Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.0300 (0.7%) ($25.9600 - $26.1700) on Tue. May. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $26.0300(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.68(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.37(2.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.89(4.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(37%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(63%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.24%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.51%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2013	24.92	24.89	25.37	25.68	25.77	25.97	26.03(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	60	18	183	1.63	46%	0.08	47.9	1.18%	0	1.7	85	0
2	May_6_2013	24.9	24.81	25.21	25.56	25.59	25.85	25.85(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	70	22	168	1.98	45%	0.08	44.7	1.18%	0	1.7	62	0
3	May_3_2013	24.88	24.73	25.02	25.45	25.47	25.57	25.91(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	30	27	143	1.94	41%	0.08	43.8	1.26%	0	2.1	67	0
4	May_2_2013	24.86	24.65	24.81	25.24	25.29	25.32	25.34(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	8	99	3.89	38%	0.04	37.7	1.24%	0	1.4	54	0
5	May_1_2013	24.85	24.61	24.66	25.13	25.17	25.37	25.25(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	60	15	67	2.28	40%	0.04	36.6	1.25%	0	1.4	50	0

6	Apr_30_2013	24.84	24.58	24.52	25.01	25.04	25.27	25.47(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	70	31	44	6.12	40%	0.08	31.1	1.25%	0	2	54	0
7	Apr_29_2013	24.82	24.54	24.44	24.79	24.84	24.98	25.26(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	50	30	26	5.89	40%	0.04	20.9	1.24%	0	1.8	58	0
8	Apr_26_2013	24.81	24.49	24.34	24.52	24.62	24.81	24.89(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	17	70	25	-7	1.66	38%	0.08	-5.8	1.22%	0	1.1	56	0
9	Apr_25_2013	24.79	24.47	24.33	24.31	24.38	24.69	24.78(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	100	30	-20	2.12	41%	0.04	-27.2	1.23%	0	0.8	55	0
10	Apr_24_2013	24.78	24.47	24.35	24.11	24.14	24.44	24.66(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	13	90	29	-36	7.07	41%	0.04	-54.4	1.26%	0	0.6	49	0

11	Apr_23_2013	24.77	24.44	24.36	23.96	23.96	24.07	24.36(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	30	4	-57	2.63	41%	0	-69.4	1.26%	0	-0.2	46	0
12	Apr_22_2013	24.77	24.46	24.37	24.05	23.9	23.85	23.93(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-30	-11	-61	4.52	38%	0.04	-67.5	1.23%	0	-1.4	39	0
13	Apr_19_2013	24.76	24.51	24.43	24.14	24.13	23.84	23.81(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-90	-23	-57	1.28	38%	0	-67.5	1.23%	0	-1.9	45	0
14	Apr_18_2013	24.76	24.57	24.49	24.35	24.29	23.96	23.78(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-100	-41	-43	3.81	38%	0.04	-67.9	1.24%	0	-2.4	43	0
15	Apr_17_2013	24.75	24.64	24.59	24.61	24.53	24.41	23.94(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-22	-40	-28	-2	6.96	41%	0.04	-50	1.24%	0	-2.3	48	0

16	Apr_16_2013	24.74	24.69	24.67	24.81	24.79	24.63	24.8(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-50	3	34	1.81	44%	0.04	-43.1	1.17%	0	0.4	51	0
17	Apr_15_2013	24.73	24.71	24.66	24.74	24.81	24.66	24.35(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-30	-13	22	2.28	40%	0.08	-51.3	1.15%	0	-1.2	46	0
18	Apr_12_2013	24.71	24.77	24.67	24.75	24.79	24.96	24.9(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	50	11	20	1.7	43%	0	-41.4	1.12%	0	0.4	45	0
19	Apr_11_2013	24.71	24.79	24.62	24.65	24.68	24.95	25.07(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	80	26	6	1.72	43%	0.12	-44.8	1.12%	0	0.8	52	0
20	Apr_10_2013	24.68	24.8	24.54	24.57	24.48	24.62	24.93(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	30	14	-26	1.07	45%	0.08	-49	1.13%	0	0.4	44	0

21	Apr_9_2013	24.66	24.81	24.52	24.52	24.44	24.41	24.46(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-20	-4	-46	2.41	42%	0.12	-47.7	1.12%	0	-0.9	41	0
22	Apr_8_2013	24.63	24.86	24.53	24.58	24.52	24.35	24.41(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-60	-6	-51	1.34	42%	0.08	-33.8	1.12%	0	-1.2	38	0
23	Apr_5_2013	24.61	24.9	24.6	24.56	24.61	24.46	24.36(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-40	-13	-65	2.34	42%	0.12	-24.8	1.11%	0	-1.4	32	0
24	Apr_4_2013	24.58	24.96	24.65	24.59	24.62	24.69	24.7(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	4	-70	1.99	44%	0.12	-16.4	1.11%	0	-0.7	36	0
25	Apr_3_2013	24.55	24.98	24.69	24.51	24.58	24.75	24.67(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	60	12	-77	3.96	42%		-17.6	1.11%	0	-0.8	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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