Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 9, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $32.1900 (-0.49%) ($32.0800 - $32.3700) on Wed. Apr. 9, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $32.1900(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.31(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.05(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.39(2.55%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(75%) Average negative next day return: -2.62%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.48%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.62%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.23%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.12%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080509

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2008	32.66	31.39	32.05		32.32	32.24	32.19(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-20	-3	85	0.85	43%	-0.06	55.7	1.83%	0	1	89	0
2	Apr_8_2008	32.68	31.32	31.96	32.31	32.27	32.39	32.35(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	20	0	93	1.35	43%	-0.06	59.8	1.83%	0	1.3	68	0
3	Apr_7_2008	32.7	31.2	31.83	32.3	32.26	32.4	32.48(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	30	16	112	0.93	43%	-0.06	53.2	1.83%	0	1.6	76	0
4	Apr_4_2008	32.72	31.09	31.68	32.11	32.12	32.15	32.31(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	10	11	105	1.82	41%	-0.06	45.4	1.83%	0	1.6	66	0
5	Apr_3_2008	32.74	31	31.45	31.91	31.91	32.11	32.2(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	40	9	82	3.06	41%	-0.12	34.5	1.84%	0	1.6	57	0

6	Apr_2_2008	32.78	30.93	31.22	31.74	31.75	32.08	32.23(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	70	19	67	4.84	41%	-0.09	22.1	1.84%	0	1.9	59	0
7	Apr_1_2008	32.81	30.84	31.07	31.55	31.59	31.72	32.29(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	30	21	56	4.37	41%	-0.09	6.2	1.84%	0	2.4	60	0
8	Mar_31_2008	32.84	30.77	30.84	31.3	31.38	31.41	31.51(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	10	5	37	1.12	39%	-0.12	-9.3	1.82%	0	1.5	63	0
9	Mar_28_2008	32.88	30.74	30.74	31.19	31.25	31.46	31.32(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	50	17	39	6.34	39%	-0.15	-16.3	1.82%	0	1.2	59	0
10	Mar_27_2008	32.93	30.76	30.71	30.91	30.99	31.35	31.36(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	90	26	31	0.72	39%	-0.12	-21.9	1.83%	0	1.2	54	0

11	Mar_26_2008	32.97	30.78	30.67	30.61	30.55	31.04	31.25(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	110	18	10	0.55	39%	-0.15	-26.6	1.83%	0	0.8	52	0
12	Mar_25_2008	33.02	30.81	30.62	30.52	30.32	30.63	31.06(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	50	25	12	0.81	39%	-0.12	-24.5	1.83%	0	0.4	54	0
13	Mar_24_2008	33.06	30.81	30.51	30.31	30.23	30.06	30.95(3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-50	6	-19	1.92	39%	-0.24	-30.9	1.84%	0	0.2	49	0
14	Mar_20_2008	33.14	30.82	30.44	30.24	30.1	30	29.95(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-40	-25	-44	2.52	38%	-0.18	-34.3	1.8%	0	-1.4	42	0
15	Mar_19_2008	33.2	30.87	30.52	30.48	30.37	30.41	29.86(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-0	-5	-32	2.01	38%	-0.21	-26.7	1.8%	0	-1.7	36	0

16	Mar_18_2008	33.27	30.94	30.63	30.71	30.52	30.2	30.8(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-90	-7	-32	7.75	42%	-0.15	-12.9	1.77%	0	-0.3	38	0
17	Mar_17_2008	33.32	30.96	30.61	30.74	30.64	30.33	29.99(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-80	-18	-49	2.61	37%	-0.18	-0.6	1.74%	0	-1.7	34	0
18	Mar_14_2008	33.38	31.01	30.72	30.73	30.88	30.83	30.58(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	0	1	-46	2.7	36%	-0.15	7.9	1.75%	0	-0.8	44	0
19	Mar_13_2008	33.43	31.01	30.76	30.67	30.72	30.96	31.19(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	60	6	-48	1.26	38%	-0.12	13.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	0
20	Mar_12_2008	33.47	31.03	30.8	30.57	30.61	30.94	31.01(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	80	14	-43	1.49	41%	-0.12	18.6	1.76%	0	-0	52	0

21	Mar_11_2008	33.51	31.01	30.9	30.56	30.56	30.49	30.93(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-20	8	-37	3.73	39%	-0.09	25.6	1.79%	0	-0.2	48	0
22	Mar_10_2008	33.54	31.01	30.99	30.48	30.6	30.27	29.94(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-60	-20	-49	2.9	35%	-0.15	7.7	1.75%	0	-1.8	37	0
23	Mar_7_2008	33.59	30.97	31.13	30.7	30.68	30.62	30.26(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-20	-16	-30	2.37	35%	-0.15	5.3	1.76%	0	-1.2	47	0
24	Mar_6_2008	33.64	30.96	31.22	30.84	30.83	30.92	30.72(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	20	-4	-16	2.25	35%	-0.15	1.5	1.75%	0	-0.4	50	0
25	Mar_5_2008	33.69	30.94	31.25	31.07	30.87	30.73	30.93(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-50	-13	-8	3.34	35%		5.3	1.76%	0	-0	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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