Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 24, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $21.0600 (-0.24%) ($20.7100 - $21.0600) on Tue. Jan. 24, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $21.0600(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(83%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.94(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.44(3.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.94(5.62%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.46% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.73%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.17%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2012	19.66	19.94	20.44	20.94	20.93	21	21.06(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	7	74	4.19	61%	0.05	78	2.89%	0	1.6	62	NAN
2	Jan_23_2012	19.65	19.85	20.28	20.77	20.84	20.99	21.11(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	60	15	70	3.14	61%	0.1	78.6	2.9%	0	1.9	71	NAN
3	Jan_20_2012	19.63	19.75	20.09	20.47	20.62	20.86	20.93(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	100	12	53	1.83	64%	0	77	2.94%	0	2	70	NAN
4	Jan_19_2012	19.63	19.66	19.96	20.31	20.28	20.69	20.94(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	140	16	55	4.73	64%	0	81.8	2.94%	0	2.4	73	NAN
5	Jan_18_2012	19.63	19.53	19.84	20.07	20.08	20.37	20.68(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	100	17	47	3.54	64%	0	73.7	2.95%	0	2.5	63	NAN

6	Jan_17_2012	19.63	19.42	19.77	19.88	19.86	19.87	20.2(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	0	8	41	4.09	61%	-0.05	56.6	2.95%	0	2.1	60	NAN
7	Jan_13_2012	19.64	19.34	19.67	19.71	19.75	19.78	19.61(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	20	2	29	3.02	59%	0	29.6	2.95%	0	0.6	56	NAN
8	Jan_12_2012	19.64	19.29	19.63	19.65	19.7	19.84	20.1(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	60	7	29	4.76	59%	-0.05	7	2.93%	0	1.7	64	NAN
9	Jan_11_2012	19.65	19.22	19.5	19.56	19.54	19.71	19.76(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	60	2	17	4.5	59%	-0.05	-13.8	2.95%	0	1.2	57	NAN
10	Jan_10_2012	19.66	19.19	19.45	19.58	19.53	19.55	19.72(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-0	0	28	4.75	62%	0	-25.6	2.95%	0	1.2	68	NAN

11	Jan_9_2012	19.66	19.19	19.41	19.65	19.55	19.37	19.37(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-80	-3	37	2.49	62%	0	-24.1	3.03%	0	0.4	61	NAN
12	Jan_6_2012	19.66	19.21	19.4	19.62	19.74	19.5	19.29(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-70	-3	42	2.78	64%	-0.05	-31.4	3.03%	0	0.2	58	NAN
13	Jan_5_2012	19.67	19.26	19.38	19.59	19.7	19.74	19.65(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	30	3	48	6.16	65%	-0.1	-35.8	3.06%	0	0.8	65	NAN
14	Jan_4_2012	19.69	19.29	19.34	19.42	19.54	19.99	19.88(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	180	12	47	2.15	65%	-0.05	-32.6	3.08%	0	1.1	64	NAN
15	Jan_3_2012	19.7	19.29	19.19	19.3	19.31	19.66	20.07(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	130	16	35	3.89	62%	-0.2	-26.5	3.08%	0	1.3	58	NAN

16	Dec_30_2011	19.74	19.31	19.04	19.3	19.11	19.09	19.22(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10	2	7	2.07	57%	-0.1	-16	3.1%	0	-0.1	38	NAN
17	Dec_29_2011	19.76	19.37	18.99	19.3	19.12	18.96	19.12(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-60	-3	-3	1.72	57%	-0.05	-1.1	3.17%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
18	Dec_28_2011	19.77	19.44	18.99	19.15	19.17	19.14	18.8(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10	-5	-20	2.11	57%	-0.15	9.4	3.18%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
19	Dec_27_2011	19.8	19.44	18.93	19.24	19.2	19.28	19.31(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	20	8	-25	1.67	58%	-0.2	14.9	3.18%	0	-0.2	39	NAN
20	Dec_23_2011	19.84	19.47	18.91	19.05	19.16	19.2	19.3(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	30	8	-46	1.41	60%	-0.15	4.6	3.21%	0	-0.2	38	NAN

21	Dec_22_2011	19.87	19.42	18.98	18.9	19	19.13	19.23(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	60	5	-57	2.77	58%	-0.25	-8.8	3.21%	0	-0.2	39	NAN
22	Dec_21_2011	19.92	19.38	19	18.8	18.87	19.12	19.1(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	100	8	-69	1.98	56%	-0.2	-19.9	3.26%	0	-0.3	37	NAN
23	Dec_20_2011	19.96	19.37	19.12	18.69	18.79	18.86	19.26(4.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	40	8	-77	3.96	56%	-0.3	-30.6	3.29%	0	-0.1	36	NAN
24	Dec_19_2011	20.02	19.36	19.22	18.59	18.65	18.61	18.35(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10	-8	-82	6.65	52%	-0.4	-41	3.24%	0	-1.2	44	NAN
25	Dec_16_2011	20.1	19.43	19.43	18.76	18.76	18.72	18.58(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10	-11	-66	4.02	52%		-44.2	3.26%	0	-1.1	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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