Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $14.9500 (-7.43%) ($14.9200 - $15.6500) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.93% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $14.9500(-7.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(82%)    EEM(80%)    VWO(78%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -2.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.465% (StdDev 4.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $3.4(-77.26%)
Resistance Level   $17.76
5 Day Moving Average   $16.01(-6.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.07(-12.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.76(-15.82%)
To recent high   -24%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 7.04% (three month std-dev: 4.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 4.34%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.76%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 10.73%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -4.46%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.88%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.42%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2009	19.43	17.76	17.07	16.01	15.96	15.74	14.95(-7.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-110	-18	-107	0.8	47%	-0.66	-50.4	4.93%	0	-2.2	25	0
2	Jan_16_2009	19.56	17.96	17.47	16.49	16.39	16.1	16.15(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-140	-11	-85	0.58	52%	-0.56	-45.2	4.82%	0	-1.8	34	0
3	Jan_15_2009	19.67	18.1	17.78	16.82	16.72	16.18	16.09(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-240	-21	-71	5.35	48%	-0.61	-33.9	4.88%	0	-2.2	33	0
4	Jan_14_2009	19.79	18.26	18.1	17.34	17.25	16.67	15.94(-5.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-27	-250	-21	-43	0.46	48%	-0.55	-9.4	5.07%	0	-2.8	35	0
5	Jan_13_2009	19.9	18.37	18.43	17.88	17.81	17.26	16.92(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-230	-17	-17	0.3	54%	-0.5	17.8	5.02%	0	-2.3	42	0

6	Jan_12_2009	20	18.41	18.59	18.28	18.24	17.83	17.36(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-10	-160	-13	-0	0.3	54%	-0.55	53.3	5.34%	0	-1.9	45	0
7	Jan_9_2009	20.11	18.43	18.68	18.58	18.58	18.36	17.77(-5.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-6	-80	-10	8	0.68	52%	-0.45	85	5.34%	0	-1.2	42	0
8	Jan_8_2009	20.2	18.42	18.73	18.89	18.77	18.66	18.73(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-60	-4	17	0.5	51%	-0.44	106.8	5.36%	0	0.5	46	0
9	Jan_7_2009	20.29	18.34	18.65	18.99	18.91	18.8	18.63(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-50	-3	15	0.68	50%	-0.39	112.3	5.37%	0	0.5	42	0
10	Jan_6_2009	20.37	18.26	18.59	19.06	18.98	18.89	18.91(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-50	1	19	0.47	49%	-0.44	115.6	5.4%	0	0.9	62	0

11	Jan_5_2009	20.46	18.12	18.5	18.94	18.97	19.01	18.85(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	20	3	19	0.79	49%	-0.44	102	5.44%	0	1	65	0
12	Jan_2_2009	20.55	17.98	18.47	18.78	18.87	19.07	19.33(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	90	7	22	0.37	47%	-0.77	77.4	5.44%	0	1.6	71	0
13	Dec_31_2008	20.71	17.83	18.42	18.55	18.61	18.93	19.22(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	130	10	24	0.83	47%	-0.43	60.8	5.47%	0	1.4	70	0
14	Dec_30_2008	20.8	17.67	18.39	18.28	18.25	18.68	18.97(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	160	9	27	0.37	48%	-0.48	50.8	5.46%	0	1.3	73	0
15	Dec_29_2008	20.9	17.49	18.28	18.07	18.04	18.28	18.32(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	90	6	24	1.08	46%	-0.48	42	5.46%	0	0.8	69	0

16	Dec_26_2008	21	17.41	18.21	18.01	17.92	17.82	18.07(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-50	-2	28	0.21	46%	-0.9	51.8	5.58%	0	0.6	75	0
17	Dec_24_2008	21.19	17.34	18.16	18.12	17.96	17.79	18.15(1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-90	-7	39	0.38	46%	-0.56	63.5	5.55%	0	0.8	77	0
18	Dec_23_2008	21.31	17.27	18.09	18.27	18.27	18.01	17.88(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-100	-7	53	0.44	46%	-0.47	71.1	5.54%	0	0.6	69	0
19	Dec_22_2008	21.41	17.19	18.01	18.53	18.47	18.12	17.91(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-140	-4	70	0.5	46%	-0.51	79.9	5.54%	0	0.7	71	0
20	Dec_19_2008	21.52	17.06	17.92	18.51	18.62	18.54	18.05(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-10	0	84	0.68	47%	-0.55	68.2	5.55%	0	0.9	78	0

21	Dec_18_2008	21.64	16.88	17.74	18.41	18.49	18.83	18.6(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	140	8	82	0.57	48%	-0.46	45.2	5.61%	0	1.4	64	0
22	Dec_17_2008	21.74	16.71	17.48	18.18	18.11	18.7	18.93(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	220	13	72	0.71	48%	-0.5	36.5	5.63%	0	1.9	64	0
23	Dec_16_2008	21.85	16.57	17.21	17.87	17.78	18.16	19.16(7.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	130	16	62	1.27	48%	-0.41	29.3	5.63%	0	2.4	66	0
24	Dec_15_2008	21.94	16.42	16.88	17.43	17.47	17.52	17.83(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	30	6	41	0.7	45%	-0.54	13.2	5.55%	0	1.6	62	0
25	Dec_12_2008	22.06	16.35	16.63	17.25	17.28	17.41	17.53(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	60	7	36	0.59	46%		0.8	5.55%	0	1.4	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.