Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.3000 (-1.52%) ($24.9900 - $25.3900) on Mon. Jul. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $25.3000(-1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(10%)    IGOV(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.78(-17.87%)
Resistance Level   $26.14
5 Day Moving Average   $25.46(-0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.98(-2.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.14(-3.21%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.78%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.29%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.75%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.99%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.71%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2011	26.34	26.14	25.98	25.46	25.57	25.47	25.3(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10	-7	-71	4.22	39%	0	-31.3	1.72%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
2	Jul_15_2011	26.34	26.19	26.16	25.49	25.56	25.68	25.69(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	40	-8	-49	2.85	39%	0	-30.7	1.75%	0	-0.8	56	NAN
3	Jul_14_2011	26.34	26.2	26.28	25.68	25.53	25.67	25.49(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	20	-11	-25	3.01	39%	0	-29.6	1.75%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
4	Jul_13_2011	26.34	26.23	26.39	25.99	25.77	25.44	25.68(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-120	-14	-0	7.16	39%	0	-20.6	1.75%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
5	Jul_12_2011	26.34	26.29	26.43	26.22	26.11	25.38	25.16(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-33	-210	-42	-7	6.91	36%	-0.04	-10.3	1.73%	0	-1.9	35	NAN

6	Jul_11_2011	26.35	26.35	26.5	26.57	26.48	26.1	25.41(-4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-30	-110	-43	10	5.44	36%	-0.04	4.8	1.73%	0	-1.7	44	NAN
7	Jul_8_2011	26.36	26.35	26.52	26.92	26.86	26.83	26.64(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10	-5	43	5.01	40%	0.04	17.6	1.63%	0	0.5	54	NAN
8	Jul_7_2011	26.35	26.39	26.44	26.97	26.94	26.86	27.07(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-20	6	53	3.54	40%	0.04	22.8	1.62%	0	1.3	61	NAN
9	Jul_6_2011	26.34	26.36	26.34	26.84	26.88	26.89	26.8(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	10	5	46	2.13	42%	0.04	17.4	1.61%	0	0.9	59	NAN
10	Jul_5_2011	26.33	26.35	26.36	26.68	26.77	27.02	26.95(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	80	23	45	2.29	42%	0.04	4.8	1.62%	0	1.2	50	NAN

11	Jul_1_2011	26.32	26.32	26.29	26.41	26.46	26.86	27.14(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	110	34	31	3.75	43%	0.04	-9.5	1.61%	0	1.7	57	NAN
12	Jun_30_2011	26.31	26.3	26.2	26.06	26.08	26.53	26.89(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	24	120	31	4	5.12	45%	0.04	-25.1	1.6%	0	1.3	56	NAN
13	Jun_29_2011	26.3	26.3	26.09	25.85	25.77	26.06	26.42(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	70	20	-30	4.89	43%	0.04	-35	1.6%	0	0.4	46	NAN
14	Jun_28_2011	26.29	26.27	26.04	25.79	25.6	25.63	25.99(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10	-8	-54	2.51	41%	0	-30.9	1.59%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
15	Jun_27_2011	26.29	26.33	26.11	26.01	25.71	25.49	25.63(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-90	-16	-40	2.32	41%	0	-4.5	1.58%	0	-1.5	42	NAN

16	Jun_24_2011	26.29	26.36	26.17	26.15	26.06	25.56	25.36(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-27	-140	-24	-35	3.01	44%	0	3.6	1.58%	0	-2.3	43	NAN
17	Jun_23_2011	26.29	26.41	26.26	26.34	26.24	25.93	25.83(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-90	-24	-30	6.01	46%	0	5.6	1.59%	0	-1.5	43	NAN
18	Jun_22_2011	26.29	26.42	26.36	26.35	26.43	26.56	26.14(-3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	40	5	-14	3.17	46%	0.04	-4.4	1.59%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
19	Jun_21_2011	26.28	26.41	26.39	26.3	26.31	26.55	27.07(2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	8	60	15	-15	3.71	52%	0.08	-16.7	1.53%	0	1.7	56	NAN
20	Jun_20_2011	26.26	26.41	26.34	26.24	26.11	26.3	26.37(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	40	6	-29	3.65	50%	0.04	-34.3	1.53%	0	0.1	43	NAN

21	Jun_17_2011	26.25	26.35	26.35	26.21	26.25	26.08	26.29(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-40	8	-29	3.4	53%	0.04	-41.4	1.54%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
22	Jun_16_2011	26.24	26.39	26.4	26.17	26.21	25.91	25.86(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-80	-28	-37	1.92	48%	0.04	-42.6	1.59%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
23	Jun_15_2011	26.23	26.44	26.47	26.37	26.34	26.42	25.9(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	20	-10	-8	3.62	45%	0	-34.2	1.66%	0	-1.3	51	NAN
24	Jun_14_2011	26.23	26.48	26.53	26.48	26.5	26.5	26.79(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	0	9	14	2.16	47%	0.08	-42.9	1.66%	0	0.8	60	NAN
25	Jun_13_2011	26.21	26.47	26.56	26.47	26.42	26.27	26.22(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-50	-12	23	3.15	45%		-53.1	1.65%	0	-0.6	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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