Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 24, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.0100 (-0.48%) ($30.6800 - $31.1500) on Tue. Jun. 24, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $31.0100(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.7(-13.9%)
Resistance Level   $32.16
5 Day Moving Average   $31.46(-1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.53(-1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.16(-3.58%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.76%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.12%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -6.55%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.64%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2008	31.93	32.16	31.53	31.46	31.34	31.05	31.01(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-80	-28	-97	1.29	45%	0	-63.2	1.1%	0	-1.4	36	0
2	Jun_23_2008	31.93	32.28	31.62	31.67	31.56	31.26	31.16(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-80	-29	-87	1.14	45%	-0.03	-63.3	1.18%	0	-1.4	35	0
3	Jun_20_2008	31.94	32.39	31.75	31.8	31.8	31.63	31.17(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-40	-17	-80	1.15	45%	0	-65.6	1.18%	0	-1.6	33	0
4	Jun_19_2008	31.94	32.52	31.87	31.89	31.9	31.87	32.15(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10	8	-84	0.85	45%	0.06	-61.7	1.12%	0	-0.5	35	0
5	Jun_18_2008	31.92	32.59	31.96	31.71	31.78	31.98	31.81(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	50	11	-98	1.85	50%	0	-65.3	1.18%	0	-1	34	0

6	Jun_17_2008	31.92	32.69	32.03	31.61	31.66	31.92	32.04(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	60	19	-113	1.39	47%	0.06	-63.7	1.22%	0	-0.8	34	0
7	Jun_16_2008	31.9	32.79	32.1	31.58	31.52	31.57	31.84(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	10	-1	-132	0.92	47%	0.06	-58.8	1.24%	0	-1.1	33	0
8	Jun_13_2008	31.88	32.91	32.21	31.71	31.57	31.4	31.61(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-50	-17	-132	0.65	44%	0.03	-48.3	1.27%	0	-1.5	31	0
9	Jun_12_2008	31.87	33.01	32.4	31.87	31.83	31.47	31.25(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-61	-80	-37	-134	3.12	44%	0.03	-43.8	1.26%	0	-2.1	23	0
10	Jun_11_2008	31.86	33.12	32.62	32.25	32.13	31.74	31.33(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-57	-100	-39	-109	4.45	49%	0.03	-34.6	1.26%	0	-2.5	29	0

11	Jun_10_2008	31.85	33.22	32.84	32.5	32.47	32.2	31.89(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-60	-25	-88	2.31	52%	0	-31.4	1.3%	0	-2.3	29	0
12	Jun_9_2008	31.85	33.31	33	32.68	32.63	32.53	32.49(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-30	-16	-81	3.35	54%	0.03	-25.9	1.29%	0	-1.7	31	0
13	Jun_6_2008	31.84	33.34	33.09	32.79	32.72	32.53	32.38(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-0	-14	-84	3.86	54%	0	-21	1.3%	0	-2.1	29	0
14	Jun_5_2008	31.84	33.38	33.24	33.02	32.84	32.74	33.16(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-40	-3	-61	2.43	58%	0	-9.2	1.27%	0	-0.6	46	0
15	Jun_4_2008	31.84	33.37	33.27	33.05	32.98	32.69	32.59(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-70	-23	-64	3.96	56%	-0.03	-4.8	1.26%	0	-1.9	45	0

16	Jun_3_2008	31.85	33.41	33.41	33.24	33.16	32.93	32.79(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-28	-60	-23	-41	9.4	56%	-0.06	17.5	1.27%	0	-1.6	47	0
17	Jun_2_2008	31.87	33.41	33.54	33.36	33.31	33.27	33.02(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10	-9	-18	1.9	56%	-0.03	31.5	1.27%	0	-1.1	47	0
18	May_30_2008	31.88	33.43	33.54	33.42	33.37	33.38	33.53(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-0	-3	5	0.37	59%	-0.03	38	1.26%	0	0.3	59	0
19	May_29_2008	31.89	33.42	33.54	33.49	33.38	33.38	33.34(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10	-5	15	1.2	54%	-0.06	47.7	1.27%	0	-0.2	56	0
20	May_28_2008	31.91	33.39	33.66	33.53	33.5	33.36	33.52(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-30	-7	22	0.4	54%	0	45	1.32%	0	0.3	61	0

21	May_27_2008	31.91	33.34	33.63	33.61	33.56	33.4	33.39(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-40	-19	23	1.35	54%	-0.13	46.5	1.32%	0	0.1	52	0
22	May_23_2008	31.95	33.32	33.64	33.75	33.73	33.64	33.34(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-20	-14	39	2.53	56%	-0.06	54.5	1.33%	0	0	53	0
23	May_22_2008	31.97	33.3	33.62	33.92	33.87	33.72	33.85(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-40	-3	58	0.57	59%	-0.06	64.5	1.32%	0	1.2	63	0
24	May_21_2008	31.99	33.24	33.54	33.86	33.95	33.81	33.54(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-20	-4	54	1.31	59%	0.06	66.7	1.32%	0	0.7	56	0
25	May_20_2008	31.97	33.21	33.47	33.8	33.89	34.03	33.91(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	40	8	57	0.82	59%		64.7	1.32%	0	1.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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