Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.6800 (-0.47%) ($25.6500 - $25.7900) on Mon. Jan. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $25.6800(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.35(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.21(1.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.96(2.88%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.14%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.24%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.85%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.74%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2013	23.56	24.96	25.21	25.35	25.42	25.74	25.68(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	45	100	30	91	2.64	68%	0.13	59.6	0.96%	0	2.1	68	NAN
2	Jan_25_2013	23.53	24.91	25.14	25.23	25.23	25.47	25.8(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	49	70	36	86	12.56	68%	0.17	50	0.95%	0	2.6	69	NAN
3	Jan_24_2013	23.49	24.84	25.05	25.1	25.06	25.1	25.22(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	10	13	70	3.95	64%	0.17	48.6	0.91%	0	1.4	64	NAN
4	Jan_23_2013	23.45	24.8	24.98	25.02	25.05	25	25.03(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10	3	44	1.81	57%	0.17	43.8	0.92%	0	0.9	50	NAN
5	Jan_22_2013	23.41	24.78	24.93	25	25	25.01	25.04(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	0	-8	30	2.56	57%	0.17	46.7	0.98%	0	1	56	NAN

6	Jan_18_2013	23.37	24.76	24.89	25	24.98	25.11	25.06(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	30	5	49	1.99	57%	0.21	62.9	0.99%	0	1.2	64	NAN
7	Jan_17_2013	23.32	24.74	24.86	25.04	25	24.99	25.17(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10	12	57	1.79	57%	0.17	74.3	0.99%	0	1.7	58	NAN
8	Jan_16_2013	23.28	24.71	24.8	24.99	24.97	24.85	24.82(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-40	-4	46	2.22	58%	0.13	86	0.98%	0	0.5	56	NAN
9	Jan_15_2013	23.25	24.69	24.82	24.92	24.99	25.02	24.92(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	20	5	52	1.98	58%	0.17	92.5	1%	0	1	58	NAN
10	Jan_14_2013	23.21	24.66	24.79	24.84	24.89	25.1	25.21(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	70	21	51	1.69	61%	0.22	93.5	0.99%	0	2.4	60	NAN

11	Jan_11_2013	23.16	24.6	24.7	24.73	24.73	24.96	25.08(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	24	70	23	28	2.09	61%	0.17	94.1	0.99%	0	2.3	55	NAN
12	Jan_10_2013	23.12	24.56	24.65	24.66	24.62	24.68	24.9(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	10	15	16	7.39	61%	0.13	94.2	0.99%	0	1.6	55	NAN
13	Jan_9_2013	23.09	24.51	24.65	24.6	24.57	24.51	24.5(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-20	-12	-5	2.81	53%	0.13	93	0.98%	0	-0	48	NAN
14	Jan_8_2013	23.06	24.48	24.61	24.7	24.62	24.56	24.49(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-30	-11	10	2.39	53%	0.17	96.9	1.01%	0	0	54	NAN
15	Jan_7_2013	23.02	24.44	24.61	24.74	24.74	24.64	24.67(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-30	5	29	2.41	53%	0.17	88.2	1.02%	0	0.8	59	NAN

16	Jan_4_2013	22.98	24.4	24.62	24.66	24.72	24.68	24.74(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-0	-3	29	2.12	53%	0.17	78.5	1.02%	0	1	64	NAN
17	Jan_3_2013	22.94	24.36	24.62	24.63	24.64	24.83	24.6(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	60	4	38	3.13	53%	0.17	81.4	1.03%	0	0.7	60	NAN
18	Jan_2_2013	22.9	24.32	24.61	24.62	24.63	24.77	24.99(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	40	28	61	5.75	57%	0.26	85.1	1.01%	0	1.9	71	NAN
19	Dec_31_2012	22.84	24.25	24.55	24.51	24.52	24.45	24.7(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-20	-1	50	2.49	55%	0.18	81.7	1%	0	1.2	72	NAN
20	Dec_28_2012	22.8	24.19	24.51	24.49	24.51	24.5	24.26(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-0	-13	57	3.64	46%	0.18	83.4	0.98%	0	0.2	67	NAN

21	Dec_27_2012	22.76	24.15	24.5	24.49	24.54	24.59	24.61(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	10	2	83	1.36	50%	0.18	92.5	0.99%	0	1.1	72	NAN
22	Dec_26_2012	22.72	24.08	24.46	24.58	24.56	24.53	24.52(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10	-1	92	1.6	50%	0.22	98.4	1%	0	1	73	NAN
23	Dec_24_2012	22.67	24.01	24.41	24.6	24.6	24.5	24.48(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-3	101	0.73	50%	0.18	97.1	1.02%	0	0.9	72	NAN
24	Dec_21_2012	22.63	23.95	24.34	24.58	24.61	24.59	24.57(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-0	-0	105	4.15	50%	0.22	108.5	1.02%	0	1.2	78	NAN
25	Dec_20_2012	22.58	23.88	24.26	24.53	24.57	24.7	24.73(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	40	17	111	1.71	50%		121.1	1.02%	0	1.7	86	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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