Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.5900 (2.19%) ($19.2400 - $19.6200) on Fri. Jul. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $19.5900(2.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.29(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.52(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.44(0.77%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2012	21.26		19.52	19.29	19.26	19.26	19.59(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-0	7	33	2.83	41%	-0.14	-5.1	1.8%	0	0.3	54	0
2	Jul_12_2012	21.29	19.44	19.44	19.22	19.21	19.18	19.17(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10	-10	13	2.87	41%	-0.19	-8.2	1.82%	0	-0.5	51	0
3	Jul_11_2012	21.33	19.45	19.42	19.33	19.26	19.27	19.28(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-10	-11	2	3.28	43%	-0.14	-2.8	1.84%	0	-0.3	39	0
4	Jul_10_2012	21.36	19.45	19.38	19.51	19.37	19.24	19.15(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-70	-13	-5	2.17	41%	-0.14	13.9	1.86%	0	-0.6	38	0
5	Jul_9_2012	21.39	19.46	19.38	19.67	19.58	19.26	19.24(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-130	-15	-5	3.32	41%	-0.14	26.6	1.87%	0	-0.4	46	0

6	Jul_6_2012	21.42	19.47	19.38	19.78	19.76	19.5	19.26(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-100	-7	-1	5.18	41%	-0.19	38.5	1.88%	0	-0.4	45	0
7	Jul_5_2012	21.46	19.48	19.34	19.68	19.86	19.89	19.71(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	40	10	-9	4.47	43%	-0.14	31.3	1.87%	0	0.5	53	0
8	Jul_3_2012	21.49	19.46	19.39	19.52	19.59	20.01	20.18(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	19	160	26	-3	2.59	41%	-0.09	21.4	1.88%	0	1.5	58	0
9	Jul_2_2012	21.51	19.39	19.37	19.23	19.27	19.82	19.97(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	25	210	37	-13	6.76	41%	-0.09	-7.3	1.89%	0	1.2	55	0
10	Jun_29_2012	21.53	19.33	19.34	18.97	18.96	19.17	19.8(5.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	8	80	22	-35	4.98	41%	-0.14	-31.7	1.89%	0	1	57	0

11	Jun_28_2012	21.56	19.28	19.33	18.86	18.71	18.72	18.73(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-20	-9	-55	5.15	35%	-0.19	-49	1.74%	0	-1.2	44	0
12	Jun_27_2012	21.6	19.32	19.41	18.95	18.86	18.75	18.9(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-60	-19	-50	3.13	35%	-0.18	-51.5	1.74%	0	-0.9	46	0
13	Jun_26_2012	21.64	19.35	19.47	19.24	19.03	18.69	18.74(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-160	-33	-29	3.89	38%	-0.18	-40.7	1.73%	0	-1.3	43	0
14	Jun_25_2012	21.68	19.42	19.55	19.54	19.44	18.98	18.7(-2.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-19	-180	-29	13	4.41	38%	-0.14	-28	1.76%	0	-1.6	53	0
15	Jun_22_2012	21.71	19.48	19.61	19.74	19.81	19.38	19.24(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-140	-25	41	7.68	39%	-0.14	-18.1	1.74%	0	-0.6	58	0

16	Jun_21_2012	21.74	19.51	19.63	19.87	19.92	19.91	19.19(-5.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	8	0	-13	69	4.72	39%	-0.14	-11.8	1.75%	0	-0.7	58	0
17	Jun_20_2012	21.77	19.56	19.65	19.92	19.98	20.24	20.33(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	100	26	96	7.33	44%	-0.05	-9.6	1.61%	0	1.7	60	0
18	Jun_19_2012	21.78	19.56	19.55	19.72	19.75	19.94	20.24(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	70	20	72	2.85	44%	-0.05	-22.6	1.62%	0	1.5	59	0
19	Jun_18_2012	21.79	19.55	19.41	19.57	19.54	19.73	19.71(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	60	14	31	3.3	41%	-0.09	-33.3	1.58%	0	0.3	42	0
20	Jun_15_2012	21.81	19.55	19.32	19.46	19.44	19.56	19.88(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	40	15	2	6.09	41%	-0.09	-52.1	1.58%	0	0.7	49	0

21	Jun_14_2012	21.83	19.56	19.32	19.36	19.36	19.35	19.45(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-0	3	-31	2.82	38%	-0.09	-68.2	1.56%	0	-0.2	44	0
22	Jun_13_2012	21.85	19.6	19.21	19.34	19.33	19.33	19.34(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-0	-3	-49	4.35	38%	-0.05	-73.7	1.56%	0	-0.5	37	0
23	Jun_12_2012	21.86	19.65	19.22	19.35	19.39	19.38	19.48(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	0	12	-57	5.14	38%	-0.09	-78.5	1.57%	0	-0.3	37	0
24	Jun_11_2012	21.88	19.71	19.28	19.21	19.34	19.33	19.15(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	20	6	-82	4.99	36%	-0.09	-86.2	1.55%	0	-1	30	0
25	Jun_8_2012	21.9	19.81	19.34	19.15	19.15	19.39	19.38(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	90	11	-90	4.53	40%		-83.6	1.55%	0	-0.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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