Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.4400 (-0.92%) ($20.3300 - $20.7200) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.44% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $20.4400(-0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(83%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(76%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.72% (StdDev 3.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.54(4.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.34(5.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.88(2.82%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.53% (three month std-dev: 3.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.23%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.67%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2011	20.81	19.88	19.34	19.54	19.89	20.52	20.44(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	16	280	27	-16	3.25	52%	-0.24	-49.4	3.44%	0	0.6	52	NAN
2	Nov_30_2011	20.86	19.87	19.25	19.11	19.32	19.93	20.63(6.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	9	250	25	-38	6.04	52%	-0.24	-65.8	3.43%	0	0.8	57	NAN
3	Nov_29_2011	20.91	19.84	19.18	18.76	18.81	19.26	19.33(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	180	11	-71	4.36	49%	-0.29	-81.5	3.33%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
4	Nov_28_2011	20.97	19.93	19.27	18.71	18.71	18.72	19.18(5.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	0	3	-80	3.62	49%	-0.38	-81.2	3.35%	0	-0.8	40	NAN
5	Nov_25_2011	21.05	20.09	19.43	18.8	18.67	18.36	18.14(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-140	-18	-86	2.83	45%	-0.66	-61.4	3.27%	0	-1.8	31	NAN

6	Nov_23_2011	21.19	20.33	19.64	19.09	19.05	18.7	18.28(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-130	-17	-82	3.04	47%	-0.42	-42.1	3.28%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
7	Nov_22_2011	21.28	20.48	19.79	19.39	19.37	18.99	18.86(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-140	-17	-76	3.76	47%	-0.09	-34.8	3.29%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
8	Nov_21_2011	21.3	20.6	20.01	19.66	19.63	19.4	19.09(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-90	-16	-55	3.56	47%	-0.37	-28.2	3.29%	0	-1.6	46	NAN
9	Nov_18_2011	21.38	20.71	20.18	19.91	19.92	19.76	19.65(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-50	-11	-45	11.49	45%	-0.37	-16.9	3.29%	0	-1.2	41	NAN
10	Nov_17_2011	21.46	20.78	20.3	20.17	20.1	19.85	19.58(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-100	-9	-46	5.82	45%	-0.33	-9	3.37%	0	-1.4	34	NAN

11	Nov_16_2011	21.53	20.81	20.48	20.27	20.36	20.09	19.75(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-80	-3	-50	8.18	45%	-0.28	-8.9	3.37%	0	-1.3	34	NAN
12	Nov_15_2011	21.59	20.84	20.57	20.24	20.41	20.35	20.22(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	0	-9	-60	4.32	45%	-0.23	-13.6	3.37%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
13	Nov_14_2011	21.64	20.84	20.56	20.42	20.3	20.64	20.36(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	100	-1	-55	2.06	45%	-0.28	-4.5	3.39%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
14	Nov_11_2011	21.7	20.86	20.64	20.5	20.44	20.47	20.93(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	0	9	-49	2.89	47%	-0.18	-1.6	3.38%	0	0.1	50	NAN
15	Nov_10_2011	21.74	20.85	20.79	20.47	20.41	19.96	20.11(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-160	-15	-48	5.11	43%	-0.32	8.6	3.4%	0	-0.9	48	NAN

16	Nov_9_2011	21.81	20.88	21.06	20.73	20.57	20.4	19.58(-7.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-80	-15	-15	4.93	45%	-0.32	26.8	3.5%	0	-1.7	51	NAN
17	Nov_8_2011	21.88	20.94	21.24	20.92	20.91	20.86	21.14(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-20	9	11	3.53	44%	-0.23	50.4	3.45%	0	0.3	58	NAN
18	Nov_7_2011	21.93	20.9	21.22	20.71	20.79	20.73	20.75(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10	-4	-1	2.55	44%	-0.27	56	3.67%	0	-0.2	53	NAN
19	Nov_4_2011	21.99	20.87	21.27	20.8	20.63	20.97	20.78(-2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	90	-10	8	3.57	43%	-0.23	67.6	3.68%	0	-0.1	56	NAN
20	Nov_3_2011	22.04	20.79	21.29	21.17	20.83	20.86	21.4(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-40	-2	27	3.65	43%	-0.23	78.6	3.8%	0	0.7	54	NAN

21	Nov_2_2011	22.09	20.68	21.17	21.47	21.16	20.29	20.54(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-330	-14	33	5.71	40%	-0.27	79.9	3.76%	0	-0.1	52	NAN
22	Nov_1_2011	22.15	20.58	21.14	21.6	21.7	20.8	20.08(-5.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-280	-23	32	9.79	39%	-0.27	72.1	3.78%	0	-0.4	49	NAN
23	Oct_31_2011	22.21	20.49	21.21	21.6	21.99	22.04	21.2(-6.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	40	-7	51	5.19	41%	-0.22	63.6	3.74%	0	0.5	59	NAN
24	Oct_28_2011	22.26	20.31	21.11	21.78	21.87	22.61	22.62(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	250	21	65	6.75	42%	-0.18	59.2	3.67%	0	1.7	69	NAN
25	Oct_27_2011	22.3	20.09	20.92	21.43	21.48	21.95	22.92(8.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	40	160	30	68	26.59	42%		58.2	3.67%	0	2.2	77	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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