Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.6300 (0.57%) ($26.4900 - $26.7100) on Mon. Jun. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $26.6300(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(4%)    BNDX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.28(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.31(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.28(1.33%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.03%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.1%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.38%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2013	25.28	26.28	26.31	26.28	26.26	26.47	26.63(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	14	50	18	3	8.2	51%	0.08	21.5	1.08%	0	2.1	53	NAN
2	Jun_7_2013	25.26	26.26	26.26	26.24	26.17	26.2	26.48(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	0	12	-7	6.05	51%	0.04	24.6	1.08%	0	1.4	53	NAN
3	Jun_6_2013	25.25	26.24	26.24	26.17	26.16	26.05	26.19(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-30	-10	-21	4.86	50%	0.08	36.8	1.07%	0	-0.3	53	NAN
4	Jun_5_2013	25.23	26.25	26.25	26.24	26.2	26.13	25.89(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-14	-20	-15	-12	2.65	50%	0.04	84.2	1.07%	0	-2.4	47	NAN
5	Jun_4_2013	25.22	26.26	26.31	26.3	26.33	26.28	26.21(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10	-2	6	3.24	52%	0.04	124.5	1.07%	0	-0.4	50	NAN

6	Jun_3_2013	25.21	26.24	26.33	26.34	26.32	26.27	26.41(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-20	-3	17	10.11	52%	0.04	132.8	1.07%	0	1.1	58	NAN
7	May_31_2013	25.2	26.22	26.33	26.29	26.37	26.38	26.15(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	4	10	1	14	2.58	52%	0.04	144.6	1.07%	0	-0.4	50	NAN
8	May_30_2013	25.19	26.18	26.32	26.31	26.32	26.36	26.52(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	10	5	19	3.28	55%	0.08	109.1	1.06%	0	1.3	60	NAN
9	May_29_2013	25.17	26.12	26.32	26.28	26.22	26.35	26.23(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	30	-3	7	3.3	53%	0.08	97.5	1.06%	0	0.4	45	NAN
10	May_28_2013	25.15	26.09	26.28	26.28	26.3	26.28	26.39(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10	9	22	17.57	53%	0.08	109.2	1.06%	0	0.9	59	NAN

11	May_24_2013	25.13	26.03	26.28	26.33	26.28	26.1	26.15(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-50	-14	17	2.81	52%	0.08	99.4	1.08%	0	0.3	59	NAN
12	May_23_2013	25.11	25.98	26.25	26.36	26.35	26.32	26.28(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-4	30	4.58	52%	0.04	100	1.09%	0	0.6	61	NAN
13	May_22_2013	25.1	25.9	26.25	26.32	26.36	26.47	26.34(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	30	10	46	15.04	52%	0.08	96.8	1.09%	0	0.8	72	NAN
14	May_21_2013	25.08	25.82	26.24	26.28	26.26	26.37	26.48(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	30	11	64	2.1	49%	0.04	90.6	1.1%	0	1	77	NAN
15	May_20_2013	25.07	25.72	26.2	26.23	26.17	26.26	26.39(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	10	68	2.33	47%	0.12	76.1	1.13%	0	0.9	69	NAN

16	May_17_2013	25.04	25.6	26.14	26.16	26.14	26.15	26.29(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	5	70	2.27	50%	0.04	65.2	1.16%	0	0.9	71	NAN
17	May_16_2013	25.03	25.48	26.11	26.14	26.14	26.09	26.08(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-2	84	4.03	50%	0.08	54.5	1.17%	0	0.7	73	NAN
18	May_15_2013	25.01	25.37	26.04	26.15	26.11	26.13	26.15(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	0	-5	97	3.4	50%	0.04	46.6	1.17%	0	0.9	76	NAN
19	May_14_2013	25	25.27	25.96	26.2	26.15	26.14	26.22(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	-10	3	119	3.73	48%	0.08	44.6	1.17%	0	1.1	79	NAN
20	May_13_2013	24.98	25.19	25.88	26.16	26.19	26.1	26.08(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-20	0	135	3.58	48%	0.04	46.2	1.19%	0	1.1	81	NAN

21	May_10_2013	24.97	25.1	25.8	26.12	26.18	26.16	26.18(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	0	1	160	13.34	48%	0.08	46.4	1.18%	0	1.3	86	NAN
22	May_9_2013	24.95	25.03	25.68	26.06	26.12	26.27	26.13(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	50	15	183	4.17	48%	0.08	50.3	1.19%	0	1.4	86	NAN
23	May_8_2013	24.93	24.97	25.55	25.9	26.03	26.21	26.39(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	60	31	194	4.66	48%	0.04	50	1.19%	0	1.9	92	NAN
24	May_7_2013	24.92	24.89	25.37	25.68	25.77	25.97	26.03(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	60	18	183	1.63	46%	0.08	47.9	1.18%	0	1.7	85	NAN
25	May_6_2013	24.9	24.81	25.21	25.56	25.59	25.85	25.85(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	70	22	168	1.98	45%		44.7	1.18%	0	1.7	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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