Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.0200 (-1.29%) ($22.9500 - $23.0500) on Mon. Oct. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $23.0200(-1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $23.09
5 Day Moving Average   $23.07(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.94(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.09(-0.3%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   22.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.02%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.96%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.23%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2012	20.72	23.09	22.94	23.07	23.1	23.19	23.02(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	30	2	-18	1.87	68%	0.19	87.1	1.48%	0	-0.2	45	0
2	Oct_5_2012	20.68	23.06	22.96	23.01	23.09	23.23	23.32(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	50	19	-20	3.76	60%	0.15	92.5	1.5%	0	0.8	45	0
3	Oct_4_2012	20.65	23.02	22.96	22.86	22.96	23.01	23.17(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	30	6	-41	2.62	60%	0.15	86.2	1.53%	0	0.4	42	0
4	Oct_3_2012	20.62	22.96	22.97	22.82	22.85	22.95	22.91(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	30	4	-46	20.65	60%	0.1	69.7	1.54%	0	-0.1	44	0
5	Oct_2_2012	20.6	22.89	23.01	22.78	22.84	22.91	22.91(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	30	5	-43	9.53	60%	0.15	56.4	1.54%	0	0	51	0

6	Oct_1_2012	20.57	22.81	23.05	22.8	22.77	22.75	22.73(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-8	-39	12.62	60%	0.05	56.1	1.54%	0	-0.1	52	0
7	Sep_28_2012	20.56	22.75	23.12	22.91	22.86	22.76	22.57(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-40	-13	-13	3.53	65%	0.1	54.8	1.68%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Sep_27_2012	20.54	22.68	23.22	23.09	23	22.8	22.97(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-70	-10	18	7.88	68%	0.1	53.8	1.67%	0	0.3	60	0
9	Sep_26_2012	20.52	22.6	23.25	23.15	23.16	22.95	22.73(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-60	-16	39	3.03	68%	0.05	53	1.67%	0	0.1	65	0
10	Sep_25_2012	20.51	22.54	23.28	23.27	23.27	23.21	23.02(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-8	79	3.32	63%	0.05	55.7	1.66%	0	0.5	76	0

11	Sep_24_2012	20.5	22.45	23.26	23.32	23.27	23.37	23.28(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	20	-1	109	4.9	63%	0.1	56.8	1.69%	0	0.9	82	0
12	Sep_21_2012	20.48	22.35	23.17	23.36	23.3	23.33	23.43(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	0	2	132	2.94	56%	0.1	58.1	1.69%	0	1.1	84	0
13	Sep_20_2012	20.46	22.24	23.08	23.36	23.31	23.23	23.27(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-30	-3	146	2.6	56%	0.05	60.8	1.84%	0	1.1	85	0
14	Sep_19_2012	20.45	22.14	22.96	23.38	23.41	23.28	23.37(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	43	-40	3	162	2.45	58%	0	66.3	1.84%	0	1.3	76	0
15	Sep_18_2012	20.45	22.04	22.77	23.29	23.34	23.38	23.26(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	20	1	155	2.53	58%	0.05	70.2	1.87%	0	1.4	75	0

16	Sep_17_2012	20.44	21.93	22.57	23.19	23.27	23.54	23.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	90	21	157	2.41	58%	0.05	71.9	1.87%	0	1.8	78	0
17	Sep_14_2012	20.43	21.81	22.34	22.95	23.05	23.3	23.53(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	90	23	142	5.97	60%	0.05	71.8	1.88%	0	2.2	80	0
18	Sep_13_2012	20.42	21.68	22.08	22.74	22.74	23	23.25(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	80	20	124	13.86	60%	0.05	76.1	1.88%	0	2.3	78	0
19	Sep_12_2012	20.41	21.55	21.88	22.48	22.58	22.79	22.94(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	80	28	107	4.87	61%	0.05	73.7	1.88%	0	2.3	70	0
20	Sep_11_2012	20.4	21.44	21.72	22.16	22.29	22.48	22.74(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	80	23	79	4.66	61%	0.05	66.7	1.88%	0	2.5	69	0

21	Sep_10_2012	20.39	21.34	21.57	21.85	21.96	22.38	22.27(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	31	150	22	56	4.39	60%	0	59.2	1.88%	0	2.1	68	0
22	Sep_7_2012	20.39	21.26	21.45	21.64	21.68	22.1	22.48(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	38	140	35	45	17.11	60%	0.05	52.1	1.87%	0	3.1	72	0
23	Sep_6_2012	20.38	21.17	21.31	21.33	21.4	21.55	21.99(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	17	60	17	15	11.43	61%	-0.05	62	1.86%	0	2.8	69	0
24	Sep_5_2012	20.39	21.12	21.31	21.2	21.21	21.27	21.33(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2	20	-0	7	22.14	58%	-0.05	81.7	1.86%	0	1	66	0
25	Sep_4_2012	20.4	21.1	21.25	21.21	21.22	21.25	21.19(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	10	0	15	4.04	58%		101	1.86%	0	0.4	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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