Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.6200 (-1.51%) ($19.5000 - $20.2100) on Tue. May. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $19.6200(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

Resistance Level   $20.71
5 Day Moving Average   $20.08(-2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.94(-1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.71(-5.26%)
To recent high   -13.3%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.73% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.1%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.9%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.47%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.46%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2010	21.28	20.71	19.94	20.08	20.07	19.85	19.62(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-80	-12	-105	9.37	41%	-0.19	-54.8	1.54%	0	-1.1	36	NAN
2	May_17_2010	21.32	20.84	20.03	20.19	20.25	19.91	19.92(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-110	-17	-111	8.64	41%	-0.05	-53.5	1.53%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
3	May_14_2010	21.33	20.94	20.17	20.24	20.3	20.29	19.81(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	10	-3	-112	2.3	45%	-0.14	-54.2	1.56%	0	-1.2	30	NAN
4	May_13_2010	21.36	21.06	20.32	20.12	20.37	20.59	20.45(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	110	31	-128	1.96	49%	-0.09	-57.2	1.52%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
5	May_12_2010	21.38	21.16	20.41	19.89	20.04	20.32	20.62(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-29	120	17	-165	2.45	49%	-0.09	-59.1	1.53%	0	-0.5	38	NAN

6	May_11_2010	21.4	21.26	20.46	19.78	19.85	20.14	20.14(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-46	110	6	-200	2.28	45%	-0.09	-59.1	1.51%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
7	May_10_2010	21.42	21.37	20.58	19.87	19.88	19.76	20.19(5.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-64	-40	-13	-217	3.9	45%	-0.14	-57.5	1.51%	0	-1.2	31	NAN
8	May_7_2010	21.45	21.48	20.77	20.13	19.99	19.56	19.18(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-100	-170	-58	-224	5.64	41%	-0.09	-52.4	1.39%	0	-2.3	22	NAN
9	May_6_2010	21.47	21.64	21.08	20.57	20.54	20	19.32(-3.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-85	-190	-54	-177	4.49	41%	-0.19	-49.1	1.39%	0	-2.8	22	NAN
10	May_5_2010	21.51	21.78	21.35	21	20.95	20.43	20.05(-2.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-74	-180	-49	-148	4	47%	-0.09	-46	1.32%	0	-2.7	23	NAN

11	May_4_2010	21.53	21.88	21.56	21.23	21.27	21.09	20.59(-4.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-53	-50	-28	-127	1.3	44%	-0.09	-46	1.3%	0	-2.6	25	NAN
12	May_3_2010	21.55	21.97	21.74	21.37	21.39	21.47	21.5(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	30	-11	-108	2.12	52%	-0.05	-44	1.29%	0	-1.2	38	NAN
13	Apr_30_2010	21.56	22.01	21.79	21.52	21.44	21.45	21.39(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10	-11	-98	2.91	55%	-0.05	-27.1	1.3%	0	-1.6	36	NAN
14	Apr_29_2010	21.57	22.05	21.86	21.68	21.63	21.32	21.47(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-110	-14	-84	2.25	55%	0	-6.5	1.31%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
15	Apr_28_2010	21.57	22.08	21.97	21.76	21.79	21.44	21.2(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-45	-110	-36	-72	2.94	51%	-0.05	8.2	1.31%	0	-2.5	43	NAN

16	Apr_27_2010	21.58	22.11	22.12	21.95	21.93	21.95	21.3(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-26	0	-23	-33	1.35	51%	-0.09	32.8	1.33%	0	-2.8	44	NAN
17	Apr_26_2010	21.6	22.15	22.23	22.14	21.93	22.14	22.26(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	20	13	8	0.48	60%	0	74	1.21%	0	0.5	53	NAN
18	Apr_23_2010	21.6	22.11	22.23	22.09	22.04	21.91	22.15(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-50	1	-2	0.84	60%	-0.05	64.4	1.2%	0	0.2	48	NAN
19	Apr_22_2010	21.61	22.08	22.24	22.08	22.01	21.93	21.91(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-30	-22	-13	1.12	56%	-0.05	50.7	1.21%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
20	Apr_21_2010	21.62	22.05	22.25	22.21	22.12	22.17	22.11(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	0	-7	10	0.97	50%	-0.05	47.2	1.23%	0	0.2	56	NAN

21	Apr_20_2010	21.63	22.02	22.23	22.32	22.22	22.08	22.26(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-60	-3	26	0.66	46%	0	50.9	1.28%	0	0.6	61	NAN
22	Apr_19_2010	21.63	21.98	22.22	22.34	22.3	22.07	22(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-80	-18	28	1.13	46%	0	50.5	1.33%	0	0	56	NAN
23	Apr_16_2010	21.63	21.95	22.25	22.41	22.4	22.36	22.11(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10	-8	53	1.14	46%	0	51.3	1.33%	0	0.4	63	NAN
24	Apr_15_2010	21.63	21.92	22.26	22.42	22.43	22.53	22.58(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	30	15	82	3.45	45%	0	54.7	1.32%	0	1.6	78	NAN
25	Apr_14_2010	21.63	21.88	22.19	22.28	22.32	22.44	22.63(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	34	40	18	80	1.42	45%		55.1	1.35%	0	1.9	81	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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