Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $29.2300 (2.17%) ($29.0200 - $29.2500) on Tue. Aug. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $29.2300(2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $29(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.05(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.03(0.69%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2008	31.44	29.03	29.05	29		28.9	29.23(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-20	6	-25	1.73	29%	-0.03	-3.9	1.15%	0	0.5	58	NAN
2	Aug_4_2008	31.45	29.02	29.08	28.96	29	28.81	28.61(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-40	-16	-15	1.2	25%	-0.06	-11	1.12%	0	-1.1	58	NAN
3	Aug_1_2008	31.47	29.04	29.18	28.98	29	29.1	28.75(-1.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-6	20	-10	6	1.79	25%	-0.06	-18.5	1.12%	0	-0.8	55	NAN
4	Jul_31_2008	31.49	29.05	29.24	29.07	29.05	29.2	29.18(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	30	13	37	2.03	26%	-0.06	-19.4	1.12%	0	0.4	59	NAN
5	Jul_30_2008	31.51	29.05	29.25	29.02	29.02	29	29.21(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-0	-1	30	0.49	26%	-0.06	-37.9	1.14%	0	0.5	52	NAN

6	Jul_29_2008	31.53	29.04	29.2	29.11	29.03	28.9	29.07(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-40	-19	26	0.66	26%	-0.03	-53.2	1.14%	0	0.1	51	NAN
7	Jul_28_2008	31.54	29.06	29.13	29.23	29.25	29.04	28.7(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-8	-50	-19	26	0.9	23%	-0.03	-64.6	1.13%	0	-1	46	NAN
8	Jul_25_2008	31.55	29.1	29.12	29.4	29.39	29.16	29.18(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-60	-19	39	0.73	24%	-0.06	-68.7	1.11%	0	0.2	54	NAN
9	Jul_24_2008	31.57	29.12	29.07	29.44	29.51	29.46	28.96(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-0	-10	42	1.72	24%	-0.06	-94	1.11%	0	-0.4	50	NAN
10	Jul_23_2008	31.59	29.18	29.08	29.49	29.53	29.61	29.65(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	31	20	20	62	0.37	26%	-0.03	-92.4	1.08%	0	1	62	NAN

11	Jul_22_2008	31.6	29.24	29.01	29.29	29.37	29.55	29.65(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	50	30	41	0.75	26%	-0.03	-88.3	1.09%	0	0.7	55	NAN
12	Jul_21_2008	31.61	29.3	28.94	29.01	29.1	29.44	29.56(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	90	33	6	0.93	26%	-0.06	-88	1.09%	0	0.4	49	NAN
13	Jul_18_2008	31.63	29.37	28.87	28.81	28.76	29.19	29.39(0.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	100	35	-26	1.24	26%	-0.06	-86.6	1.09%	0	0	43	NAN
14	Jul_17_2008	31.65	29.49	28.83	28.65	28.61	28.75	29.2(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	30	24	-57	1.03	26%	-0.09	-71.7	1.11%	0	-0.3	40	NAN
15	Jul_16_2008	31.68	29.61	28.8	28.63	28.49	28.32	28.65(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-60	-15	-99	2.06	29%	-0.09	-64.1	1.08%	0	-0.8	19	NAN

16	Jul_15_2008	31.71	29.78	28.86	28.7	28.63	28.47	28.25(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-50	-23	-120	1.34	26%	-0.13	-58.6	1.14%	0	-1.3	5	NAN
17	Jul_14_2008	31.75	29.95	28.98	28.86	28.84	28.65	28.56(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-50	-12	-130	1.08	26%	-0.06	-56.9	1.13%	0	-1.1	5	NAN
18	Jul_11_2008	31.77	30.11	29.08	28.94	28.89	28.79	28.61(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-30	-17	-150	1.21	24%	-0.06	-58.7	1.14%	0	-1.2	5	NAN
19	Jul_10_2008	31.79	30.24	29.18	29.01	28.98	29.03	29.06(0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-43	10	2	-177	0.87	25%	-0.09	-66.2	1.14%	0	-1	4	NAN
20	Jul_9_2008	31.82	30.36	29.29	29	29.01	28.98	29.02(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-52	-10	-1	-206	0.71	25%	-0.06	-72.5	1.14%	0	-1.1	12	NAN

21	Jul_8_2008	31.84	30.5	29.48	29.05	29.05	28.92	29.04(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-65	-30	-12	-224	1.05	25%	-0.09	-76	1.14%	0	-1.2	12	NAN
22	Jul_7_2008	31.87	30.67	29.68	29.13	29.11	29.05	28.95(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-71	-20	-17	-233	1.49	25%	-0.03	-75.8	1.14%	0	-1.4	15	NAN
23	Jul_3_2008	31.88	30.85	29.9	29.26	29.24	29.18	28.99(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-64	-20	-10	-227	1.22	25%	-0.06	-75.2	1.14%	0	-1.5	20	NAN
24	Jul_2_2008	31.9	31.05	30.2	29.38	29.37	29.16	29(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-74	-50	-28	-213	1.87	25%	-0.06	-76.5	1.14%	0	-1.7	28	NAN
25	Jul_1_2008	31.92	31.24	30.48	29.63	29.63	29.31	29.26(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	-80	-40	-192	1.35	32%		-79	1.13%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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