Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.7400 (-0.61%) ($22.6900 - $22.8900) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.7400(-0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(83%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.57(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.5(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.19(2.48%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   25.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.58%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.75%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.26%(13%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.93%(88%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2012	20.43	22.19	22.5	22.57	22.66	22.86	22.74(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	70	8	25	3.87	71%	0.25	80.4	2.09%	0	1.1	65	NAN
2	Feb_21_2012	20.38	22.1	22.47	22.46	22.51	22.82	22.88(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	100	16	34	5.28	71%	0.34	78.3	2.1%	0	1.5	73	NAN
3	Feb_17_2012	20.31	22.02	22.41	22.36	22.32	22.45	22.7(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	40	12	37	8.93	71%	0.2	80.7	2.12%	0	1.2	72	NAN
4	Feb_16_2012	20.27	21.93	22.38	22.24	22.24	22.2	22.43(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10	-3	33	6.06	71%	0.2	81.4	2.12%	0	0.9	62	NAN
5	Feb_15_2012	20.23	21.86	22.34	22.31	22.23	22.19	22.08(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-20	-9	42	5.17	71%	0.15	88.7	2.13%	0	0.4	61	NAN

6	Feb_14_2012	20.2	21.79	22.33	22.42	22.36	22.29	22.19(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-30	-3	60	4.01	71%	0.2	91	2.14%	0	0.6	65	NAN
7	Feb_13_2012	20.16	21.7	22.26	22.48	22.45	22.27	22.38(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-60	-3	69	3.43	71%	0.25	98.8	2.16%	0	1	71	NAN
8	Feb_10_2012	20.11	21.57	22.16	22.47	22.44	22.42	22.14(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-8	68	4.14	73%	0.2	89.1	2.22%	0	0.7	68	NAN
9	Feb_9_2012	20.07	21.47	22.11	22.53	22.47	22.64	22.74(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	40	11	91	3.98	66%	0.25	89.5	2.21%	0	1.5	82	NAN
10	Feb_8_2012	20.02	21.32	21.99	22.39	22.37	22.46	22.63(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	30	11	83	3.63	66%	0.2	84.1	2.41%	0	1.5	81	NAN

11	Feb_7_2012	19.98	21.17	21.86	22.23	22.22	22.31	22.51(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	30	11	81	4.84	66%	0.2	77.6	2.42%	0	1.5	83	NAN
12	Feb_6_2012	19.94	21.02	21.71	22	22.1	22.28	22.34(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	70	13	77	2.73	66%	0.15	69.7	2.42%	0	1.5	85	NAN
13	Feb_3_2012	19.91	20.87	21.58	21.79	21.89	22.14	22.43(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	90	13	81	5.85	69%	0.15	63.3	2.45%	0	1.7	90	NAN
14	Feb_2_2012	19.88	20.72	21.43	21.64	21.63	21.92	22.03(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	90	11	80	10.42	69%	0.15	67.2	2.49%	0	1.5	75	NAN
15	Feb_1_2012	19.85	20.61	21.32	21.53	21.53	21.65	21.85(2.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	40	11	87	4.8	63%	0.2	71.5	2.51%	0	1.5	77	NAN

16	Jan_31_2012	19.81	20.52	21.2	21.43	21.45	21.34	21.33(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-30	2	87	8.55	57%	0.2	76.8	2.58%	0	1.1	74	NAN
17	Jan_30_2012	19.77	20.42	21.1	21.37	21.37	21.4	21.32(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	10	-1	89	3.95	57%	0.15	76.6	2.7%	0	1.2	77	NAN
18	Jan_27_2012	19.74	20.31	20.94	21.33	21.28	21.57	21.67(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	90	11	98	11.32	61%	0.15	74.9	2.7%	0	1.8	84	NAN
19	Jan_26_2012	19.71	20.16	20.78	21.18	21.17	21.33	21.49(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	50	11	90	5.37	61%	0.1	69.1	2.89%	0	1.8	74	NAN
20	Jan_25_2012	19.69	20.05	20.61	21.07	20.99	20.99	21.33(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10	5	82	4.13	61%	0.15	72.6	2.89%	0	1.7	67	NAN

21	Jan_24_2012	19.66	19.94	20.44	20.94	20.93	21	21.06(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	7	74	4.19	61%	0.05	78	2.89%	0	1.6	62	NAN
22	Jan_23_2012	19.65	19.85	20.28	20.77	20.84	20.99	21.11(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	60	15	70	3.14	61%	0.1	78.6	2.9%	0	1.9	71	NAN
23	Jan_20_2012	19.63	19.75	20.09	20.47	20.62	20.86	20.93(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	100	12	53	1.83	64%	0	77	2.94%	0	2	70	NAN
24	Jan_19_2012	19.63	19.66	19.96	20.31	20.28	20.69	20.94(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	140	16	55	4.73	64%	0	81.8	2.94%	0	2.4	73	NAN
25	Jan_18_2012	19.63	19.53	19.84	20.07	20.08	20.37	20.68(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	100	17	47	3.54	64%		73.7	2.95%	0	2.5	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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