Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $24.8000 (0.69%) ($24.7200 - $24.9400) on Tue. Jan. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $24.8000(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(10%)    IGOV(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.28(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.95(3.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.95(3.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.28%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.82%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.28%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2011	23.1	23.95	23.95	24.28	24.44	24.67	24.8(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	90	36	52	1.57	57%	0.39	11.1	1.4%	0	2.1	63	NAN
2	Jan_14_2011	23.01	23.9	23.88	23.94	24.06	24.47	24.63(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	31	130	33	23	1.59	57%	0.22	-15.1	1.39%	0	2.1	60	NAN
3	Jan_13_2011	22.96	23.87	23.8	23.68	23.7	24.21	24.4(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	25	150	35	-4	3.52	59%	0.26	-38.5	1.4%	0	1.7	53	NAN
4	Jan_12_2011	22.9	23.87	23.73	23.51	23.45	23.66	24.16(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	9	60	22	-30	1.47	59%	0.17	-57.4	1.42%	0	1.1	51	NAN
5	Jan_11_2011	22.86	23.85	23.7	23.44	23.39	23.19	23.41(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-70	-12	-56	1.48	56%	0.18	-56.9	1.36%	0	-1.4	37	NAN

6	Jan_10_2011	22.82	23.9	23.74	23.58	23.47	23.24	23.1(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-80	-33	-53	2.02	56%	0.18	-40	1.35%	0	-2.6	33	NAN
7	Jan_7_2011	22.78	23.96	23.82	23.8	23.77	23.59	23.34(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-60	-16	-27	1.71	56%	0.13	-30	1.35%	0	-2.6	36	NAN
8	Jan_6_2011	22.75	23.99	23.9	23.92	23.97	23.7	23.56(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-70	-13	-15	1.59	56%	0.13	-18.1	1.34%	0	-2.2	37	NAN
9	Jan_5_2011	22.72	24.02	23.95	23.96	24.02	23.96	23.78(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10	-14	-10	2.67	59%	0.13	1.4	1.34%	0	-1.4	46	NAN
10	Jan_4_2011	22.69	24.02	23.98	24	24.05	24.24	24.14(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	60	12	-1	2.46	58%	0.18	52.2	1.36%	0	0.7	41	NAN

11	Jan_3_2011	22.65	24.02	23.96	23.93	23.97	24.07	24.19(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	7	30	14	-15	2.79	58%	0.22	71.6	1.39%	0	1	42	NAN
12	Dec_31_2010	22.6	24.02	23.93	23.86	23.87	23.86	23.94(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-0	-1	-30	1.47	58%	0.13	82.1	1.4%	0	-0.6	48	NAN
13	Dec_30_2010	22.57	24.03	23.95	23.88	23.84	23.86	23.77(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	0	-4	-27	2.14	58%	0.18	88.7	1.4%	0	-1.5	47	NAN
14	Dec_29_2010	22.53	24.01	23.97	23.93	23.88	23.87	23.97(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10	0	-22	1.44	58%	0.09	85.1	1.39%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
15	Dec_28_2010	22.51	23.95	24.01	23.95	23.92	23.81	23.77(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-40	-7	-17	2.16	58%	0.09	28.8	1.39%	0	-0.5	42	NAN

16	Dec_27_2010	22.49	23.91	24.07	23.99	23.99	23.9	23.85(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-30	-8	-9	0.91	58%	0.13	14.7	1.39%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
17	Dec_23_2010	22.46	23.9	24.1	24.02	24.05	24.03	24.04(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-0	-2	-7	1.26	59%	0.13	9	1.45%	0	0.3	44	NAN
18	Dec_22_2010	22.43	23.88	24.1	24.03	24.05	24.09	24.04(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	20	1	-3	3.13	59%	0.09	12.2	1.46%	0	0.4	56	NAN
19	Dec_21_2010	22.41	23.88	24.1	24.02	24.05	24.07	24.07(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	10	-1	5	1.39	59%	0.13	10.7	1.46%	0	0.5	66	NAN
20	Dec_20_2010	22.38	23.84	24.09	24.08	24.04	23.99	23.96(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-20	-8	32	0.86	61%	0.13	17.8	1.47%	0	0.3	76	NAN

21	Dec_17_2010	22.35	23.85	24.11	24.17	24.14	24.01	23.97(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-40	-6	60	4.06	61%	0.13	27.9	1.48%	0	0.2	66	NAN
22	Dec_16_2010	22.32	23.86	24.13	24.19	24.24	24.09	24.1(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-40	-4	76	2.44	61%	0.18	31.2	1.48%	0	0.5	59	NAN
23	Dec_15_2010	22.28	23.82	24.11	24.16	24.23	24.27	23.98(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	20	-4	79	9.27	61%	0.13	23.8	1.48%	0	0.3	55	NAN
24	Dec_14_2010	22.25	23.79	24.06	24.17	24.18	24.4	24.4(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	60	13	92	0.99	63%	0.18	16.2	1.46%	0	1.2	64	NAN
25	Dec_13_2010	22.21	23.75	23.89	24.11	24.08	24.19	24.41(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	30	12	62	2.38	65%		7.4	1.46%	0	1.4	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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