Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $29.2000 (1.92%) ($28.9000 - $29.2300) on Thu. Jul. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $29.2000(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.41(-23.25%)
Resistance Level   $29.49
5 Day Moving Average   $28.65(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.83(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.49(-0.98%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.46% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.11%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.19%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.74%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2008	31.65	29.49	28.83	28.65	28.61	28.75	29.2(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	30	24	-57	1.03	26%	-0.09	-71.7	1.11%	0	-0.3	40	0
2	Jul_16_2008	31.68	29.61	28.8	28.63	28.49	28.32	28.65(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-60	-15	-99	2.06	29%	-0.09	-64.1	1.08%	0	-0.8	19	0
3	Jul_15_2008	31.71	29.78	28.86	28.7	28.63	28.47	28.25(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-50	-23	-120	1.34	26%	-0.13	-58.6	1.14%	0	-1.3	5	0
4	Jul_14_2008	31.75	29.95	28.98	28.86	28.84	28.65	28.56(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-50	-12	-130	1.08	26%	-0.06	-56.9	1.13%	0	-1.1	5	0
5	Jul_11_2008	31.77	30.11	29.08	28.94	28.89	28.79	28.61(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-30	-17	-150	1.21	24%	-0.06	-58.7	1.14%	0	-1.2	5	0

6	Jul_10_2008	31.79	30.24	29.18	29.01	28.98	29.03	29.06(0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-43	10	2	-177	0.87	25%	-0.09	-66.2	1.14%	0	-1	4	0
7	Jul_9_2008	31.82	30.36	29.29	29	29.01	28.98	29.02(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-52	-10	-1	-206	0.71	25%	-0.06	-72.5	1.14%	0	-1.1	12	0
8	Jul_8_2008	31.84	30.5	29.48	29.05	29.05	28.92	29.04(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-65	-30	-12	-224	1.05	25%	-0.09	-76	1.14%	0	-1.2	12	0
9	Jul_7_2008	31.87	30.67	29.68	29.13	29.11	29.05	28.95(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-71	-20	-17	-233	1.49	25%	-0.03	-75.8	1.14%	0	-1.4	15	0
10	Jul_3_2008	31.88	30.85	29.9	29.26	29.24	29.18	28.99(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-64	-20	-10	-227	1.22	25%	-0.06	-75.2	1.14%	0	-1.5	20	0

11	Jul_2_2008	31.9	31.05	30.2	29.38	29.37	29.16	29(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-74	-50	-28	-213	1.87	25%	-0.06	-76.5	1.14%	0	-1.7	28	0
12	Jul_1_2008	31.92	31.24	30.48	29.63	29.63	29.31	29.26(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	-80	-40	-192	1.35	32%	0	-79	1.13%	0	-1.8	28	0
13	Jun_30_2008	31.92	31.42	30.76	29.98	29.91	29.58	29.44(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-80	-44	-157	0.97	32%	-0.03	-78	1.17%	0	-1.9	26	0
14	Jun_27_2008	31.93	31.6	31.01	30.32	30.25	29.96	29.62(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-63	-70	-39	-136	0.54	32%	0	-73.9	1.17%	0	-1.9	23	0
15	Jun_26_2008	31.93	31.8	31.22	30.63	30.64	30.23	29.6(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-67	-90	-48	-124	2.19	32%	0	-72.1	1.17%	0	-2.2	25	0

16	Jun_25_2008	31.93	31.99	31.41	31.14	30.9	30.55	30.23(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-66	-100	-51	-111	2.12	34%	0	-65.8	1.15%	0	-2	23	0
17	Jun_24_2008	31.93	32.16	31.53	31.46	31.34	31.05	31.01(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-80	-28	-97	1.29	45%	0	-63.2	1.1%	0	-1.4	36	0
18	Jun_23_2008	31.93	32.28	31.62	31.67	31.56	31.26	31.16(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-80	-29	-87	1.14	45%	-0.03	-63.3	1.18%	0	-1.4	35	0
19	Jun_20_2008	31.94	32.39	31.75	31.8	31.8	31.63	31.17(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-40	-17	-80	1.15	45%	0	-65.6	1.18%	0	-1.6	33	0
20	Jun_19_2008	31.94	32.52	31.87	31.89	31.9	31.87	32.15(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10	8	-84	0.85	45%	0.06	-61.7	1.12%	0	-0.5	35	0

21	Jun_18_2008	31.92	32.59	31.96	31.71	31.78	31.98	31.81(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	50	11	-98	1.85	50%	0	-65.3	1.18%	0	-1	34	0
22	Jun_17_2008	31.92	32.69	32.03	31.61	31.66	31.92	32.04(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	60	19	-113	1.39	47%	0.06	-63.7	1.22%	0	-0.8	34	0
23	Jun_16_2008	31.9	32.79	32.1	31.58	31.52	31.57	31.84(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	10	-1	-132	0.92	47%	0.06	-58.8	1.24%	0	-1.1	33	0
24	Jun_13_2008	31.88	32.91	32.21	31.71	31.57	31.4	31.61(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-50	-17	-132	0.65	44%	0.03	-48.3	1.27%	0	-1.5	31	0
25	Jun_12_2008	31.87	33.01	32.4	31.87	31.83	31.47	31.25(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-61	-80	-37	-134	3.12	44%		-43.8	1.26%	0	-2.1	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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