Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.5000 (-0.17%) ($23.3500 - $23.7000) on Fri. Oct. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $23.5000(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.13(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.79(3.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.32(5.29%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(63%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -1.15%(58%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 3.84%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.82%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2010	20.52	22.32	22.79	23.13	23.23	23.53	23.5(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	100	19	104	1.72	57%	0.24	79	1.55%	0	1.7	76	0
2	Oct_14_2010	20.47	22.2	22.66	22.97	23.01	23.35	23.54(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	110	29	98	0.93	57%	0.24	80.5	1.55%	0	2.1	73	0
3	Oct_13_2010	20.42	22.08	22.5	22.77	22.8	22.92	23.21(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	40	18	89	1.41	59%	0.25	85.3	1.54%	0	1.9	78	0
4	Oct_12_2010	20.37	21.97	22.38	22.65	22.66	22.92	22.76(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	5	79	1.43	57%	0.2	92.7	1.56%	0	1.4	67	0
5	Oct_11_2010	20.33	21.89	22.31	22.57	22.64	22.67	22.65(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	13	85	1.62	57%	0.15	98.1	1.56%	0	1.3	67	0

6	Oct_8_2010	20.3	21.8	22.24	22.39	22.52	22.65	22.69(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	11	77	0.95	57%	0.2	86.8	1.56%	0	1.5	70	0
7	Oct_7_2010	20.26	21.69	22.17	22.3	22.31	22.6	22.56(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	90	16	88	0.95	59%	0.15	80.7	1.56%	0	1.4	72	0
8	Oct_6_2010	20.23	21.58	22.04	22.18	22.21	22.39	22.6(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	60	20	81	1.18	61%	0.15	75.2	1.58%	0	1.5	68	0
9	Oct_5_2010	20.2	21.46	21.94	22.07	22.09	22.03	22.35(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-20	4	73	1.26	61%	0.1	75.7	1.59%	0	1.3	67	0
10	Oct_4_2010	20.18	21.34	21.86	22.02	22.04	22.02	21.76(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-0	-7	73	1.98	59%	0.1	82.8	1.58%	0	0.6	63	0

11	Oct_1_2010	20.16	21.28	21.82	22.05	22.07	22.16	22.21(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	30	6	92	0.85	62%	0.1	89.8	1.56%	0	1.4	74	0
12	Sep_30_2010	20.14	21.18	21.71	22.02	22	22.07	22(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	20	12	103	0.91	62%	0.1	96.2	1.57%	0	1.2	77	0
13	Sep_29_2010	20.12	21.09	21.63	21.87	21.95	21.99	22.05(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	20	10	104	1.45	57%	0.1	94.7	1.57%	0	1.4	79	0
14	Sep_28_2010	20.1	20.95	21.54	21.78	21.77	21.94	22.09(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	50	8	108	0.99	57%	0.05	85.3	1.64%	0	1.6	81	0
15	Sep_27_2010	20.09	20.81	21.43	21.67	21.69	21.92	21.91(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	80	18	121	0.96	57%	0.15	74.9	1.64%	0	1.4	81	0

16	Sep_24_2010	20.06	20.7	21.32	21.56	21.59	21.59	22.03(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	0	19	119	1.24	57%	0.15	71.9	1.63%	0	1.8	71	0
17	Sep_23_2010	20.03	20.56	21.16	21.36	21.42	21.46	21.26(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	20	-2	100	1.77	54%	0.05	60.3	1.58%	0	0.9	68	0
18	Sep_22_2010	20.02	20.46	21.08	21.35	21.37	21.58	21.61(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	70	15	112	0.75	56%	0.05	51.6	1.58%	0	1.5	77	0
19	Sep_21_2010	20.01	20.35	20.94	21.25	21.25	21.37	21.55(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	40	14	120	1.43	56%	0	42.3	1.58%	0	1.6	83	0
20	Sep_20_2010	20.01	20.25	20.79	21.16	21.14	21.15	21.35(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	0	9	126	1.08	56%	0	37.6	1.58%	0	1.5	83	0

21	Sep_17_2010	20.01	20.16	20.7	21.05	21.07	21.13	21.01(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	20	8	134	0.42	54%	0	33.6	1.57%	0	1.3	70	0
22	Sep_16_2010	20.01	20.11	20.62	20.94	21.01	21.12	21.21(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	50	18	146	1.02	54%	0	29.1	1.56%	0	1.7	76	0
23	Sep_15_2010	20.01	20.07	20.5	20.76	20.83	21.01	21.13(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	70	18	143	1.13	57%	0	23.8	1.57%	0	1.8	74	0
24	Sep_14_2010	20.01	20.04	20.33	20.57	20.66	20.9	21.08(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	90	23	123	1.14	57%	-0.1	8	1.62%	0	1.9	73	0
25	Sep_13_2010	20.03	19.99	20.14	20.37	20.48	20.64	20.84(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	70	15	95	1.62	57%		-16.3	1.61%	0	1.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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