Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $21.1500 (0.57%) ($20.9800 - $21.1800) on Fri. Aug. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $21.1500(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.91(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.89(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.36(3.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.54% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.11%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.49%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -9.63%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.31%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.98%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2012	20.52	20.36	20.89	20.91	20.92	21.03	21.15(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	40	9	57	6.88	51%	-0.1	38.1	1.98%	0	1.1	66	NAN
2	Aug_16_2012	20.54	20.29	20.85	20.85	20.84	20.84	21.03(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-0	4	56	3.93	51%	-0.1	38.2	1.99%	0	1.1	61	NAN
3	Aug_15_2012	20.56	20.24	20.71	20.8	20.84	20.81	20.74(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	10	-2	50	2.7	50%	-0.15	45.3	1.98%	0	0.7	67	NAN
4	Aug_14_2012	20.59	20.21	20.65	20.83	20.78	20.83	20.85(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	10	1	69	5.42	48%	-0.15	52.1	1.99%	0	1	75	NAN
5	Aug_13_2012	20.62	20.15	20.59	20.86	20.77	20.75	20.78(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-20	-1	92	4.16	48%	-0.15	59.1	2.01%	0	1	77	NAN

6	Aug_10_2012	20.65	20.09	20.53	20.87	20.84	20.73	20.84(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	-40	-1	112	4.43	48%	-0.1	63.9	2.01%	0	1.2	72	NAN
7	Aug_9_2012	20.67	20.03	20.48	20.84	20.87	20.8	20.79(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-20	9	126	3.04	48%	-0.14	65.5	2.01%	0	1.2	61	NAN
8	Aug_8_2012	20.7	19.95	20.37	20.6	20.81	20.8	20.89(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	70	12	101	4.28	48%	-0.1	53.5	2.01%	0	1.5	55	NAN
9	Aug_7_2012	20.72	19.86	20.19	20.44	20.5	20.94	20.98(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	160	18	78	6.5	48%	-0.14	41.4	2.02%	0	1.8	57	NAN
10	Aug_6_2012	20.75	19.77	19.97	20.28	20.29	20.67	20.86(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	130	24	55	3.02	48%	-0.14	31.1	2.02%	0	1.9	58	NAN

11	Aug_3_2012	20.78	19.68	19.79	20.15	20.14	20.06	20.69(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-30	8	30	4.36	46%	-0.14	22	2.04%	0	2	59	NAN
12	Aug_2_2012	20.81	19.68	19.67	20.08	20.06	19.91	19.57(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-60	-11	19	8.42	42%	-0.19	26.2	1.91%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
13	Aug_1_2012	20.85	19.68	19.74	20.1	20.19	20.22	20.09(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	20	14	48	3.37	43%	-0.14	35.3	1.89%	0	1	61	NAN
14	Jul_31_2012	20.88	19.61	19.72	19.89	20.05	20.21	20.21(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	80	22	43	3.73	43%	-0.1	35.8	1.91%	0	1.3	61	NAN
15	Jul_30_2012	20.9	19.6	19.67	19.6	19.75	20.16	20.2(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	170	25	28	2.85	43%	-0.14	31.5	1.91%	0	1.3	62	NAN

16	Jul_27_2012	20.93	19.57	19.61	19.36	19.42	19.9	20.34(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	24	180	27	13	4.54	43%	-0.14	24	1.91%	0	1.8	62	NAN
17	Jul_26_2012	20.96	19.49	19.52	19.22	19.11	19.33	19.68(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	60	3	-4	6.61	40%	-0.1	10.6	1.86%	0	0.4	56	NAN
18	Jul_25_2012	20.98	19.49	19.48	19.34	19.13	18.94	19.01(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-100	-15	-9	3.53	39%	-0.14	3.5	1.81%	0	-1	41	NAN
19	Jul_24_2012	21.01	19.49	19.51	19.54	19.42	18.89	18.75(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-210	-28	-9	3.96	39%	-0.19	1.2	1.82%	0	-1.5	32	NAN
20	Jul_23_2012	21.05	19.45	19.56	19.75	19.67	19.33	19.02(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-130	-27	-1	10.65	37%	-0.19	4.1	1.82%	0	-0.9	38	NAN

21	Jul_20_2012	21.09	19.47	19.59	19.87	19.87	19.96	19.66(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	30	1	13	7.53	39%	-0.19	5	1.81%	0	0.4	48	NAN
22	Jul_19_2012	21.13	19.47	19.56	19.85	19.82	20.01	20.25(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	60	22	29	2.34	41%	-0.09	1.7	1.78%	0	1.7	70	NAN
23	Jul_18_2012	21.15	19.47	19.49	19.64	19.63	19.77	20.01(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	50	16	19	4.04	41%	-0.19	-2	1.78%	0	1.2	65	NAN
24	Jul_17_2012	21.19	19.44	19.49	19.49	19.45	19.63	19.8(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	60	14	26	3.7	43%	-0.14	-3.2	1.77%	0	0.7	65	NAN
25	Jul_16_2012	21.22	19.43	19.5	19.36	19.33	19.49	19.61(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	50	12	33	2.19	43%		-5.6	1.79%	0	0.4	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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