Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.2700 (-2.23%) ($23.1500 - $23.7000) on Tue. Nov. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $23.2700(-2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $23.95
5 Day Moving Average   $23.75(-2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.07(-3.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.95(-2.84%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.13%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.79%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.11%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2010	21.49		24.07	23.75	23.75	23.67	23.27(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-20	-20	-21	1.63	58%	0.14	16.8	1.4%	0	-1.7	49	0
2	Nov_15_2010	21.46		24.07	23.92	23.89	23.87	23.8(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10	-8	6	1.46	62%	0.23	35.1	1.37%	0	-0.4	52	0
3	Nov_12_2010	21.41	23.95	24.17	24.04	23.99	23.83	23.77(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-50	-15	11	3.89	62%	0.19	56	1.37%	0	-0.5	47	0
4	Nov_11_2010	21.37	23.94	24.18	24.2	24.12	23.9	23.82(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-70	-24	24	5.69	55%	0.19	76.7	1.38%	0	-0.3	51	0
5	Nov_10_2010	21.33	23.93	24.19	24.39	24.31	24.15	24.08(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-60	-13	45	2.42	55%	0.19	95.5	1.51%	0	0.4	56	0

6	Nov_9_2010	21.29	23.89	24.14	24.39	24.51	24.33	24.13(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-40	-4	53	1.16	55%	0.19	93.5	1.51%	0	0.5	60	0
7	Nov_8_2010	21.25	23.82	24.11	24.44	24.48	24.47	24.4(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	0	1	70	2.55	55%	0.19	89.2	1.51%	0	1.1	72	0
8	Nov_5_2010	21.21	23.74	24.07	24.3	24.43	24.69	24.57(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	90	19	70	1.87	55%	0.24	86	1.5%	0	1.5	59	0
9	Nov_4_2010	21.16	23.64	24	24.16	24.22	24.49	24.78(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	90	27	65	1.68	55%	0.19	83.1	1.5%	0	2	65	0
10	Nov_3_2010	21.12	23.53	23.89	23.96	23.97	24.17	24.3(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	60	18	49	1.35	53%	0.24	83.6	1.48%	0	1.5	60	0

11	Nov_2_2010	21.07	23.45	23.81	23.81	23.87	23.96	24.17(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	30	13	39	2.11	56%	0.19	77.9	1.48%	0	1.3	63	0
12	Nov_1_2010	21.03	23.36	23.7	23.74	23.87	23.78	23.7(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	20	-4	29	1.34	54%	0.24	69.7	1.51%	0	0.6	64	0
13	Oct_29_2010	20.98	23.27	23.71	23.74	23.72	23.79	23.83(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	10	3	56	1.43	54%	0.19	69.1	1.51%	0	0.9	67	0
14	Oct_28_2010	20.94	23.19	23.67	23.81	23.79	23.67	23.82(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-40	1	70	0.87	54%	0.24	68.2	1.51%	0	0.9	67	0
15	Oct_27_2010	20.89	23.1	23.64	23.8	23.8	23.64	23.54(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-50	-11	81	0.76	54%	0.29	71.2	1.51%	0	0.6	66	0

16	Oct_26_2010	20.83	23.03	23.62	23.81	23.87	23.91	23.81(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	20	9	102	2.3	54%	0.24	74.7	1.5%	0	1.1	69	0
17	Oct_25_2010	20.78	22.94	23.52	23.65	23.79	23.97	24.03(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	70	13	97	4.59	54%	0.29	71.3	1.5%	0	1.5	76	0
18	Oct_22_2010	20.72	22.83	23.38	23.59	23.54	23.83	23.84(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	80	12	108	1.65	58%	0.19	76.5	1.5%	0	1.5	79	0
19	Oct_21_2010	20.68	22.74	23.27	23.52	23.48	23.62	23.77(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	40	15	108	2.97	58%	0.24	79.2	1.57%	0	1.5	69	0
20	Oct_20_2010	20.63	22.62	23.15	23.48	23.42	23.26	23.59(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-60	1	109	2.32	58%	0.19	80	1.59%	0	1.4	70	0

21	Oct_19_2010	20.59	22.52	23.05	23.4	23.44	23.34	23.01(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-20	-5	112	1.66	56%	0.15	83.2	1.57%	0	0.7	65	0
22	Oct_18_2010	20.56	22.44	22.99	23.35	23.46	23.57	23.75(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	50	18	127	0.9	60%	0.19	81.4	1.52%	0	1.9	76	0
23	Oct_15_2010	20.52	22.32	22.79	23.13	23.23	23.53	23.5(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	100	19	104	1.72	57%	0.24	79	1.55%	0	1.7	76	0
24	Oct_14_2010	20.47	22.2	22.66	22.97	23.01	23.35	23.54(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	110	29	98	0.93	57%	0.24	80.5	1.55%	0	2.1	73	0
25	Oct_13_2010	20.42	22.08	22.5	22.77	22.8	22.92	23.21(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	40	18	89	1.41	59%		85.3	1.54%	0	1.9	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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