Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.7200 (0.77%) ($19.5100 - $19.8300) on Tue. Aug. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.81% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $19.7200(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.905% (StdDev 1.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $20.08
5 Day Moving Average   $20.03(-1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.16(-2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.08(-1.79%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.2%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.15%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.82%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2009	18.3	20.08	20.16	20.03	20	19.59	19.72(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-150	-14	-25	0.44	50%	0.27	60.7	1.81%	0	-0.8	54	0
2	Aug_17_2009	18.25	20.06	20.27	20.08	20.11	19.93	19.57(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-60	-21	-8	1.38	50%	0.22	74.4	1.89%	0	-1	53	0
3	Aug_14_2009	18.21	20.05	20.27	20.22	20.22	20.4	20.22(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	60	1	27	0.73	54%	0.28	86.2	1.86%	0	0.3	56	0
4	Aug_13_2009	18.16	19.98	20.39	20.26	20.21	20.3	20.47(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	20	8	37	0.46	49%	0.28	95.3	1.85%	0	0.8	61	0
5	Aug_12_2009	18.11	19.9	20.33	20.25	20.23	20.03	20.16(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-70	-8	30	0.51	49%	0.28	99.7	1.92%	0	0.4	59	0

6	Aug_11_2009	18.06	19.82	20.28	20.33	20.33	20.13	19.96(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-70	-18	39	0.85	49%	0.22	97.4	1.92%	0	0.2	65	0
7	Aug_10_2009	18.02	19.72	20.26	20.49	20.49	20.42	20.3(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-9	63	0.52	49%	0.28	94.7	1.94%	0	0.7	73	0
8	Aug_7_2009	17.97	19.59	20.23	20.58	20.58	20.53	20.41(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-20	1	86	0.3	54%	0.34	87.1	2.02%	0	0.8	77	0
9	Aug_6_2009	17.91	19.43	20.18	20.53	20.61	20.56	20.42(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10	5	100	2.71	54%	0.28	78.3	2.04%	0	0.9	80	0
10	Aug_5_2009	17.86	19.28	20.12	20.41	20.5	20.64	20.57(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	60	11	109	0.96	54%	0.34	66.1	2.04%	0	1.1	81	0

11	Aug_4_2009	17.8	19.1	19.99	20.22	20.31	20.67	20.73(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	140	22	109	0.95	58%	0.39	55.8	2.05%	0	1.3	86	0
12	Aug_3_2009	17.73	18.91	19.84	20	20.06	20.35	20.79(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	110	22	112	0.46	58%	0.4	47.3	2.11%	0	1.6	91	0
13	Jul_31_2009	17.66	18.74	19.66	19.83	19.79	19.94	20.14(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	50	7	116	0.45	55%	0.34	44.4	2.09%	0	1.3	90	0
14	Jul_30_2009	17.6	18.61	19.53	19.79	19.73	19.76	19.81(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	38	0	4	139	2.51	55%	0.34	43.6	2.08%	0	1.1	91	0
15	Jul_29_2009	17.54	18.54	19.43	19.78	19.72	19.63	19.64(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	43	-40	2	165	0.46	55%	0.34	48.5	2.08%	0	1.1	84	0

16	Jul_28_2009	17.48	18.45	19.33	19.71	19.69	19.7	19.64(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	0	3	186	0.56	55%	0.4	50.1	2.11%	0	1.2	86	0
17	Jul_27_2009	17.41	18.37	19.14	19.63	19.6	19.81	19.93(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	70	13	201	0.86	55%	0.4	52.3	2.1%	0	1.6	90	0
18	Jul_24_2009	17.34	18.26	18.92	19.46	19.47	19.67	19.91(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	70	21	197	3.41	55%	0.46	48.3	2.11%	0	1.8	77	0
19	Jul_23_2009	17.26	18.16	18.64	19.23	19.28	19.39	19.79(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	50	16	169	0.93	55%	0.35	42.5	2.12%	0	2	72	0
20	Jul_22_2009	17.2	18.05	18.38	19.03	19.06	19.27	19.29(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	80	11	139	0.39	53%	0.35	36.4	2.11%	0	1.7	57	0

21	Jul_21_2009	17.14	17.96	18.15	18.89	18.94	19.17	19.23(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	90	26	119	0.63	53%	0.41	29	2.11%	0	1.9	61	0
22	Jul_20_2009	17.07	17.88	17.92	18.58	18.71	18.86	19.1(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	80	24	73	0.49	47%	0.35	11.9	2.12%	0	2	56	0
23	Jul_17_2009	17.01	17.84	17.74	18.28	18.38	18.71	18.72(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	140	24	40	1.12	47%	0.29	-10.7	2.22%	0	1.6	57	0
24	Jul_16_2009	16.96	17.81	17.62	17.94	18.07	18.57	18.81(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	220	33	10	0.49	47%	0.3	-39.3	2.22%	0	1.9	57	0
25	Jul_15_2009	16.91	17.78	17.55	17.64	17.65	18.05	18.57(4.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	22	160	32	-8	1.23	47%		-68	2.22%	0	1.6	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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