Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $28.4300 (2.16%) ($27.8800 - $28.4900) on Wed. Apr. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $28.4300(2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.65(2.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.09(4.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.79(6.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.25%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.8%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.5%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.5%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.43%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2011	25.26	26.79	27.09	27.65	27.67	27.96	28.43(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	80	41	92	7.24	56%	0.2	95.4	1.5%	0	2.6	68	0
2	Apr_26_2011	25.21	26.63	26.89	27.19	27.4	27.56	27.83(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	60	34	55	3.97	54%	0.12	86.7	1.48%	0	2.1	68	0
3	Apr_25_2011	25.18	26.5	26.78	26.8	26.98	27.38	27.43(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	120	20	23	3.34	54%	0.2	69.9	1.47%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Apr_21_2011	25.13	26.4	26.71	26.66	26.59	27.23	27.39(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	160	32	23	1.39	54%	0.16	69.2	1.46%	0	1.7	63	0
5	Apr_20_2011	25.09	26.3	26.63	26.54	26.43	26.58	27.17(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	30	28	22	2.83	54%	0.2	71.7	1.46%	0	1.4	67	0

6	Apr_19_2011	25.04	26.19	26.58	26.46	26.31	25.95	26.11(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-110	-20	9	1.88	49%	0.12	78.2	1.38%	0	-0.1	59	0
7	Apr_18_2011	25.01	26.14	26.62	26.55	26.49	26.27	25.89(-3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-60	-28	30	5.37	49%	0.12	84.5	1.38%	0	-0.4	63	0
8	Apr_15_2011	24.98	26.1	26.68	26.73	26.68	26.67	26.72(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10	-4	79	5.6	53%	0.04	84.7	1.32%	0	0.8	81	0
9	Apr_14_2011	24.97	25.99	26.65	26.76	26.72	26.72	26.83(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-0	2	102	17.18	53%	0.16	74.3	1.33%	0	1	82	0
10	Apr_13_2011	24.93	25.86	26.57	26.73	26.77	26.69	26.73(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	27	-20	-0	108	10.42	53%	0.12	59	1.33%	0	0.9	75	0

11	Apr_12_2011	24.9	25.69	26.48	26.74	26.73	26.71	26.59(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10	-3	126	11.35	57%	0.12	46.9	1.33%	0	0.9	80	0
12	Apr_11_2011	24.87	25.57	26.37	26.69	26.76	26.86	26.8(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	11	133	10.72	57%	0.08	38.9	1.38%	0	1.2	82	0
13	Apr_8_2011	24.85	25.47	26.22	26.61	26.62	26.76	26.87(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	40	11	130	12.28	57%	0.12	34	1.39%	0	1.5	78	0
14	Apr_7_2011	24.82	25.37	26.06	26.52	26.51	26.67	26.68(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	40	17	141	11.44	57%	0.16	29.3	1.4%	0	1.5	83	0
15	Apr_6_2011	24.78	25.29	25.94	26.37	26.42	26.49	26.75(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	20	19	154	1.75	57%	0.12	20	1.4%	0	1.7	85	0

16	Apr_5_2011	24.75	25.22	25.75	26.18	26.22	26.36	26.35(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	40	14	164	3.94	53%	0.12	14.5	1.4%	0	1.4	88	0
17	Apr_4_2011	24.72	25.18	25.61	25.99	26.09	26.34	26.42(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	80	29	167	4.5	53%	0.12	9.5	1.41%	0	1.6	72	0
18	Apr_1_2011	24.69	25.14	25.47	25.76	25.78	26.07	26.38(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	80	25	151	2.12	53%	0.08	0.3	1.41%	0	1.7	61	0
19	Mar_31_2011	24.67	25.11	25.27	25.55	25.55	25.83	25.95(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	80	20	119	2.13	51%	0.08	-5.5	1.41%	0	1.2	55	0
20	Mar_30_2011	24.65	25.12	25.09	25.46	25.42	25.49	25.8(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	10	20	98	3.41	51%	0.08	-3.5	1.41%	0	0.9	55	0

21	Mar_29_2011	24.63	25.12	24.84	25.27	25.32	25.28	25.38(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10	6	37	3.9	49%	0.04	-9.1	1.4%	0	0.4	46	0
22	Mar_28_2011	24.62	25.11	24.71	25.17	25.21	25.35	25.27(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	40	3	0	2.27	49%	0.04	-13.2	1.4%	0	0.2	44	0
23	Mar_25_2011	24.61	25.14	24.66	25.14	25.12	25.37	25.33(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	70	24	-10	5.73	49%	0	-16.3	1.4%	0	0.3	44	0
24	Mar_24_2011	24.61	25.15	24.63	24.95	25.03	25.07	25.5(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	20	29	-39	4.06	49%	0.04	-26.5	1.4%	0	0.5	44	0
25	Mar_23_2011	24.6	25.14	24.57	24.66	24.82	24.87	24.85(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	30	18	-91	10.37	45%		-41.5	1.38%	0	-0.4	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.