Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 31, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.9100 (-0.81%) ($20.7700 - $20.9900) on Mon. Aug. 31, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $20.9100(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.05(-0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.71(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.5(2%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   23.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.04%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2009	18.72	20.5	20.71	21.05	21.01	21.05	20.91(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	10	-2	82	0.5	49%	0.11	60.5	1.8%	0	0.9	65	NAN
2	Aug_28_2009	18.7	20.49	20.58	21.04	21.09	21.09	21.08(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	10	7	75	0.53	49%	0.27	69.1	1.8%	0	1.3	60	NAN
3	Aug_27_2009	18.65	20.44	20.49	20.99	21.02	20.97	21.12(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10	7	70	3.1	49%	0.27	69.5	1.81%	0	1.5	58	NAN
4	Aug_26_2009	18.6	20.37	20.42	20.8	20.98	21.09	21.05(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	60	15	57	0.39	49%	0.27	59.7	1.82%	0	1.5	57	NAN
5	Aug_25_2009	18.55	20.3	20.33	20.59	20.77	21.07	21.1(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	130	27	37	0.43	49%	0.27	50.2	1.82%	0	1.8	55	NAN

6	Aug_24_2009	18.5	20.23	20.21	20.31	20.41	20.86	20.84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	23	170	30	2	0.54	49%	0.27	40.9	1.83%	0	1.5	49	NAN
7	Aug_21_2009	18.45	20.18	20.14	20.06	20.09	20.46	20.84(3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	12	130	26	-30	0.66	49%	0.27	34.6	1.83%	0	1.7	48	NAN
8	Aug_20_2009	18.4	20.13	20.09	19.93	19.78	19.97	20.19(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	40	3	-48	0.5	44%	0.27	43.1	1.8%	0	0.2	52	NAN
9	Aug_19_2009	18.35	20.11	20.11	19.99	19.83	19.73	19.97(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-60	-1	-36	1.57	44%	0.27	55.2	1.81%	0	-0.4	54	NAN
10	Aug_18_2009	18.3	20.08	20.16	20.03	20	19.59	19.72(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-150	-14	-25	0.44	50%	0.27	60.7	1.81%	0	-0.8	54	NAN

11	Aug_17_2009	18.25	20.06	20.27	20.08	20.11	19.93	19.57(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-60	-21	-8	1.38	50%	0.22	74.4	1.89%	0	-1	53	NAN
12	Aug_14_2009	18.21	20.05	20.27	20.22	20.22	20.4	20.22(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	60	1	27	0.73	54%	0.28	86.2	1.86%	0	0.3	56	NAN
13	Aug_13_2009	18.16	19.98	20.39	20.26	20.21	20.3	20.47(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	20	8	37	0.46	49%	0.28	95.3	1.85%	0	0.8	61	NAN
14	Aug_12_2009	18.11	19.9	20.33	20.25	20.23	20.03	20.16(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-70	-8	30	0.51	49%	0.28	99.7	1.92%	0	0.4	59	NAN
15	Aug_11_2009	18.06	19.82	20.28	20.33	20.33	20.13	19.96(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-70	-18	39	0.85	49%	0.22	97.4	1.92%	0	0.2	65	NAN

16	Aug_10_2009	18.02	19.72	20.26	20.49	20.49	20.42	20.3(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-9	63	0.52	49%	0.28	94.7	1.94%	0	0.7	73	NAN
17	Aug_7_2009	17.97	19.59	20.23	20.58	20.58	20.53	20.41(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-20	1	86	0.3	54%	0.34	87.1	2.02%	0	0.8	77	NAN
18	Aug_6_2009	17.91	19.43	20.18	20.53	20.61	20.56	20.42(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10	5	100	2.71	54%	0.28	78.3	2.04%	0	0.9	80	NAN
19	Aug_5_2009	17.86	19.28	20.12	20.41	20.5	20.64	20.57(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	60	11	109	0.96	54%	0.34	66.1	2.04%	0	1.1	81	NAN
20	Aug_4_2009	17.8	19.1	19.99	20.22	20.31	20.67	20.73(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	140	22	109	0.95	58%	0.39	55.8	2.05%	0	1.3	86	NAN

21	Aug_3_2009	17.73	18.91	19.84	20	20.06	20.35	20.79(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	110	22	112	0.46	58%	0.4	47.3	2.11%	0	1.6	91	NAN
22	Jul_31_2009	17.66	18.74	19.66	19.83	19.79	19.94	20.14(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	50	7	116	0.45	55%	0.34	44.4	2.09%	0	1.3	90	NAN
23	Jul_30_2009	17.6	18.61	19.53	19.79	19.73	19.76	19.81(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	38	0	4	139	2.51	55%	0.34	43.6	2.08%	0	1.1	91	NAN
24	Jul_29_2009	17.54	18.54	19.43	19.78	19.72	19.63	19.64(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	43	-40	2	165	0.46	55%	0.34	48.5	2.08%	0	1.1	84	NAN
25	Jul_28_2009	17.48	18.45	19.33	19.71	19.69	19.7	19.64(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	0	3	186	0.56	55%		50.1	2.11%	0	1.2	86	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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