3.9	48%	0.08	-43.5	1.05%	0	-1.8	29	0
23	Aug_30_2013	25.86	26.57	26.45	26.17	26	25.8	25.66(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-46	-70	-34	-83	3.44	48%	0.04	-25	1.06%	0	-2.6	33	0
24	Aug_29_2013	25.85	26.63	26.57	26.44	26.32	25.93	25.89(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-40	-120	-36	-52	2.71	48%	0.04	2.9	1.07%	0	-2.6	34	0
25	Aug_28_2013	25.84	26.67	26.66	26.66	26.6	26.2	26.01(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-34	-110	-36	-26	11.61	48%		32.2	1.07%	0	-2.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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