Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.0900 (2.6%) ($21.8400 - $22.1600) on Mon. Aug. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $22.0900(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $4.74(-78.54%)
Resistance Level   $23.83
5 Day Moving Average   $21.23(4.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.88(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.83(-7.3%)
To recent high   -18.6%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 9.32% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.4%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.7%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.85%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2011	26.09	23.83	21.88	21.23	21.13	21.74	22.09(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	190	27	-192	2.97	34%	-0.15	-48.2	2.73%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
2	Aug_12_2011	26.13	24	22.14	20.88	20.92	21.04	21.53(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-55	50	4	-232	5.37	33%	-0.15	-53.3	2.72%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
3	Aug_11_2011	26.17	24.21	22.53	21.1	20.78	20.51	20.99(4.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-140	-19	-240	7.73	32%	-0.15	-54.6	2.69%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
4	Aug_10_2011	26.21	24.45	22.98	21.34	21.26	20.79	20.01(-7.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-93	-170	-40	-250	11.21	29%	-0.19	-59	2.62%	0	-2.2	22	NAN
5	Aug_9_2011	26.26	24.76	23.59	22.16	21.84	21.05	21.54(5.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-85	-300	-39	-221	13.3	31%	-0.11	-59.8	2.49%	0	-1.9	31	NAN

6	Aug_8_2011	26.29	24.95	24.11	22.63	22.54	21.73	20.33(-10.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-100	-260	-63	-209	16.35	26%	-0.19	-64	2.36%	0	-3	22	NAN
7	Aug_5_2011	26.34	25.23	24.75	23.56	23.36	22.63	22.64(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-82	-240	-54	-167	9.48	28%	-0.04	-70.3	2.02%	0	-2.2	34	NAN
8	Aug_4_2011	26.35	25.44	25.15	24.18	24.06	23.35	22.17(-8.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-74	-220	-57	-125	14.02	26%	-0.04	-64.5	2.01%	0	-3	27	NAN
9	Aug_3_2011	26.36	25.7	25.59	24.87	24.8	24.1	24.11(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-210	-43	-74	7.83	30%	0	-61	1.77%	0	-2	40	NAN
10	Aug_2_2011	26.36	25.84	25.78	25.24	25.22	24.78	23.91(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-54	-120	-54	-52	6.67	30%	-0.04	-48	1.76%	0	-2.5	36	NAN

11	Aug_1_2011	26.37	25.99	25.98	25.81	25.72	25.49	24.98(-2.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-18	-70	-26	8	8.71	32%	0	-24.7	1.69%	0	-1.6	51	NAN
12	Jul_29_2011	26.37	26.1	26.03	26.13	26.07	25.67	25.72(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-110	-19	35	2.51	34%	0	2.1	1.67%	0	-0.6	55	NAN
13	Jul_28_2011	26.37	26.16	26.04	26.28	26.27	25.94	25.61(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-90	-26	33	3.03	34%	0	15.9	1.67%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
14	Jul_27_2011	26.37	26.16	26.03	26.43	26.45	26.48	25.97(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	10	-2	35	4.55	37%	0.04	25.4	1.67%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
15	Jul_26_2011	26.36	26.2	26.01	26.4	26.46	26.59	26.77(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	40	20	29	3.84	39%	0.04	16.7	1.65%	0	0.9	48	NAN

16	Jul_25_2011	26.35	26.15	25.85	26.18	26.22	26.42	26.56(0.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	11	60	18	-12	8.84	39%	0	1.7	1.66%	0	0.7	44	NAN
17	Jul_22_2011	26.35	26.09	25.85	25.93	26.01	26.33	26.47(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	100	22	-52	2.16	39%	0	-15.9	1.66%	0	0.6	42	NAN
18	Jul_21_2011	26.35	26.06	25.73	25.77	25.73	26.01	26.38(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	70	21	-68	5.66	39%	0.04	-23.2	1.67%	0	0.5	44	NAN
19	Jul_20_2011	26.34	26.04	25.77	25.59	25.58	25.69	25.81(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	30	8	-81	2.82	41%	0	-29.8	1.65%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
20	Jul_19_2011	26.34	26.1	25.86	25.57	25.58	25.45	25.67(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-30	4	-73	5.37	41%	0	-27.2	1.73%	0	-0.6	49	NAN

21	Jul_18_2011	26.34	26.14	25.98	25.46	25.57	25.47	25.3(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10	-7	-71	4.22	39%	0	-31.3	1.72%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
22	Jul_15_2011	26.34	26.19	26.16	25.49	25.56	25.68	25.69(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	40	-8	-49	2.85	39%	0	-30.7	1.75%	0	-0.8	56	NAN
23	Jul_14_2011	26.34	26.2	26.28	25.68	25.53	25.67	25.49(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	20	-11	-25	3.01	39%	0	-29.6	1.75%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
24	Jul_13_2011	26.34	26.23	26.39	25.99	25.77	25.44	25.68(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-120	-14	-0	7.16	39%	0	-20.6	1.75%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
25	Jul_12_2011	26.34	26.29	26.43	26.22	26.11	25.38	25.16(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-33	-210	-42	-7	6.91	36%		-10.3	1.73%	0	-1.9	35	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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