Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.8500 (0.34%) ($23.7500 - $23.9000) on Thu. Dec. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $23.8500(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.7(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.47(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.83(4.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.34%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.68%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.95%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2012	22.11	22.83	23.47	23.7	23.75	23.8	23.85(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	20	12	190	3.78	61%	0.18	33	1.1%	0	1.4	91	0
2	Dec_5_2012	22.07	22.76	23.34	23.61	23.67	23.74	23.77(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	30	11	186	2.51	61%	0.18	29.3	1.16%	0	1.5	90	0
3	Dec_4_2012	22.03	22.71	23.2	23.51	23.59	23.71	23.76(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	50	19	189	2.73	61%	0.18	28.4	1.16%	0	1.6	83	0
4	Dec_3_2012	21.99	22.66	23.05	23.37	23.42	23.61	23.61(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	60	17	175	2.75	61%	0.18	25.8	1.16%	0	1.6	74	0
5	Nov_30_2012	21.95	22.62	22.86	23.28	23.27	23.47	23.52(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	60	18	157	1.57	61%	0.23	25.1	1.17%	0	1.6	75	0

6	Nov_29_2012	21.9	22.59	22.7	23.2	23.16	23.24	23.39(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	20	22	140	3.85	61%	0.18	26.5	1.2%	0	1.5	68	0
7	Nov_28_2012	21.86	22.56	22.54	23.02	23.07	23.08	23.26(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	17	102	3.34	61%	0.18	14	1.2%	0	1.4	59	0
8	Nov_27_2012	21.82	22.53	22.41	22.84	22.92	23.09	23.08(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	60	19	62	1.52	61%	0.18	0.5	1.19%	0	1.1	47	0
9	Nov_26_2012	21.78	22.51	22.32	22.67	22.72	23.06	23.14(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	40	110	41	36	2.27	61%	0.18	-16.9	1.19%	0	1.3	51	0
10	Nov_23_2012	21.74	22.48	22.21	22.38	22.48	22.75	23.14(2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	30	100	44	-14	1.61	61%	0.18	-44.4	1.2%	0	1.4	51	0

11	Nov_21_2012	21.7	22.45	22.21	22.12	22.14	22.38	22.47(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	80	20	-77	17.19	55%	0.09	-73.8	1.14%	0	0	36	0
12	Nov_20_2012	21.68	22.49	22.12	22	22	22.22	22.38(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	70	22	-101	1.53	55%	0.14	-77.5	1.15%	0	-0.3	39	0
13	Nov_19_2012	21.65	22.53	22.18	21.92	21.92	21.91	22.21(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-0	5	-114	1.93	55%	0.09	-73	1.14%	0	-0.7	40	0
14	Nov_16_2012	21.63	22.59	22.24	21.93	21.9	21.79	21.7(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-40	-18	-126	2.51	49%	0.14	-63.7	1.11%	0	-1.9	31	0
15	Nov_15_2012	21.6	22.69	22.35	22.02	22.03	21.94	21.85(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-30	-12	-107	1.86	49%	0.14	-49.5	1.12%	0	-1.8	37	0

16	Nov_14_2012	21.57	22.77	22.48	22.11	22.08	22.01	21.84(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-30	-20	-91	2.11	49%	0.19	-37.4	1.12%	0	-1.9	35	0
17	Nov_13_2012	21.53	22.83	22.6	22.26	22.18	22.12	22.02(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-30	-22	-82	1.63	49%	0.14	-32	1.11%	0	-1.8	29	0
18	Nov_12_2012	21.5	22.87	22.68	22.47	22.32	22.16	22.23(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-70	-19	-63	1.08	49%	0.14	-26.8	1.11%	0	-1.6	33	0
19	Nov_9_2012	21.47	22.9	22.73	22.6	22.52	22.24	22.14(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-100	-27	-68	6.01	49%	0.14	-24.7	1.11%	0	-2	27	0
20	Nov_8_2012	21.44	22.93	22.79	22.74	22.71	22.48	22.32(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-70	-32	-73	6.21	49%	0.09	-20.8	1.1%	0	-1.8	28	0

21	Nov_7_2012	21.42	22.95	22.83	22.91	22.86	22.8	22.57(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-20	-15	-61	4.64	53%	0.14	-12.6	1.1%	0	-1.2	36	0
22	Nov_6_2012	21.39	22.97	22.83	22.98	22.86	22.93	23.08(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-20	5	-38	2.76	60%	0.14	-2.2	1.06%	0	0.4	53	0
23	Nov_5_2012	21.36	22.98	22.91	22.92	23	22.92	22.87(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10	-5	-41	1.7	60%	0.14	3.7	1.05%	0	-0.4	53	0
24	Nov_2_2012	21.33	22.98	22.98	22.9	22.98	23.07	22.88(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	40	5	-20	1.59	63%	0.19	3.6	1.26%	0	-0.4	54	0
25	Nov_1_2012	21.29	23	23.04	22.84	22.93	23.08	23.13(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	60	16	-3	2	63%		1.4	1.3%	0	0.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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