Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $24.9300 (1.92%) ($24.6800 - $24.9700) on Wed. Apr. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $24.9300(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.57(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.54(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.8(0.52%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.97%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.09%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2013	24.68	24.8	24.54	24.57	24.48	24.62	24.93(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	30	14	-26	1.07	45%	0.08	-49	1.13%	0	0.4	44	0
2	Apr_9_2013	24.66	24.81	24.52	24.52	24.44	24.41	24.46(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-20	-4	-46	2.41	42%	0.12	-47.7	1.12%	0	-0.9	41	0
3	Apr_8_2013	24.63	24.86	24.53	24.58	24.52	24.35	24.41(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-60	-6	-51	1.34	42%	0.08	-33.8	1.12%	0	-1.2	38	0
4	Apr_5_2013	24.61	24.9	24.6	24.56	24.61	24.46	24.36(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-40	-13	-65	2.34	42%	0.12	-24.8	1.11%	0	-1.4	32	0
5	Apr_4_2013	24.58	24.96	24.65	24.59	24.62	24.69	24.7(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	4	-70	1.99	44%	0.12	-16.4	1.11%	0	-0.7	36	0

6	Apr_3_2013	24.55	24.98	24.69	24.59	24.58	24.75	24.67(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	60	12	-77	3.96	42%	0.12	-17.6	1.11%	0	-0.8	42	0
7	Apr_2_2013	24.52	24.98	24.72	24.51	24.58	24.56	24.74(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	20	8	-85	4.54	44%	0.12	-10.1	1.13%	0	-0.7	41	0
8	Apr_1_2013	24.49	24.99	24.76	24.49	24.45	24.41	24.35(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-20	-11	-102	2.48	41%	0.16	-8.6	1.12%	0	-1.7	34	0
9	Mar_28_2013	24.45	25	24.87	24.64	24.57	24.35	24.47(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-70	-16	-83	3.1	42%	0.08	-1.4	1.14%	0	-1.5	36	0
10	Mar_27_2013	24.43	25.02	24.98	24.72	24.72	24.49	24.3(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-70	-30	-78	2.95	42%	0.04	6.4	1.15%	0	-2.1	32	0

11	Mar_26_2013	24.42	25.04	25.07	24.9	24.88	24.8	24.71(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-20	-14	-52	10.58	44%	0.08	18.4	1.13%	0	-1	43	0
12	Mar_25_2013	24.4	25.03	25.14	24.95	25.01	24.96	24.64(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10	-9	-37	6.26	44%	0.08	8.8	1.13%	0	-1.1	47	0
13	Mar_22_2013	24.38	25.02	25.21	25.05	25.06	24.97	25.07(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-20	-12	-11	3.04	47%	0.08	10.4	1.11%	0	0.1	62	0
14	Mar_21_2013	24.36	25.01	25.24	25.15	25.08	25.06	24.86(-1.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-10	-10	-18	14	3.19	47%	0.08	14.5	1.12%	0	-0.4	60	0
15	Mar_20_2013	24.34	24.99	25.3	25.15	25.25	25.15	25.21(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-30	1	52	3.13	49%	0.04	15.1	1.1%	0	0.6	62	0

16	Mar_19_2013	24.33	24.98	25.29	25.28	25.29	25.11	24.97(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-50	-17	54	3.15	49%	0.04	13.2	1.1%	0	-0	57	0
17	Mar_18_2013	24.32	25	25.3	25.35	25.32	25.35	25.15(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	0	-10	78	2.18	50%	0.08	23.1	1.1%	0	0.4	68	0
18	Mar_15_2013	24.3	24.98	25.24	25.39	25.37	25.48	25.55(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	30	13	103	1.38	53%	0.12	25	1.07%	0	1.5	79	0
19	Mar_14_2013	24.27	24.95	25.14	25.35	25.31	25.3	25.51(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10	5	90	1.63	53%	0.12	24.3	1.08%	0	1.5	63	0
20	Mar_13_2013	24.24	24.94	25.06	25.32	25.28	25.26	25.21(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10	-4	88	1.86	51%	0.12	26.4	1.08%	0	0.7	63	0

21	Mar_12_2013	24.21	24.93	25.01	25.31	25.32	25.33	25.31(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	0	8	88	3.54	51%	0.08	24.3	1.08%	0	1.1	53	0
22	Mar_11_2013	24.19	24.91	24.92	25.23	25.28	25.31	25.38(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	10	14	62	3.56	52%	0.08	16.2	1.08%	0	1.4	48	0
23	Mar_8_2013	24.17	24.89	24.81	25.07	25.19	25.32	25.33(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	50	21	35	3.08	52%	0.08	-12	1.08%	0	1.3	55	0
24	Mar_7_2013	24.15	24.86	24.75	24.9	24.98	25.26	25.38(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	90	26	12	1.61	52%	0.08	-40	1.09%	0	1.7	54	0
25	Mar_6_2013	24.13	24.84	24.66	24.76	24.74	25.06	25.15(0.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	14	90	26	-22	2.09	52%		-68.4	1.08%	0	1.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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