Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.5500 (0.16%) ($25.4400 - $25.6000) on Fri. Mar. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $25.5500(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.39(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.24(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.98(2.28%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2013	24.3	24.98	25.24	25.39	25.37	25.48	25.55(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	30	13	103	1.38	53%	0.12	25	1.07%	0	1.5	79	NAN
2	Mar_14_2013	24.27	24.95	25.14	25.35	25.31	25.3	25.51(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10	5	90	1.63	53%	0.12	24.3	1.08%	0	1.5	63	NAN
3	Mar_13_2013	24.24	24.94	25.06	25.32	25.28	25.26	25.21(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10	-4	88	1.86	51%	0.12	26.4	1.08%	0	0.7	63	NAN
4	Mar_12_2013	24.21	24.93	25.01	25.31	25.32	25.33	25.31(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	0	8	88	3.54	51%	0.08	24.3	1.08%	0	1.1	53	NAN
5	Mar_11_2013	24.19	24.91	24.92	25.23	25.28	25.31	25.38(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	10	14	62	3.56	52%	0.08	16.2	1.08%	0	1.4	48	NAN

6	Mar_8_2013	24.17	24.89	24.81	25.07	25.19	25.32	25.33(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	50	21	35	3.08	52%	0.08	-12	1.08%	0	1.3	55	NAN
7	Mar_7_2013	24.15	24.86	24.75	24.9	24.98	25.26	25.38(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	90	26	12	1.61	52%	0.08	-40	1.09%	0	1.7	54	NAN
8	Mar_6_2013	24.13	24.84	24.66	24.76	24.74	25.06	25.15(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	14	90	26	-22	2.09	52%	0.08	-68.4	1.08%	0	1.1	46	NAN
9	Mar_5_2013	24.11	24.85	24.64	24.68	24.62	24.69	24.93(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	10	24	-37	2.43	52%	0.08	-81	1.08%	0	0.3	46	NAN
10	Mar_4_2013	24.09	24.86	24.67	24.56	24.52	24.42	24.55(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-30	-2	-56	2.18	50%	0.08	-96.8	1.06%	0	-1	45	NAN

11	Mar_1_2013	24.07	24.93	24.7	24.51	24.5	24.55	24.49(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	10	-11	-69	10.38	50%	0.08	-76.3	1.06%	0	-1.1	44	NAN
12	Feb_28_2013	24.05	24.99	24.74	24.57	24.62	24.61	24.67(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	0	10	-54	1.83	50%	0.08	-64.9	1.05%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
13	Feb_27_2013	24.03	25.04	24.81	24.54	24.62	24.46	24.74(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-30	-13	-62	3.16	50%	0.08	-56.3	1.05%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
14	Feb_26_2013	24.01	25.09	24.84	24.6	24.61	24.63	24.36(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	10	-28	-67	12.86	47%	0.08	-44.3	1.03%	0	-1.6	37	NAN
15	Feb_25_2013	23.99	25.16	24.91	24.8	24.81	24.77	24.31(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10	-2	-35	4.89	47%	0.04	-28	1.03%	0	-1.9	40	NAN

16	Feb_22_2013	23.98	25.24	24.98	24.9	24.92	24.59	24.77(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-90	-17	-50	2.87	55%	0.08	-15.7	1.07%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
17	Feb_21_2013	23.96	25.26	25	24.94	24.98	24.86	24.53(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-30	-33	-69	2.18	55%	0.04	-9.5	1.07%	0	-1.8	37	NAN
18	Feb_20_2013	23.95	25.29	25.05	25.1	25.08	25.25	25.01(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	50	4	-51	1.83	59%	0.13	2.7	1.04%	0	-0.8	40	NAN
19	Feb_19_2013	23.92	25.3	25.08	25.13	25.12	25.09	25.36(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10	17	-55	5.76	65%	0.17	3.4	1.02%	0	0.2	43	NAN
20	Feb_15_2013	23.88	25.28	25.06	25.05	25.07	24.9	24.84(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-50	-15	-91	2.91	62%	0.08	-3.4	1.02%	0	-1.2	38	NAN

21	Feb_14_2013	23.86	25.28	25.18	25.07	25.09	25.16	24.96(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	20	-4	-79	2.53	62%	0.08	2.1	1.02%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
22	Feb_13_2013	23.84	25.3	25.25	25.06	25.1	25.25	25.34(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	50	19	-64	2.64	66%	0.13	4.9	1.01%	0	0.1	53	NAN
23	Feb_12_2013	23.81	25.28	25.29	25	24.99	25.03	25.15(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	10	1	-64	1.43	66%	0.08	5.5	1.01%	0	-0.4	54	NAN
24	Feb_11_2013	23.79	25.29	25.35	25.04	24.96	25.03	24.95(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10	-5	-47	7.78	66%	0.04	15.1	1.01%	0	-0.9	51	NAN
25	Feb_8_2013	23.78	25.3	25.42	25.07	25.06	24.96	24.97(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-30	-21	-36	5.76	63%		22.6	1.02%	0	-0.9	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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