Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.3000 (-0.39%) ($20.2800 - $20.6300) on Wed. May. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $20.3000(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(83%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.57(-28.23%)
Resistance Level   $21.67
5 Day Moving Average   $20.76(-2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.11(-3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.67(-6.32%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.28% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.34%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -2.76%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.46%(14%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.78%(86%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2012	21.94	21.67	21.11	20.76	20.7	20.45	20.3(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-90	-18	-160	5.14	37%	0.05	-50.3	1.59%	0	-1.9	16	NAN
2	May_15_2012	21.93	21.77	21.32	20.92	20.9	20.61	20.38(-1.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-55	-100	-24	-147	7.71	37%	-0.09	-48	1.61%	0	-2.2	23	NAN
3	May_14_2012	21.95	21.88	21.54	21.1	21.03	20.95	20.73(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-40	-21	-119	4.12	38%	0.09	-39.5	1.59%	0	-2.1	38	NAN
4	May_11_2012	21.93	21.95	21.72	21.28	21.15	21.2	21.21(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-0	-3	-84	3.39	41%	0.09	-34.6	1.57%	0	-1.5	46	NAN
5	May_10_2012	21.91	21.97	21.87	21.35	21.25	21.2	21.18(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-60	-13	-77	5.08	38%	0.09	-38.3	1.58%	0	-1.7	37	NAN

6	May_9_2012	21.89	22.04	22	21.53	21.37	21.11	21.09(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-110	-29	-59	6.61	38%	0.09	-30.5	1.61%	0	-2.2	41	NAN
7	May_8_2012	21.87	22.08	22.13	21.78	21.67	21.39	21.3(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-110	-27	-34	6.59	38%	0.14	-29.8	1.61%	0	-1.9	40	NAN
8	May_7_2012	21.84	22.1	22.19	22.05	21.92	21.63	21.64(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-110	-25	-18	3.7	38%	0.14	-38.7	1.6%	0	-1.3	41	NAN
9	May_4_2012	21.81	22.12	22.21	22.23	22.19	21.94	21.54(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-20	-80	-25	-5	7.54	38%	0.14	-41.7	1.59%	0	-1.6	48	NAN
10	May_3_2012	21.78	22.16	22.21	22.46	22.4	22.21	22.09(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-70	-14	31	3.41	41%	0.18	-38.9	1.57%	0	-0.2	58	NAN

11	May_2_2012	21.74	22.17	22.29	22.54	22.53	22.44	22.34(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-30	-5	38	3.49	41%	0.18	-43.1	1.58%	0	0.5	50	NAN
12	May_1_2012	21.7	22.21	22.27	22.53	22.56	22.6	22.65(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	12	49	2.46	41%	0.14	-42.8	1.57%	0	1.1	58	NAN
13	Apr_30_2012	21.67	22.24	22.24	22.35	22.46	22.61	22.54(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	60	17	48	4.5	41%	0.14	-45.8	1.59%	0	0.6	61	NAN
14	Apr_27_2012	21.64	22.27	22.18	22.18	22.26	22.51	22.67(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	90	16	32	2.38	41%	0.14	-52.1	1.6%	0	0.7	56	NAN
15	Apr_26_2012	21.61	22.29	22.08	22.1	21.99	22.31	22.52(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	90	15	17	3.47	41%	0.09	-54.6	1.6%	0	0.4	53	NAN

16	Apr_25_2012	21.59	22.32	22.05	22	21.98	22.01	22.27(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	12	5	5.65	41%	0.09	-56.5	1.6%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
17	Apr_24_2012	21.57	22.38	22.02	21.99	21.94	21.68	21.77(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-90	-19	-27	3.64	37%	0.09	-51.5	1.58%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
18	Apr_23_2012	21.55	22.48	22	22.12	22.06	21.96	21.66(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-40	-14	-46	3.42	37%	0.05	-43	1.58%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
19	Apr_20_2012	21.54	22.56	22.03	22.17	22.23	22.21	22.3(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	0	13	-52	2.95	40%	0.09	-44.5	1.54%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
20	Apr_19_2012	21.52	22.59	22.01	22.03	22.11	22.15	22(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	20	-7	-89	3.81	40%	0.05	-52.9	1.53%	0	-0.8	41	NAN

21	Apr_18_2012	21.51	22.66	22.05	22.11	22.11	22.26	22.21(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	60	9	-91	3.38	40%	0.14	-49.5	1.53%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
22	Apr_17_2012	21.48	22.72	22.13	22.05	22.05	22.08	22.41(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	10	19	-99	4.35	46%	0.19	-49.5	1.55%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
23	Apr_16_2012	21.44	22.79	22.24	21.87	21.99	21.84	21.93(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-30	-6	-129	3.39	42%	0.19	-49.5	1.57%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
24	Apr_13_2012	21.4	22.87	22.37	21.88	21.97	22.03	21.62(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	30	-9	-130	4.21	42%	0	-44.8	1.58%	0	-1.7	36	NAN
25	Apr_12_2012	21.4	22.97	22.51	21.98	21.99	22.13	22.37(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	50	7	-120	3.68	47%		-41.1	1.55%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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