Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $18.8100 (1.29%) ($18.5600 - $18.8900) on Thu. Jul. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $18.8100(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.94(4.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.62(6.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.81(5.61%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.51%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2009	16.96	17.81	17.62	17.94	18.07	18.57	18.81(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	220	33	10	0.49	47%	0.3	-39.3	2.22%	0	1.9	57	0
2	Jul_15_2009	16.91	17.78	17.55	17.64	17.65	18.05	18.57(4.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	22	160	32	-8	1.23	47%	0.3	-68	2.22%	0	1.6	58	0
3	Jul_14_2009	16.86	17.76	17.48	17.31	17.36	17.57	17.7(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	90	19	-38	0.66	42%	0.24	-98.1	2.14%	0	-0.1	51	0
4	Jul_13_2009	16.82	17.81	17.52	17.15	17.18	17.25	17.6(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	30	4	-53	1.37	42%	0.18	-107	2.15%	0	-0.4	48	0
5	Jul_10_2009	16.79	17.9	17.55	17.13	17.11	17.16	17.04(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	20	-7	-70	0.9	37%	0.18	-87.5	2.12%	0	-1.4	33	0

6	Jul_9_2009	16.76	18.02	17.64	17.25	17.17	17.12	17.27(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-30	-12	-68	0.58	37%	0.12	-75.8	2.13%	0	-1.1	37	0
7	Jul_8_2009	16.74	18.13	17.69	17.46	17.3	17.06	16.92(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-120	-20	-62	1.42	37%	0.18	-66.7	2.14%	0	-1.7	31	0
8	Jul_7_2009	16.71	18.25	17.77	17.68	17.64	17.23	16.94(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-170	-24	-56	0.49	37%	0	-67.4	2.15%	0	-1.8	33	0
9	Jul_6_2009	16.71	18.37	17.87	17.93	17.89	17.54	17.46(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-140	-20	-45	0.59	40%	0.18	-66	2.15%	0	-1.4	34	0
10	Jul_2_2009	16.68	18.47	17.97	18.02	18.1	18.06	17.64(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-0	-8	-48	0.56	48%	0.06	-59.6	2.16%	0	-1.2	27	0

11	Jul_1_2009	16.67	18.57	17.97	18.08	18.13	18.25	18.36(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	50	11	-52	1.06	52%	0.18	-53.4	2.22%	0	-0.3	31	0
12	Jun_30_2009	16.64	18.63	18.04	17.95	17.98	18.13	17.98(-1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	60	7	-77	0.45	46%	0.06	-48.9	2.22%	0	-0.8	29	0
13	Jun_29_2009	16.63	18.74	18.07	17.88	17.89	18.01	18.23(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	50	10	-92	0.4	46%	0.12	-44.5	2.31%	0	-0.6	34	0
14	Jun_26_2009	16.61	18.82	18.11	17.8	17.77	17.82	17.88(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	10	-5	-111	0.38	43%	0.12	-41.6	2.36%	0	-1.2	27	0
15	Jun_25_2009	16.59	18.9	18.26	17.92	17.8	17.78	17.94(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-30	-5	-102	0.35	43%	0.12	-35.6	2.36%	0	-1.2	27	0

16	Jun_24_2009	16.57	18.96	18.42	18.01	17.99	17.71	17.74(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-110	-10	-100	0.43	40%	0.12	-33.8	2.37%	0	-1.7	20	0
17	Jun_23_2009	16.55	19.02	18.59	18.14	18.14	17.82	17.62(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-37	-120	-18	-95	0.67	46%	0.12	-29.3	2.42%	0	-2.1	21	0
18	Jun_22_2009	16.53	19.1	18.76	18.28	18.32	18.26	17.82(-3.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-33	-20	-13	-91	1.15	46%	0.12	-20.1	2.53%	0	-2.1	18	0
19	Jun_19_2009	16.51	19.16	18.92	18.45	18.44	18.46	18.49(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	10	-8	-88	0.36	49%	0.18	-2.5	2.49%	0	-1.2	29	0
20	Jun_18_2009	16.48	19.18	19.01	18.66	18.5	18.38	18.38(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-70	-15	-77	2.7	53%	0.12	16.3	2.49%	0	-1.5	40	0

21	Jun_17_2009	16.46	19.21	19.15	18.91	18.77	18.42	18.39(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-150	-17	-53	0.63	53%	0.18	44.2	2.53%	0	-1.6	46	0
22	Jun_16_2009	16.43	19.22	19.28	19.12	19.11	18.63	18.34(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-180	-20	-33	1.3	53%	0.12	60	2.53%	0	-1.8	48	0
23	Jun_15_2009	16.41	19.23	19.47	19.31	19.36	19.12	18.65(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-80	-16	-6	0.93	53%	0.24	70.2	2.52%	0	-1.1	47	0
24	Jun_12_2009	16.37	19.18	19.61	19.44	19.49	19.58	19.54(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	40	2	23	0.53	57%	0.24	54.3	2.44%	0	0.6	61	0
25	Jun_11_2009	16.33	19.09	19.59	19.41	19.41	19.59	19.65(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	60	1	29	0.64	57%		48.5	2.46%	0	0.8	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.