Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.0600 (-4.37%) ($25.9000 - $26.7500) on Thu. Sep. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $26.0600(-4.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $27.42
5 Day Moving Average   $27.1(-3.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.09(-3.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.42(-4.96%)
To recent high   -21.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.63%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.51%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.86%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2008	30.57	27.42	27.09	27.1	27.12	26.78	26.06(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-37	-90	-40	-29	1.07	25%	-0.23	-70	1.23%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
2	Sep_3_2008	30.64	27.59	27.2	27.31	27.41	27.29	27.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-20	-3	-6	0.48	28%	-0.13	-58.5	1.12%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
3	Sep_2_2008	30.68	27.68	27.2	27.26	27.39	27.45	27.22(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	30	4	-33	0.38	27%	-0.16	-53.8	1.12%	0	-0.6	31	NAN
4	Aug_29_2008	30.73	27.75	27.17	27.19	27.28	27.54	27.4(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	80	15	-58	0.44	27%	-0.16	-56.2	1.12%	0	-0.4	31	NAN
5	Aug_28_2008	30.78	27.81	27.17	27.16	27.16	27.33	27.55(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	40	20	-81	0.94	27%	-0.16	-56.4	1.12%	0	-0.3	30	NAN

6	Aug_27_2008	30.83	27.89	27.16	27.09	27.1	27.02	27.14(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-20	3	-120	0.16	24%	-0.16	-55.4	1.1%	0	-0.9	19	NAN
7	Aug_26_2008	30.88	27.99	27.22	27.09	27.09	26.99	26.97(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-20	-9	-155	0.62	24%	-0.19	-58.8	1.1%	0	-1.2	12	NAN
8	Aug_25_2008	30.94	28.09	27.34	27.07	27.11	27.17	26.87(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-46	20	-4	-172	0.32	24%	-0.16	-63.7	1.1%	0	-1.4	12	NAN
9	Aug_22_2008	30.99	28.19	27.49	27.13	27.08	27.19	27.29(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	20	5	-169	0.41	24%	-0.16	-69.4	1.1%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
10	Aug_21_2008	31.04	28.28	27.62	27.15	27.09	27.04	27.18(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-20	-5	-174	0.8	24%	-0.16	-72.4	1.11%	0	-1.4	28	NAN

11	Aug_20_2008	31.09	28.38	27.78	27.25	27.16	26.97	27.04(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-60	-22	-180	0.98	24%	-0.19	-71.3	1.11%	0	-1.7	22	NAN
12	Aug_19_2008	31.15	28.51	28	27.4	27.33	27.14	26.97(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-67	-60	-33	-168	1.1	24%	-0.13	-63.7	1.11%	0	-2	21	NAN
13	Aug_18_2008	31.19	28.65	28.23	27.66	27.55	27.36	27.18(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-60	-29	-140	0.46	24%	-0.13	-52	1.11%	0	-2.1	25	NAN
14	Aug_15_2008	31.23	28.77	28.38	27.91	27.79	27.51	27.38(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-80	-34	-117	0.65	28%	-0.13	-41.2	1.14%	0	-2.2	35	NAN
15	Aug_14_2008	31.27	28.88	28.53	28.16	28.07	27.75	27.66(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-90	-33	-100	0.71	28%	-0.13	-28.9	1.15%	0	-2.3	32	NAN

16	Aug_13_2008	31.31	28.96	28.68	28.39	28.25	28.08	27.83(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-60	-39	-77	2.16	28%	-0.1	-18.9	1.15%	0	-2.5	38	NAN
17	Aug_12_2008	31.34	29.01	28.83	28.69	28.54	28.39	28.26(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-50	-18	-47	0.82	29%	-0.1	-4.8	1.14%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
18	Aug_11_2008	31.37	29.02	28.91	28.88	28.75	28.42	28.4(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-90	-19	-37	0.59	29%	-0.1	-0.7	1.15%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
19	Aug_8_2008	31.4	29.02	28.95	28.93	28.91	28.69	28.63(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-60	-20	-48	1.19	29%	-0.03	-2.2	1.15%	0	-1	39	NAN
20	Aug_7_2008	31.41	29.03	29.01	28.95	28.99	29.07	28.84(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	20	-7	-44	0.31	28%	-0.03	-4.6	1.16%	0	-0.5	43	NAN

21	Aug_6_2008	31.42	29.05	29.02	29.02	28.98	29.14	29.32(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	30	11	-36	2.39	29%	-0.06	0.8	1.15%	0	0.7	52	NAN
22	Aug_5_2008	31.44	29.03	29.05	29	28.98	28.9	29.23(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-20	6	-25	1.73	29%	-0.03	-3.9	1.15%	0	0.5	58	NAN
23	Aug_4_2008	31.45	29.02	29.08	28.96	29	28.81	28.61(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-40	-16	-15	1.2	25%	-0.06	-11	1.12%	0	-1.1	58	NAN
24	Aug_1_2008	31.47	29.04	29.18	28.98	29	29.1	28.75(-1.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-6	20	-10	6	1.79	25%	-0.06	-18.5	1.12%	0	-0.8	55	NAN
25	Jul_31_2008	31.49	29.05	29.24	29.07	29.05	29.2	29.18(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	30	13	37	2.03	26%		-19.4	1.12%	0	0.4	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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