Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Oct. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.8400 (0.29%) ($23.7700 - $23.9000) on Sat. Oct. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $23.8400(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.59(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.38(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.83(4.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(56%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.48%(44%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 2.99%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2010	20.72	22.83	23.38	23.59	23.54	23.83	23.84(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	80	12	108	1.65	58%	0.19	76.5	1.5%	0	1.5	79	NAN
2	Oct_21_2010	20.68	22.74	23.27	23.52	23.48	23.62	23.77(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	40	15	108	2.97	58%	0.24	79.2	1.57%	0	1.5	69	NAN
3	Oct_20_2010	20.63	22.62	23.15	23.48	23.42	23.26	23.59(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-60	1	109	2.32	58%	0.19	80	1.59%	0	1.4	70	NAN
4	Oct_19_2010	20.59	22.52	23.05	23.4	23.44	23.34	23.01(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-20	-5	112	1.66	56%	0.15	83.2	1.57%	0	0.7	65	NAN
5	Oct_18_2010	20.56	22.44	22.99	23.35	23.46	23.57	23.75(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	50	18	127	0.9	60%	0.19	81.4	1.52%	0	1.9	76	NAN

6	Oct_15_2010	20.52	22.32	22.79	23.13	23.23	23.53	23.5(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	100	19	104	1.72	57%	0.24	79	1.55%	0	1.7	76	NAN
7	Oct_14_2010	20.47	22.2	22.66	22.97	23.01	23.35	23.54(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	110	29	98	0.93	57%	0.24	80.5	1.55%	0	2.1	73	NAN
8	Oct_13_2010	20.42	22.08	22.5	22.77	22.8	22.92	23.21(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	40	18	89	1.41	59%	0.25	85.3	1.54%	0	1.9	78	NAN
9	Oct_12_2010	20.37	21.97	22.38	22.65	22.66	22.92	22.76(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	5	79	1.43	57%	0.2	92.7	1.56%	0	1.4	67	NAN
10	Oct_11_2010	20.33	21.89	22.31	22.57	22.64	22.67	22.65(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	13	85	1.62	57%	0.15	98.1	1.56%	0	1.3	67	NAN

11	Oct_8_2010	20.3	21.8	22.24	22.39	22.52	22.65	22.69(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	11	77	0.95	57%	0.2	86.8	1.56%	0	1.5	70	NAN
12	Oct_7_2010	20.26	21.69	22.17	22.3	22.31	22.6	22.56(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	90	16	88	0.95	59%	0.15	80.7	1.56%	0	1.4	72	NAN
13	Oct_6_2010	20.23	21.58	22.04	22.18	22.21	22.39	22.6(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	60	20	81	1.18	61%	0.15	75.2	1.58%	0	1.5	68	NAN
14	Oct_5_2010	20.2	21.46	21.94	22.07	22.09	22.03	22.35(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-20	4	73	1.26	61%	0.1	75.7	1.59%	0	1.3	67	NAN
15	Oct_4_2010	20.18	21.34	21.86	22.02	22.04	22.02	21.76(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-0	-7	73	1.98	59%	0.1	82.8	1.58%	0	0.6	63	NAN

16	Oct_1_2010	20.16	21.28	21.82	22.05	22.07	22.16	22.21(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	30	6	92	0.85	62%	0.1	89.8	1.56%	0	1.4	74	NAN
17	Sep_30_2010	20.14	21.18	21.71	22.02	22	22.07	22(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	20	12	103	0.91	62%	0.1	96.2	1.57%	0	1.2	77	NAN
18	Sep_29_2010	20.12	21.09	21.63	21.87	21.95	21.99	22.05(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	20	10	104	1.45	57%	0.1	94.7	1.57%	0	1.4	79	NAN
19	Sep_28_2010	20.1	20.95	21.54	21.78	21.77	21.94	22.09(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	50	8	108	0.99	57%	0.05	85.3	1.64%	0	1.6	81	NAN
20	Sep_27_2010	20.09	20.81	21.43	21.67	21.69	21.92	21.91(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	80	18	121	0.96	57%	0.15	74.9	1.64%	0	1.4	81	NAN

21	Sep_24_2010	20.06	20.7	21.32	21.56	21.59	21.59	22.03(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	0	19	119	1.24	57%	0.15	71.9	1.63%	0	1.8	71	NAN
22	Sep_23_2010	20.03	20.56	21.16	21.36	21.42	21.46	21.26(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	20	-2	100	1.77	54%	0.05	60.3	1.58%	0	0.9	68	NAN
23	Sep_22_2010	20.02	20.46	21.08	21.35	21.37	21.58	21.61(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	70	15	112	0.75	56%	0.05	51.6	1.58%	0	1.5	77	NAN
24	Sep_21_2010	20.01	20.35	20.94	21.25	21.25	21.37	21.55(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	40	14	120	1.43	56%	0	42.3	1.58%	0	1.6	83	NAN
25	Sep_20_2010	20.01	20.25	20.79	21.16	21.14	21.15	21.35(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	0	9	126	1.08	56%		37.6	1.58%	0	1.5	83	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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