Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 25, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.0200 (-1.12%) ($23.0000 - $23.4100) on Tue. Sep. 25, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $23.0200(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.27(-1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.28(-1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.54(2.13%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.04% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.47%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.98%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121025

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_25_2012	20.51	22.54	23.28	23.27	23.27	23.21	23.02(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-8	79	3.32	63%	0.05	55.7	1.66%	0	0.5	76	0
2	Sep_24_2012	20.5	22.45	23.26	23.32	23.27	23.37	23.28(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	20	-1	109	4.9	63%	0.1	56.8	1.69%	0	0.9	82	0
3	Sep_21_2012	20.48	22.35	23.17	23.36	23.3	23.33	23.43(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	0	2	132	2.94	56%	0.1	58.1	1.69%	0	1.1	84	0
4	Sep_20_2012	20.46	22.24	23.08	23.36	23.31	23.23	23.27(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-30	-3	146	2.6	56%	0.05	60.8	1.84%	0	1.1	85	0
5	Sep_19_2012	20.45	22.14	22.96	23.38	23.41	23.28	23.37(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	43	-40	3	162	2.45	58%	0	66.3	1.84%	0	1.3	76	0

6	Sep_18_2012	20.45	22.04	22.77	23.29	23.34	23.38	23.26(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	20	1	155	2.53	58%	0.05	70.2	1.87%	0	1.4	75	0
7	Sep_17_2012	20.44	21.93	22.57	23.19	23.27	23.54	23.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	90	21	157	2.41	58%	0.05	71.9	1.87%	0	1.8	78	0
8	Sep_14_2012	20.43	21.81	22.34	22.95	23.05	23.3	23.53(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	90	23	142	5.97	60%	0.05	71.8	1.88%	0	2.2	80	0
9	Sep_13_2012	20.42	21.68	22.08	22.74	22.74	23	23.25(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	80	20	124	13.86	60%	0.05	76.1	1.88%	0	2.3	78	0
10	Sep_12_2012	20.41	21.55	21.88	22.48	22.58	22.79	22.94(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	80	28	107	4.87	61%	0.05	73.7	1.88%	0	2.3	70	0

11	Sep_11_2012	20.4	21.44	21.72	22.16	22.29	22.48	22.74(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	80	23	79	4.66	61%	0.05	66.7	1.88%	0	2.5	69	0
12	Sep_10_2012	20.39	21.34	21.57	21.85	21.96	22.38	22.27(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	31	150	22	56	4.39	60%	0	59.2	1.88%	0	2.1	68	0
13	Sep_7_2012	20.39	21.26	21.45	21.64	21.68	22.1	22.48(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	38	140	35	45	17.11	60%	0.05	52.1	1.87%	0	3.1	72	0
14	Sep_6_2012	20.38	21.17	21.31	21.33	21.4	21.55	21.99(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	17	60	17	15	11.43	61%	-0.05	62	1.86%	0	2.8	69	0
15	Sep_5_2012	20.39	21.12	21.31	21.2	21.21	21.27	21.33(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2	20	-0	7	22.14	58%	-0.05	81.7	1.86%	0	1	66	0

16	Sep_4_2012	20.4	21.1	21.31	21.21	21.22	21.25	21.19(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	10	0	15	4.04	58%	-0.1	101	1.86%	0	0.4	60	0
17	Aug_31_2012	20.42	21.08	21.25	21.24	21.25	21.16	21.22(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-30	-0	22	3.58	55%	-0.05	112.8	1.9%	0	0.6	62	0
18	Aug_30_2012	20.43	21.06	21.24	21.22	21.27	21.19	20.94(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-20	-7	23	1.19	52%	-0.05	70.8	1.9%	0	-0.3	55	0
19	Aug_29_2012	20.44	21	21.26	21.28	21.29	21.34	21.33(-0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	20	-1	34	1.03	52%	0	67.3	1.92%	0	0.8	68	0
20	Aug_28_2012	20.44	20.94	21.2	21.28	21.26	21.35	21.38(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	20	3	36	1.39	52%	-0.05	77.2	1.93%	0	1	65	0

21	Aug_27_2012	20.45	20.88	21.15	21.3	21.25	21.23	21.31(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10	3	35	2.37	52%	0.05	91.8	1.95%	0	0.9	59	0
22	Aug_24_2012	20.44	20.82	21.1	21.3	21.28	21.17	21.15(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-30	-3	29	4.02	50%	-0.05	105.1	1.95%	0	0.7	60	0
23	Aug_23_2012	20.45	20.78	21.07	21.27	21.27	21.28	21.21(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	0	-0	33	3.48	50%	-0.05	101.7	1.96%	0	0.9	66	0
24	Aug_22_2012	20.46	20.71	21.03	21.23	21.25	21.38	21.44(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	50	11	52	4.44	50%	-0.1	78.3	1.96%	0	1.2	87	0
25	Aug_21_2012	20.48	20.59	20.97	21.09	21.15	21.27	21.39(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	50	12	52	6.31	52%		57.3	1.96%	0	1.2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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