Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 2, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.2300 (0.75%) ($20.1000 - $20.2400) on Thu. Sep. 2, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $20.2300(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.69(2.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.59(3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.12(0.55%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.03% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2010	20.15	20.12	19.59	19.69	19.7	20.09	20.23(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	140	27	-38	0.89	58%	-0.15	-50.1	1.73%	0	0.1	50	NAN
2	Sep_1_2010	20.18	20.18	19.56	19.5	19.53	19.66	20.08(3.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	50	21	-62	1.79	58%	-0.1	-48.8	1.75%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
3	Aug_31_2010	20.2	20.25	19.59	19.35	19.38	19.32	19.31(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-20	-3	-89	1.06	54%	-0.15	-47.3	1.68%	0	-1	30	NAN
4	Aug_30_2010	20.23	20.36	19.71	19.36	19.38	19.4	19.21(-2.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-31	10	-6	-104	0.91	54%	-0.15	-45.3	1.7%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
5	Aug_27_2010	20.26	20.47	19.82	19.44	19.36	19.43	19.62(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	10	1	-120	1.72	62%	-0.15	-42.2	1.68%	0	-1	20	NAN

6	Aug_26_2010	20.29	20.53	19.87	19.46	19.41	19.31	19.28(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-40	-10	-137	2.1	61%	-0.1	-42.6	1.82%	0	-1.5	14	NAN
7	Aug_25_2010	20.31	20.61	19.97	19.63	19.5	19.28	19.33(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-55	-100	-24	-148	1.22	61%	-0.15	-38.8	1.83%	0	-1.7	15	NAN
8	Aug_24_2010	20.34	20.69	20.09	19.88	19.77	19.51	19.36(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-53	-110	-23	-144	1.29	58%	-0.15	-26.4	1.84%	0	-1.8	18	NAN
9	Aug_23_2010	20.37	20.77	20.3	20.12	20.08	19.71	19.63(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-44	-130	-18	-122	1.53	58%	-0.05	-13.4	1.86%	0	-1.8	22	NAN
10	Aug_20_2010	20.38	20.84	20.5	20.24	20.29	20.02	19.72(-2.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-41	-90	-18	-109	2.09	55%	-0.1	-4.6	1.86%	0	-1.9	24	NAN

11	Aug_19_2010	20.4	20.89	20.7	20.32	20.41	20.45	20.13(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	30	-4	-85	1.34	57%	-0.1	3.4	1.88%	0	-1.4	44	NAN
12	Aug_18_2010	20.42	20.91	20.85	20.35	20.37	20.57	20.56(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	70	8	-66	1.3	59%	-0.05	3.6	1.86%	0	-0.6	50	NAN
13	Aug_17_2010	20.43	20.88	20.95	20.33	20.37	20.37	20.56(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	20	-5	-62	2.13	59%	-0.1	-2.7	1.87%	0	-0.5	51	NAN
14	Aug_16_2010	20.45	20.88	21.05	20.52	20.29	20.17	20.22(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-80	-22	-46	1.1	59%	-0.05	3.7	1.86%	0	-1	41	NAN
15	Aug_13_2010	20.46	20.86	21.18	20.83	20.59	20.22	20.13(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-160	-27	-15	1.51	56%	-0.05	20.5	1.9%	0	-1.2	42	NAN

16	Aug_12_2010	20.47	20.87	21.25	21.14	20.98	20.41	20.3(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-23	-210	-34	10	2.51	58%	-0.05	38	1.9%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
17	Aug_11_2010	20.48	20.87	21.31	21.42	21.32	20.96	20.46(-4.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-14	-130	-31	38	2.77	58%	-0.05	57.8	1.92%	0	-0.7	55	NAN
18	Aug_10_2010	20.49	20.89	21.35	21.42	21.58	21.56	21.5(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-20	-4	88	2.17	66%	0	73.3	1.82%	0	1	85	NAN
19	Aug_9_2010	20.49	20.83	21.29	21.65	21.64	21.68	21.75(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	10	6	102	1.4	66%	0	79.8	1.92%	0	1.5	78	NAN
20	Aug_6_2010	20.49	20.74	21.2	21.58	21.58	21.61	21.71(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	10	11	110	2.1	62%	0	87.4	1.92%	0	1.6	73	NAN

21	Aug_5_2010	20.49	20.64	21.09	21.39	21.5	21.59	21.67(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	40	15	102	1.59	60%	0	88.5	1.98%	0	1.7	74	NAN
22	Aug_4_2010	20.49	20.55	20.97	21.19	21.25	21.54	21.6(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	100	14	84	2.46	56%	0	93.4	2.01%	0	1.9	62	NAN
23	Aug_3_2010	20.49	20.46	20.78	21.01	21.07	21.41	21.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	120	19	62	3.2	56%	0	92.7	2.08%	0	1.9	64	NAN
24	Aug_2_2010	20.49	20.34	20.64	20.89	20.88	20.97	21.43(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	30	12	47	2.19	56%	0	94.4	2.08%	0	2.1	64	NAN
25	Jul_30_2010	20.49	20.22	20.51	20.78	20.78	20.73	20.74(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-1	39	0.92	54%		79.4	2.05%	0	1	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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