Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $14.9500 (-1.45%) ($14.9100 - $15.2600) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.11% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $14.9500(-1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(80%)    VWO(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.555% (StdDev 3.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.79(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.28(4.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.82(8.18%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 5.35% (three month std-dev: 3.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.31%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.25%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.2%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.78%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2009	16.2	13.82	14.28	14.79	14.86	15.22	14.95(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	180	11	139	0.63	37%	-0.18	9.2	3.11%	0	1.5	75	0
2	Mar_19_2009	16.23	13.78	14.08	14.64	14.7	15.03	15.17(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	170	20	124	0.88	37%	-0.18	-6.1	3.13%	0	1.9	65	0
3	Mar_18_2009	16.26	13.74	13.84	14.45	14.4	14.5	15.06(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	40	16	98	0.71	37%	-0.18	-24.4	3.15%	0	2	61	0
4	Mar_17_2009	16.29	13.74	13.67	14.19	14.2	14.36	14.48(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	80	10	76	1.29	34%	-0.06	-46	3.1%	0	1.2	58	0
5	Mar_16_2009	16.3	13.7	13.51	14.01	14.08	14.3	14.3(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	120	22	51	1.31	40%	-0.06	-68.3	3.1%	0	0.9	50	0

6	Mar_13_2009	16.31	13.75	13.35	13.69	13.83	14.04	14.18(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	140	19	13	0.52	40%	-0.18	-75.2	3.24%	0	0.6	55	0
7	Mar_12_2009	16.34	13.82	13.27	13.42	13.45	13.86	14.21(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	220	20	-18	2.97	40%	-0.12	-73.6	3.26%	0	0.4	48	0
8	Mar_11_2009	16.36	13.9	13.2	13.13	13.2	13.62	13.79(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	240	12	-55	0.72	40%	-0.24	-71.3	3.24%	0	-0.1	42	0
9	Mar_10_2009	16.4	14	13.18	13.08	13.09	13.03	13.55(6.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-30	10	-71	1.12	40%	-0.36	-67.5	3.23%	0	-0.4	41	0
10	Mar_9_2009	16.46	14.15	13.22	12.95	13.08	12.79	12.73(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-130	-7	-98	0.41	35%	-0.36	-58.3	3.13%	0	-1.2	31	0

11	Mar_6_2009	16.52	14.34	13.31	12.96	13.08	13.14	12.82(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	40	-10	-121	0.7	39%	-0.36	-53	3.2%	0	-1.2	25	0
12	Mar_5_2009	16.58	14.5	13.46	13.09	13.16	13.38	12.77(-5.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	130	-5	-127	0.59	39%	-0.3	-50.5	3.22%	0	-1.4	24	0
13	Mar_4_2009	16.63	14.66	13.64	13.27	13.19	13.17	13.54(5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-30	1	-132	0.66	42%	-0.42	-51.6	3.15%	0	-0.9	26	0
14	Mar_3_2009	16.7	14.78	13.73	13.3	13.3	12.95	12.87(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-180	-18	-158	0.48	38%	-0.48	-51.6	3.08%	0	-1.6	19	0
15	Mar_2_2009	16.78	14.91	13.91	13.55	13.5	13.21	12.78(-5.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-54	-160	-17	-165	0.69	38%	-0.36	-51.5	3.08%	0	-1.9	15	0

16	Feb_27_2009	16.84	15.05	14.2	13.72	13.73	13.65	13.49(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-46	-40	-10	-155	0.32	36%	-0.3	-51.3	3.22%	0	-1.5	20	0
17	Feb_26_2009	16.89	15.17	14.43	13.88	13.86	13.78	13.69(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-40	-10	-146	0.41	36%	-0.35	-48.4	3.24%	0	-1.5	30	0
18	Feb_25_2009	16.95	15.32	14.66	14.07	14.02	13.81	13.65(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-120	-12	-133	1.29	36%	-0.35	-41.2	3.24%	0	-1.8	34	0
19	Feb_24_2009	17.01	15.43	14.89	14.24	14.29	13.94	14.13(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-160	-11	-124	0.75	45%	-0.47	-35.7	3.22%	0	-1.5	35	0
20	Feb_23_2009	17.09	15.52	15.15	14.35	14.46	14.24	13.62(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-80	-25	-105	0.84	42%	-0.52	-38.1	3.36%	0	-2.4	39	0

21	Feb_20_2009	17.18	15.6	15.45	14.75	14.75	14.64	14.33(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-50	-16	-66	1.08	46%	-0.46	-36.2	3.4%	0	-1.9	42	0
22	Feb_19_2009	17.26	15.66	15.63	15.06	15.06	14.69	14.61(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-170	-16	-45	0.36	42%	-0.52	-31.1	3.46%	0	-1.7	41	0
23	Feb_18_2009	17.35	15.72	15.76	15.36	15.28	14.86	14.53(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-210	-21	-37	0.58	42%	-0.57	-29.5	3.6%	0	-2.1	34	0
24	Feb_17_2009	17.45	15.75	15.91	15.63	15.71	15.43	14.65(-6.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-21	-110	-21	-20	0.78	42%	-0.96	-37.3	3.59%	0	-2	43	0
25	Feb_13_2009	17.62	15.83	15.99	16.06	15.99	15.71	15.65(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-140	-13	5	0.23	48%		-32.7	3.58%	0	-0.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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