Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.2800 (-0.23%) ($25.9500 - $26.3100) on Thu. May. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $26.2800(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(4%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.36(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.25(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.98(1.15%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.71%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2013	25.11	25.98	26.25	26.36	26.35	26.32	26.28(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-4	30	4.58	52%	0.04	100	1.09%	0	0.6	61	NAN
2	May_22_2013	25.1	25.9	26.25	26.32	26.36	26.47	26.34(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	30	10	46	15.04	52%	0.08	96.8	1.09%	0	0.8	72	NAN
3	May_21_2013	25.08	25.82	26.24	26.28	26.26	26.37	26.48(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	30	11	64	2.1	49%	0.04	90.6	1.1%	0	1	77	NAN
4	May_20_2013	25.07	25.72	26.2	26.23	26.17	26.26	26.39(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	10	68	2.33	47%	0.12	76.1	1.13%	0	0.9	69	NAN
5	May_17_2013	25.04	25.6	26.14	26.16	26.14	26.15	26.29(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	5	70	2.27	50%	0.04	65.2	1.16%	0	0.9	71	NAN

6	May_16_2013	25.03	25.48	26.11	26.14	26.14	26.09	26.08(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-2	84	4.03	50%	0.08	54.5	1.17%	0	0.7	73	NAN
7	May_15_2013	25.01	25.37	26.04	26.15	26.11	26.13	26.15(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	0	-5	97	3.4	50%	0.04	46.6	1.17%	0	0.9	76	NAN
8	May_14_2013	25	25.27	25.96	26.2	26.15	26.14	26.22(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	-10	3	119	3.73	48%	0.08	44.6	1.17%	0	1.1	79	NAN
9	May_13_2013	24.98	25.19	25.88	26.16	26.19	26.1	26.08(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-20	0	135	3.58	48%	0.04	46.2	1.19%	0	1.1	81	NAN
10	May_10_2013	24.97	25.1	25.8	26.12	26.18	26.16	26.18(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	0	1	160	13.34	48%	0.08	46.4	1.18%	0	1.3	86	NAN

11	May_9_2013	24.95	25.03	25.68	26.06	26.12	26.27	26.13(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	50	15	183	4.17	48%	0.08	50.3	1.19%	0	1.4	86	NAN
12	May_8_2013	24.93	24.97	25.55	25.9	26.03	26.21	26.39(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	60	31	194	4.66	48%	0.04	50	1.19%	0	1.9	92	NAN
13	May_7_2013	24.92	24.89	25.37	25.68	25.77	25.97	26.03(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	60	18	183	1.63	46%	0.08	47.9	1.18%	0	1.7	85	NAN
14	May_6_2013	24.9	24.81	25.21	25.56	25.59	25.85	25.85(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	70	22	168	1.98	45%	0.08	44.7	1.18%	0	1.7	62	NAN
15	May_3_2013	24.88	24.73	25.02	25.45	25.47	25.57	25.91(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	30	27	143	1.94	41%	0.08	43.8	1.26%	0	2.1	67	NAN

16	May_2_2013	24.86	24.65	24.81	25.24	25.29	25.32	25.34(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	8	99	3.89	38%	0.04	37.7	1.24%	0	1.4	54	NAN
17	May_1_2013	24.85	24.61	24.66	25.13	25.17	25.37	25.25(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	60	15	67	2.28	40%	0.04	36.6	1.25%	0	1.4	50	NAN
18	Apr_30_2013	24.84	24.58	24.52	25.01	25.04	25.27	25.47(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	70	31	44	6.12	40%	0.08	31.1	1.25%	0	2	54	NAN
19	Apr_29_2013	24.82	24.54	24.44	24.79	24.84	24.98	25.26(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	50	30	26	5.89	40%	0.04	20.9	1.24%	0	1.8	58	NAN
20	Apr_26_2013	24.81	24.49	24.34	24.52	24.62	24.81	24.89(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	17	70	25	-7	1.66	38%	0.08	-5.8	1.22%	0	1.1	56	NAN

21	Apr_25_2013	24.79	24.47	24.33	24.31	24.38	24.69	24.78(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	100	30	-20	2.12	41%	0.04	-27.2	1.23%	0	0.8	55	NAN
22	Apr_24_2013	24.78	24.47	24.35	24.11	24.14	24.44	24.66(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	13	90	29	-36	7.07	41%	0.04	-54.4	1.26%	0	0.6	49	NAN
23	Apr_23_2013	24.77	24.44	24.36	23.96	23.96	24.07	24.36(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	30	4	-57	2.63	41%	0	-69.4	1.26%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
24	Apr_22_2013	24.77	24.46	24.37	24.05	23.9	23.85	23.93(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-30	-11	-61	4.52	38%	0.04	-67.5	1.23%	0	-1.4	39	NAN
25	Apr_19_2013	24.76	24.51	24.43	24.14	24.13	23.84	23.81(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-90	-23	-57	1.28	38%		-67.5	1.23%	0	-1.9	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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