Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $14.5300 (-0.82%) ($14.3500 - $14.7400) on Wed. Feb. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $14.5300(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(82%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $15.72
5 Day Moving Average   $15.36(-5.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.76(-7.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.72(-7.57%)
To recent high   -24.8%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.63% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.79%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.06%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2009	17.35	15.72	15.76	15.36	15.28	14.86	14.53(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-210	-21	-37	0.58	42%	-0.57	-29.5	3.6%	0	-2.1	34	0
2	Feb_17_2009	17.45	15.75	15.91	15.63	15.71	15.43	14.65(-6.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-21	-110	-21	-20	0.78	42%	-0.96	-37.3	3.59%	0	-2	43	0
3	Feb_13_2009	17.62	15.83	15.91	16.06	15.99	15.71	15.65(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-9	-140	-13	5	0.23	48%	-0.62	-32.7	3.58%	0	-0.4	52	0
4	Feb_12_2009	17.73	15.83	15.91	16.25	16.26	15.99	15.85(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-110	-7	22	0.78	45%	-0.56	-46.5	3.82%	0	0	59	0
5	Feb_11_2009	17.83	15.85	15.99	16.29	16.47	16.28	16.1(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-50	-0	32	0.31	45%	-0.5	-69	3.87%	0	0.5	58	0

6	Feb_10_2009	17.92	15.89	16.03	16.22	16.37	16.54	15.9(-5.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	100	-1	36	0.45	45%	-0.61	-82.9	3.91%	0	0	53	0
7	Feb_9_2009	18.03	15.95	16.02	16.23	16.27	16.65	16.79(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	170	18	54	0.31	48%	-0.55	-81.2	3.85%	0	1.4	65	0
8	Feb_6_2009	18.13	15.99	15.9	15.92	16	16.2	16.6(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	100	14	31	0.58	48%	-0.44	-91.1	3.9%	0	0.8	52	0
9	Feb_5_2009	18.21	16.08	15.74	15.7	15.67	15.89	16.05(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	90	3	5	0.5	45%	-0.44	-79.4	3.97%	0	-0	50	0
10	Feb_4_2009	18.29	16.19	15.67	15.65	15.62	15.8	15.74(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	70	-1	-5	0.6	49%	-0.49	-71.7	4.04%	0	-0.4	49	0

11	Feb_3_2009	18.38	16.34	15.66	15.82	15.64	15.45	15.97(4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-120	-0	-6	0.59	49%	-0.54	-58.6	4.2%	0	-0.3	43	0
12	Feb_2_2009	18.48	16.47	15.56	15.79	15.82	15.43	15.25(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-170	-8	-31	0.54	47%	-0.54	-53.1	4.16%	0	-0.9	36	0
13	Jan_30_2009	18.58	16.67	15.65	15.86	15.97	15.82	15.5(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-40	-1	-38	0.47	47%	-0.54	-45.1	4.16%	0	-0.8	35	0
14	Jan_29_2009	18.68	16.85	15.7	15.76	15.93	16.22	15.81(-4.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	160	6	-61	0.3	47%	-0.53	-43.2	4.17%	0	-0.7	31	0
15	Jan_28_2009	18.78	17	15.71	15.66	15.67	16.12	16.56(4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	200	13	-84	0.39	56%	-0.48	-40.5	4.15%	0	-0.3	35	0

16	Jan_27_2009	18.87	17.09	15.73	15.48	15.36	15.65	15.83(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	110	10	-94	0.95	54%	-0.53	-41.5	4.81%	0	-0.8	28	0
17	Jan_26_2009	18.97	17.2	15.86	15.31	15.28	15.22	15.62(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-30	-1	-115	0.42	54%	-0.52	-46.5	4.81%	0	-1	26	0
18	Jan_23_2009	19.07	17.33	16.06	15.41	15.21	15.06	14.98(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-39	-110	-11	-124	0.57	52%	-0.63	-48.6	4.85%	0	-1.6	17	0
19	Jan_22_2009	19.19	17.49	16.42	15.64	15.53	15.33	15.32(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-33	-110	-5	-117	0.55	49%	-0.62	-51.2	4.84%	0	-1.5	20	0
20	Jan_21_2009	19.31	17.63	16.75	15.76	15.73	15.36	15.67(4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-170	-12	-116	0.83	47%	-0.62	-52.9	4.92%	0	-1.5	24	0

21	Jan_20_2009	19.43	17.76	17.07	16.01	15.96	15.74	14.95(-7.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-110	-18	-107	0.8	47%	-0.66	-50.4	4.93%	0	-2.2	25	0
22	Jan_16_2009	19.56	17.96	17.47	16.49	16.39	16.1	16.15(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-140	-11	-85	0.58	52%	-0.56	-45.2	4.82%	0	-1.8	34	0
23	Jan_15_2009	19.67	18.1	17.78	16.82	16.72	16.18	16.09(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-240	-21	-71	5.35	48%	-0.61	-33.9	4.88%	0	-2.2	33	0
24	Jan_14_2009	19.79	18.26	18.1	17.34	17.25	16.67	15.94(-5.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-27	-250	-21	-43	0.46	48%	-0.55	-9.4	5.07%	0	-2.8	35	0
25	Jan_13_2009	19.9	18.37	18.43	17.88	17.81	17.26	16.92(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-230	-17	-17	0.3	54%		17.8	5.02%	0	-2.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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