Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $24.8200 (3.5%) ($24.1200 - $25.2000) on Thu. Sep. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $24.8200(3.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.73(-32.59%)
Resistance Level   $26.01
5 Day Moving Average   $24.77(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.03(-0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.01(-4.58%)
To recent high   -22.8%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.31% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.51%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.95%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 8.24%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.49%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2008	29.78	26.01	25.03	24.77	24.45	24.38	24.82(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-60	-1	-189	4.61	29%	-0.3	-55.9	1.38%	0	-1.1	27	NAN
2	Sep_17_2008	29.87	26.12	25.15	24.83	24.64	24.19	23.98(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-80	-150	-31	-227	1.28	24%	-0.27	-58.9	1.29%	0	-1.9	23	NAN
3	Sep_16_2008	29.95	26.28	25.47	25.06	24.82	24.51	24.53(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-120	-36	-209	1.9	25%	-0.3	-65.5	1.27%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
4	Sep_15_2008	30.04	26.42	25.73	25.18	25.06	25.09	24.82(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-10	-17	-185	1.38	25%	-0.27	-74.4	1.28%	0	-1.8	31	NAN
5	Sep_12_2008	30.12	26.55	25.99	25.37	25.22	25.13	25.68(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-39	-40	3	-166	1.11	27%	-0.23	-80.9	1.23%	0	-1	32	NAN

6	Sep_11_2008	30.19	26.65	26.16	25.34	25.32	25.04	25.16(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-80	-27	-181	1.32	22%	-0.26	-88.4	1.2%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
7	Sep_10_2008	30.27	26.79	26.36	25.52	25.5	25.3	25.11(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-78	-60	-47	-171	1.15	21%	-0.26	-95.7	1.21%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
8	Sep_9_2008	30.35	26.95	26.56	25.95	25.78	25.61	25.12(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-63	-70	-41	-127	1.17	21%	-0.26	-93.6	1.22%	0	-2.4	31	NAN
9	Sep_8_2008	30.43	27.11	26.75	26.37	26.24	25.7	25.77(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-160	-41	-93	1.61	22%	-0.23	-89	1.2%	0	-1.9	33	NAN
10	Sep_5_2008	30.5	27.26	26.91	26.7	26.62	25.95	25.56(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-72	-190	-71	-74	1.29	24%	-0.23	-78.7	1.21%	0	-2.5	28	NAN

11	Sep_4_2008	30.57	27.42	27.09	27.1	27.12	26.78	26.06(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-37	-90	-40	-29	1.07	25%	-0.23	-70	1.23%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
12	Sep_3_2008	30.64	27.59	27.2	27.31	27.41	27.29	27.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-20	-3	-6	0.48	28%	-0.13	-58.5	1.12%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
13	Sep_2_2008	30.68	27.68	27.2	27.26	27.39	27.45	27.22(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	30	4	-33	0.38	27%	-0.16	-53.8	1.12%	0	-0.6	31	NAN
14	Aug_29_2008	30.73	27.75	27.17	27.19	27.28	27.54	27.4(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	80	15	-58	0.44	27%	-0.16	-56.2	1.12%	0	-0.4	31	NAN
15	Aug_28_2008	30.78	27.81	27.17	27.16	27.16	27.33	27.55(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	40	20	-81	0.94	27%	-0.16	-56.4	1.12%	0	-0.3	30	NAN

16	Aug_27_2008	30.83	27.89	27.16	27.09	27.1	27.02	27.14(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-20	3	-120	0.16	24%	-0.16	-55.4	1.1%	0	-0.9	19	NAN
17	Aug_26_2008	30.88	27.99	27.22	27.09	27.09	26.99	26.97(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-20	-9	-155	0.62	24%	-0.19	-58.8	1.1%	0	-1.2	12	NAN
18	Aug_25_2008	30.94	28.09	27.34	27.07	27.11	27.17	26.87(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-46	20	-4	-172	0.32	24%	-0.16	-63.7	1.1%	0	-1.4	12	NAN
19	Aug_22_2008	30.99	28.19	27.49	27.13	27.08	27.19	27.29(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	20	5	-169	0.41	24%	-0.16	-69.4	1.1%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
20	Aug_21_2008	31.04	28.28	27.62	27.15	27.09	27.04	27.18(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-20	-5	-174	0.8	24%	-0.16	-72.4	1.11%	0	-1.4	28	NAN

21	Aug_20_2008	31.09	28.38	27.78	27.25	27.16	26.97	27.04(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-60	-22	-180	0.98	24%	-0.19	-71.3	1.11%	0	-1.7	22	NAN
22	Aug_19_2008	31.15	28.51	28	27.4	27.33	27.14	26.97(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-67	-60	-33	-168	1.1	24%	-0.13	-63.7	1.11%	0	-2	21	NAN
23	Aug_18_2008	31.19	28.65	28.23	27.66	27.55	27.36	27.18(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-60	-29	-140	0.46	24%	-0.13	-52	1.11%	0	-2.1	25	NAN
24	Aug_15_2008	31.23	28.77	28.38	27.91	27.79	27.51	27.38(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-80	-34	-117	0.65	28%	-0.13	-41.2	1.14%	0	-2.2	35	NAN
25	Aug_14_2008	31.27	28.88	28.53	28.16	28.07	27.75	27.66(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-90	-33	-100	0.71	28%		-28.9	1.15%	0	-2.3	32	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.