Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.3400 (-0.15%) ($19.0500 - $19.3800) on Fri. Jun. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $19.3400(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14(-27.61%)
5 Day Moving Average   $18.83(2.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.96(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.08(1.36%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.43%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2010	20.67	19.08	18.96	18.83	18.89	19.24	19.34(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	16	140	19	5	1.49	45%	-0.05	-62.3	1.9%	0	0.5	51	0
2	Jun_10_2010	20.68	19.13	18.95	18.66	18.71	19	19.37(4.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	120	14	-9	2.02	45%	-0.14	-53.4	1.91%	0	0.4	52	0
3	Jun_9_2010	20.71	19.18	18.95	18.67	18.56	18.55	18.62(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-20	-8	-39	3.63	40%	-0.19	-43.4	1.84%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Jun_8_2010	20.75	19.26	18.85	18.82	18.74	18.42	18.48(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-130	-14	-43	2.55	40%	-0.1	-39.1	1.84%	0	-1.2	39	0
5	Jun_7_2010	20.77	19.34	18.88	18.93	18.95	18.56	18.33(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-140	-25	-56	5.2	40%	-0.24	-43.9	1.83%	0	-1.5	35	0

6	Jun_4_2010	20.82	19.39	18.97	19.09	19.09	19.06	18.51(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10	-19	-48	5.45	42%	-0.19	-56.3	1.84%	0	-1.4	37	0
7	Jun_3_2010	20.86	19.44	19.04	19.26	19.23	19.33	19.39(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	30	20	-39	12.24	46%	-0.19	-67.7	1.76%	0	-0.1	38	0
8	Jun_2_2010	20.9	19.47	19.05	19.04	19.16	19.12	19.4(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	0	13	-79	3.57	48%	-0.14	-85.1	1.76%	0	-0.1	36	0
9	Jun_1_2010	20.93	19.52	19.07	18.88	18.97	19.13	19(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	70	4	-108	2.87	45%	-0.33	-90.7	1.75%	0	-0.8	39	0
10	May_28_2010	21	19.64	19.15	18.83	18.79	19.19	19.15(-1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	140	11	-116	1.99	45%	-0.14	-77.1	1.76%	0	-0.6	39	0

11	May_27_2010	21.03	19.75	19.21	18.85	18.69	18.81	19.38(5.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	20	16	-104	2.61	45%	-0.19	-75.8	1.77%	0	-0.4	53	0
12	May_26_2010	21.07	19.85	19.3	18.79	18.66	18.39	18.29(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-120	-27	-122	3.47	37%	-0.24	-77	1.61%	0	-1.7	42	0
13	May_25_2010	21.12	19.99	19.54	19.07	18.8	18.58	18.58(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-120	-29	-87	3.78	37%	-0.19	-77.5	1.6%	0	-1.6	37	0
14	May_24_2010	21.16	20.13	19.7	19.27	19.11	18.92	18.76(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-90	-24	-71	2.24	37%	-0.09	-72.8	1.6%	0	-1.5	34	0
15	May_21_2010	21.18	20.3	19.85	19.51	19.37	19.03	19.24(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-140	-19	-70	3.85	38%	-0.19	-65.2	1.56%	0	-1.1	31	0

16	May_20_2010	21.22	20.45	19.86	19.62	19.57	19.29	19.09(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-110	-35	-102	4.45	38%	-0.14	-62	1.57%	0	-1.4	31	0
17	May_19_2010	21.25	20.59	19.9	19.89	19.8	19.7	19.66(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-50	-22	-108	5.6	41%	-0.14	-58.2	1.54%	0	-1	33	0
18	May_18_2010	21.28	20.71	19.94	20.08	20.07	19.85	19.62(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-80	-12	-105	9.37	41%	-0.19	-54.8	1.54%	0	-1.1	36	0
19	May_17_2010	21.32	20.84	20.03	20.19	20.25	19.91	19.92(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-110	-17	-111	8.64	41%	-0.05	-53.5	1.53%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	May_14_2010	21.33	20.94	20.17	20.24	20.3	20.29	19.81(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	10	-3	-112	2.3	45%	-0.14	-54.2	1.56%	0	-1.2	30	0

21	May_13_2010	21.36	21.06	20.32	20.12	20.37	20.59	20.45(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	110	31	-128	1.96	49%	-0.09	-57.2	1.52%	0	-0.6	35	0
22	May_12_2010	21.38	21.16	20.41	19.89	20.04	20.32	20.62(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-29	120	17	-165	2.45	49%	-0.09	-59.1	1.53%	0	-0.5	38	0
23	May_11_2010	21.4	21.26	20.46	19.78	19.85	20.14	20.14(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-46	110	6	-200	2.28	45%	-0.09	-59.1	1.51%	0	-1.1	32	0
24	May_10_2010	21.42	21.37	20.58	19.87	19.88	19.76	20.19(5.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-64	-40	-13	-217	3.9	45%	-0.14	-57.5	1.51%	0	-1.2	31	0
25	May_7_2010	21.45	21.48	20.77	20.13	19.99	19.56	19.18(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-100	-170	-58	-224	5.64	41%		-52.4	1.39%	0	-2.3	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.