Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.2600 (0.13%) ($22.1600 - $22.3400) on Mon. Apr. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $22.2600(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $22(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.72(2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.57(3.2%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -0.87%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.91%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2010	21.68	21.57	21.72	22	22.02	22.22	22.26(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	70	20	58	1.72	41%	-0.05	96.1	1.36%	0	2.1	67	NAN
2	Apr_1_2010	21.69	21.51	21.62	21.86	21.9	22.01	22.23(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	40	22	41	1.05	44%	0	100.7	1.37%	0	2.2	61	NAN
3	Mar_31_2010	21.69	21.44	21.55	21.68	21.75	21.82	21.87(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	30	12	20	1.71	42%	-0.05	104.1	1.37%	0	1.4	59	NAN
4	Mar_30_2010	21.7	21.39	21.54	21.55	21.65	21.8	21.78(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	60	12	14	0.61	42%	0	99.4	1.37%	0	1.2	60	NAN
5	Mar_29_2010	21.7	21.33	21.52	21.49	21.49	21.68	21.84(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	60	15	20	0.49	42%	0	90.4	1.37%	0	1.3	66	NAN

6	Mar_26_2010	21.7	21.26	21.52	21.4	21.4	21.5	21.59(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	30	13	16	1.52	42%	-0.05	72.5	1.36%	0	0.7	62	NAN
7	Mar_25_2010	21.71	21.18	21.47	21.35	21.3	21.3	21.34(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10	-3	12	1.24	42%	0	58.5	1.36%	0	0.3	57	NAN
8	Mar_24_2010	21.71	21.12	21.48	21.4	21.29	21.29	21.19(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-20	-11	27	2.12	42%	0.05	53.5	1.36%	0	0.1	62	NAN
9	Mar_23_2010	21.7	21.07	21.49	21.52	21.41	21.3	21.48(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-50	-4	53	0.65	42%	0	53.9	1.36%	0	0.7	67	NAN
10	Mar_22_2010	21.7	20.99	21.45	21.56	21.5	21.29	21.39(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-80	-10	64	0.42	42%	0	53.4	1.36%	0	0.7	69	NAN

11	Mar_19_2010	21.7	20.94	21.42	21.55	21.6	21.51	21.35(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-20	-10	80	0.45	42%	0	57.5	1.35%	0	0.7	74	NAN
12	Mar_18_2010	21.7	20.9	21.4	21.59	21.59	21.71	21.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	40	3	112	0.44	42%	0	63.1	1.36%	0	1.2	83	NAN
13	Mar_17_2010	21.7	20.83	21.32	21.56	21.57	21.69	21.78(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	40	17	133	1.14	39%	0	66.5	1.36%	0	1.6	88	NAN
14	Mar_16_2010	21.7	20.75	21.23	21.46	21.46	21.48	21.67(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	10	11	134	0.48	39%	-0.05	68.1	1.4%	0	1.7	85	NAN
15	Mar_15_2010	21.71	20.68	21.12	21.33	21.38	21.46	21.37(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	7	134	0.41	36%	-0.09	72.9	1.4%	0	1.4	83	NAN

16	Mar_12_2010	21.73	20.6	21.02	21.27	21.28	21.45	21.55(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	60	14	132	0.35	36%	-0.09	69.4	1.39%	0	1.8	72	NAN
17	Mar_11_2010	21.75	20.52	20.88	21.18	21.17	21.29	21.42(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	40	17	119	1.01	36%	-0.05	70.9	1.4%	0	1.9	70	NAN
18	Mar_10_2010	21.76	20.45	20.73	21.05	21.09	21.11	21.28(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	10	10	97	0.52	36%	-0.09	61.9	1.4%	0	1.9	70	NAN
19	Mar_9_2010	21.78	20.39	20.6	20.97	20.99	21.05	21.03(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	5	81	1.76	36%	-0.14	52.6	1.39%	0	1.6	67	NAN
20	Mar_8_2010	21.81	20.32	20.5	20.89	20.96	21.07	21.06(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	50	18	72	1.4	34%	-0.09	33.2	1.39%	0	1.8	66	NAN

21	Mar_5_2010	21.83	20.25	20.43	20.74	20.83	20.93	21.11(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	50	21	68	1.49	34%	-0.09	17.1	1.41%	0	2.2	76	NAN
22	Mar_4_2010	21.85	20.19	20.34	20.53	20.64	20.85	20.79(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	90	21	51	1.61	31%	-0.14	-5.5	1.41%	0	1.8	65	NAN
23	Mar_3_2010	21.88	20.19	20.29	20.35	20.43	20.74	20.84(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	120	28	39	2.13	31%	-0.09	-21.4	1.41%	0	1.9	65	NAN
24	Mar_2_2010	21.9	20.19	20.23	20.19	20.15	20.44	20.63(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	90	24	22	0.78	31%	-0.09	-33.1	1.41%	0	1.3	60	NAN
25	Mar_1_2010	21.92	20.18	20.2	20.06	20.01	20.12	20.32(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	30	9	17	1.94	32%		-48.3	1.39%	0	0.4	67	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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