Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.5900 (-1.83%) ($22.4100 - $22.7200) on Thu. Nov. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $22.5900(-1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.79(-0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.57(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.16(1.94%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2009	21.02	22.16	22.57	22.79	22.83	22.8	22.59(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-0	1	118	1.03	57%	0.19	-5.4	1.74%	0	0.6	71	0
2	Nov_18_2009	20.98	22.19	22.5	22.73	22.77	22.9	23.01(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	50	8	115	0.38	59%	0.24	-8.3	1.72%	0	1.1	58	0
3	Nov_17_2009	20.93	22.19	22.33	22.65	22.62	22.86	22.86(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	70	13	114	0.52	56%	0.24	-13.2	1.72%	0	0.9	64	0
4	Nov_16_2009	20.88	22.19	22.16	22.54	22.57	22.64	23.02(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	30	13	90	0.89	56%	0.24	-14.5	1.77%	0	1.1	56	0
5	Nov_13_2009	20.83	22.18	21.97	22.47	22.43	22.38	22.49(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-20	4	64	1.98	54%	0.19	-14.7	1.76%	0	0.4	50	0

6	Nov_12_2009	20.79	22.2	21.83	22.32	22.45	22.5	22.25(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	30	8	24	1.22	54%	0.24	-17.1	1.77%	0	0.1	42	0
7	Nov_11_2009	20.74	22.25	21.8	22.22	22.28	22.49	22.61(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	70	20	3	2.59	54%	0.24	-15.4	1.75%	0	0.4	43	0
8	Nov_10_2009	20.69	22.28	21.66	21.96	22.06	22.41	22.35(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	120	26	-42	0.98	54%	0.24	-17.9	1.77%	0	0.1	44	0
9	Nov_9_2009	20.64	22.28	21.62	21.71	21.82	22.08	22.63(4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	100	33	-77	0.53	54%	0.19	-23.4	1.76%	0	0.4	45	0
10	Nov_6_2009	20.6	22.29	21.58	21.41	21.44	21.72	21.76(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	100	15	-127	1.59	50%	0.15	-27.3	1.69%	0	-0.7	35	0

11	Nov_5_2009	20.57	22.33	21.69	21.26	21.31	21.56	21.75(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-29	90	9	-141	0.28	50%	0.19	-26.5	1.7%	0	-0.7	40	0
12	Nov_4_2009	20.53	22.37	21.83	21.32	21.24	21.17	21.33(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	-30	1	-144	1.16	48%	0.15	-19	1.68%	0	-1.3	33	0
13	Nov_3_2009	20.5	22.42	22	21.31	21.37	21.07	21.06(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-90	-21	-159	0.77	51%	0.1	-20.4	1.68%	0	-1.8	30	0
14	Nov_2_2009	20.48	22.48	22.2	21.51	21.52	21.31	21.17(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-70	-28	-139	0.74	51%	0.1	-14.4	1.72%	0	-1.8	39	0
15	Oct_30_2009	20.46	22.51	22.42	21.76	21.77	21.67	21(-4.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-51	-30	-30	-113	1.01	51%	0.05	-8.9	1.73%	0	-2.1	37	0

16	Oct_29_2009	20.45	22.54	22.62	22.18	22.1	21.74	22.05(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-120	-24	-76	0.87	56%	0.15	5	1.62%	0	-0.7	48	0
17	Oct_28_2009	20.42	22.52	22.75	22.43	22.41	21.88	21.28(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-48	-170	-46	-52	1.77	53%	0.1	12.8	1.56%	0	-1.9	39	0
18	Oct_27_2009	20.4	22.58	22.97	22.79	22.79	22.46	22.07(-1.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-23	-100	-32	4	0.92	57%	0.1	29.5	1.51%	0	-0.8	53	0
19	Oct_26_2009	20.38	22.59	23.05	22.99	23.02	22.94	22.4(-3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-20	-19	40	1.38	57%	0.15	36.9	1.49%	0	-0.3	58	0
20	Oct_23_2009	20.35	22.58	23.09	23.17	23.13	23.12	23.12(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10	4	91	1.01	65%	0.2	44.5	1.43%	0	0.8	75	0

21	Oct_22_2009	20.31	22.51	23.03	23.12	23.14	23.1	23.3(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	25	-10	-1	104	0.72	65%	0.2	38	1.46%	0	1.2	81	0
22	Oct_21_2009	20.27	22.44	22.95	23.13	23.08	23.14	23.04(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	10	-5	126	2.38	65%	0.1	36	1.45%	0	1	76	0
23	Oct_20_2009	20.25	22.39	22.87	23.18	23.12	23.18	23.1(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	10	9	140	0.7	65%	0.2	39	1.45%	0	1.2	60	0
24	Oct_19_2009	20.21	22.36	22.77	23.11	23.14	23.02	23.28(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-30	8	133	0.55	65%	0.2	40.8	1.46%	0	1.6	63	0
25	Oct_16_2009	20.17	22.3	22.61	23	23.01	23.06	22.87(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	20	-2	111	1.2	63%		40.8	1.45%	0	1.1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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