Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.4700 (-0.05%) ($19.1800 - $19.6600) on Fri. Sep. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.13% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $19.4700(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(77%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(13%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.565% (StdDev 3.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $9.22(-52.65%)
Resistance Level   $19.54
5 Day Moving Average   $18.7(4.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.8(3.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.54(-0.36%)
To recent high   -28.3%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.96% (three month std-dev: 3.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.43%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.23%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2011	24.47	19.54	18.8	18.7	18.8	19.42	19.47(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	250	24	-80	4.69	36%	-0.37	-65.3	3.13%	0	-0.1	44	0
2	Sep_15_2011	24.56	19.57	18.87	18.37	18.32	18.94	19.48(3.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	230	20	-97	5.85	35%	-0.37	-77.4	3.13%	0	-0.1	47	0
3	Sep_14_2011	24.65	19.66	18.99	18.24	17.98	18.19	18.77(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	40	2	-111	13	34%	-0.36	-70.1	3.11%	0	-0.8	38	0
4	Sep_13_2011	24.74	19.8	19.17	18.37	18.1	17.71	18(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-190	-10	-109	7.37	32%	-0.4	-64.3	3.07%	0	-1.6	35	0
5	Sep_12_2011	24.84	20	19.45	18.52	18.44	17.77	17.78(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-270	-28	-100	9.18	32%	-0.28	-54.5	3.06%	0	-2	41	0

6	Sep_9_2011	24.91	20.2	19.72	18.91	18.69	18.49	17.82(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-110	-32	-76	8.9	31%	-0.4	-54	3.08%	0	-2.3	41	0
7	Sep_8_2011	25.01	20.36	19.96	19.43	19.14	19.11	18.81(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-60	-14	-44	3.8	33%	-0.36	-54	3.03%	0	-1.7	42	0
8	Sep_7_2011	25.1	20.44	20.16	19.85	19.54	18.89	19.46(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-280	-17	-30	5.91	34%	-0.28	-67.7	3.01%	0	-1.2	38	0
9	Sep_6_2011	25.17	20.54	20.26	20.09	19.98	19.17	18.71(-5.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-37	-300	-37	-35	12.01	31%	-0.32	-72.8	2.96%	0	-2.3	31	0
10	Sep_2_2011	25.25	20.63	20.37	20.53	20.48	20.19	19.75(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-110	-17	-26	3.14	33%	-0.32	-84.5	2.89%	0	-1.1	33	0

11	Sep_1_2011	25.33	20.77	20.38	20.64	20.73	20.79	20.4(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	30	4	-29	4.3	33%	-0.24	-95.7	2.87%	0	-0.5	42	0
12	Aug_31_2011	25.39	20.86	20.35	20.56	20.6	20.78	20.92(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	70	5	-41	4.29	35%	-0.24	-89.3	2.87%	0	0.1	50	0
13	Aug_30_2011	25.45	21	20.39	20.52	20.41	20.68	20.68(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	80	6	-31	5.53	35%	-0.24	-85.5	2.9%	0	-0.3	56	0
14	Aug_29_2011	25.51	21.15	20.46	20.46	20.43	20.42	20.88(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10	15	-30	2.7	35%	-0.23	-81.2	2.92%	0	-0.2	47	0
15	Aug_26_2011	25.57	21.33	20.56	20.21	20.26	20.14	20.32(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-30	-0	-36	4.98	35%	-0.27	-76.9	2.9%	0	-0.6	52	0

16	Aug_25_2011	25.64	21.59	20.68	20.07	20.24	20.45	20.01(-3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	100	1	-53	10.1	35%	-0.27	-74.3	2.89%	0	-0.8	40	0
17	Aug_24_2011	25.71	21.86	20.78	20.1	20.12	20.38	20.7(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	90	2	-62	3.12	36%	-0.19	-71.1	2.87%	0	-0.6	45	0
18	Aug_23_2011	25.76	22.11	20.72	20.25	20.02	20.03	20.4(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-30	-9	-95	5.38	35%	-0.27	-63.7	2.86%	0	-0.8	37	0
19	Aug_22_2011	25.83	22.41	20.83	20.49	20.39	19.85	19.62(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-46	-200	-24	-112	3.57	33%	-0.23	-56.9	2.82%	0	-1.2	34	0
20	Aug_19_2011	25.89	22.75	20.92	20.98	20.8	20.01	19.62(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-290	-35	-130	7.35	32%	-0.27	-49.8	2.84%	0	-1.3	31	0

21	Aug_18_2011	25.96	23.1	21.22	21.36	21.36	20.93	20.17(-6.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-140	-20	-131	6.25	32%	-0.23	-45.5	2.83%	0	-1.3	31	0
22	Aug_17_2011	26.02	23.41	21.43	21.53	21.66	21.58	21.46(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-30	-10	9	-145	4.3	34%	-0.15	-43.8	2.74%	0	-0.9	34	0
23	Aug_16_2011	26.06	23.63	21.67	21.24	21.41	21.79	21.56(-2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-41	150	4	-177	9.16	34%	-0.11	-47.7	2.74%	0	-0.9	33	0
24	Aug_15_2011	26.09	23.83	21.88	21.23	21.13	21.74	22.09(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	190	27	-192	2.97	34%	-0.15	-48.2	2.73%	0	-0.8	32	0
25	Aug_12_2011	26.13	24	22.14	20.88	20.92	21.04	21.53(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-55	50	4	-232	5.37	33%		-53.3	2.72%	0	-1.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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