Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.6300 (-0.46%) ($19.5800 - $19.8600) on Mon. Aug. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $19.6300(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $20.77
5 Day Moving Average   $20.12(-2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.3(-3.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.77(-5.49%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 4.04%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.26%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.69%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -2.52%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.8%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100923

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2010	20.37	20.77	20.3	20.12	20.08	19.71	19.63(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-44	-130	-18	-122	1.53	58%	-0.05	-13.4	1.86%	0	-1.8	22	0
2	Aug_20_2010	20.38	20.84	20.5	20.24	20.29	20.02	19.72(-2.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-41	-90	-18	-109	2.09	55%	-0.1	-4.6	1.86%	0	-1.9	24	0
3	Aug_19_2010	20.4	20.89	20.7	20.32	20.41	20.45	20.13(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	30	-4	-85	1.34	57%	-0.1	3.4	1.88%	0	-1.4	44	0
4	Aug_18_2010	20.42	20.91	20.85	20.35	20.37	20.57	20.56(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	70	8	-66	1.3	59%	-0.05	3.6	1.86%	0	-0.6	50	0
5	Aug_17_2010	20.43	20.88	20.95	20.33	20.37	20.37	20.56(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	20	-5	-62	2.13	59%	-0.1	-2.7	1.87%	0	-0.5	51	0

6	Aug_16_2010	20.45	20.88	21.05	20.52	20.29	20.17	20.22(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-80	-22	-46	1.1	59%	-0.05	3.7	1.86%	0	-1	41	0
7	Aug_13_2010	20.46	20.86	21.18	20.83	20.59	20.22	20.13(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-160	-27	-15	1.51	56%	-0.05	20.5	1.9%	0	-1.2	42	0
8	Aug_12_2010	20.47	20.87	21.25	21.14	20.98	20.41	20.3(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-23	-210	-34	10	2.51	58%	-0.05	38	1.9%	0	-0.9	48	0
9	Aug_11_2010	20.48	20.87	21.31	21.42	21.32	20.96	20.46(-4.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-14	-130	-31	38	2.77	58%	-0.05	57.8	1.92%	0	-0.7	55	0
10	Aug_10_2010	20.49	20.89	21.35	21.42	21.58	21.56	21.5(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-20	-4	88	2.17	66%	0	73.3	1.82%	0	1	85	0

11	Aug_9_2010	20.49	20.83	21.29	21.65	21.64	21.68	21.75(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	10	6	102	1.4	66%	0	79.8	1.92%	0	1.5	78	0
12	Aug_6_2010	20.49	20.74	21.2	21.58	21.58	21.61	21.71(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	10	11	110	2.1	62%	0	87.4	1.92%	0	1.6	73	0
13	Aug_5_2010	20.49	20.64	21.09	21.39	21.5	21.59	21.67(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	40	15	102	1.59	60%	0	88.5	1.98%	0	1.7	74	0
14	Aug_4_2010	20.49	20.55	20.97	21.19	21.25	21.54	21.6(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	100	14	84	2.46	56%	0	93.4	2.01%	0	1.9	62	0
15	Aug_3_2010	20.49	20.46	20.78	21.01	21.07	21.41	21.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	120	19	62	3.2	56%	0	92.7	2.08%	0	1.9	64	0

16	Aug_2_2010	20.49	20.34	20.64	20.89	20.88	20.97	21.43(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	30	12	47	2.19	56%	0	94.4	2.08%	0	2.1	64	0
17	Jul_30_2010	20.49	20.22	20.51	20.78	20.78	20.73	20.74(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-1	39	0.92	54%	0	79.4	2.05%	0	1	64	0
18	Jul_29_2010	20.49	20.13	20.45	20.76	20.8	20.79	20.7(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	0	3	44	1.45	54%	-0.05	68.9	2.05%	0	1	63	0
19	Jul_28_2010	20.5	20.04	20.43	20.71	20.72	20.79	20.69(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	40	11	54	2.43	54%	0	52.9	2.06%	0	1	63	0
20	Jul_27_2010	20.5	19.95	20.4	20.5	20.64	20.82	20.91(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	80	17	49	1.9	50%	0	33.2	2.06%	0	1.5	68	0

21	Jul_26_2010	20.5	19.87	20.34	20.33	20.36	20.63	20.84(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	100	13	47	3.18	50%	-0.05	22.1	2.13%	0	1.5	72	0
22	Jul_23_2010	20.51	19.81	20.23	20.2	20.15	20.45	20.65(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	100	14	51	1.11	50%	0	13	2.12%	0	1.4	74	0
23	Jul_22_2010	20.51	19.75	20.15	20.1	20.08	20.1	20.45(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	0	4	50	3.39	50%	0	3.2	2.12%	0	1.3	70	0
24	Jul_21_2010	20.51	19.71	20.09	20.13	20.07	19.86	19.67(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-80	-15	64	2.87	47%	-0.05	3	2.06%	0	-0.1	68	0
25	Jul_20_2010	20.52	19.73	20.11	20.28	20.26	20.06	20.04(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-70	-10	93	5.35	47%		10	2.05%	0	0.6	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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