Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $29.9500 (0.3%) ($29.5200 - $30.0500) on Thu. Mar. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $29.9500(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.67(-10.95%)
Resistance Level   $30.82
5 Day Moving Average   $30.24(-0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.44(-1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.82(-2.82%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.12%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.17%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2008	33.14	30.82	30.44	30.24	30.1	30	29.95(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-40	-25	-44	2.52	38%	-0.18	-34.3	1.8%	0	-1.4	42	0
2	Mar_19_2008	33.2	30.87	30.52	30.48	30.37	30.41	29.86(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-0	-5	-32	2.01	38%	-0.21	-26.7	1.8%	0	-1.7	36	0
3	Mar_18_2008	33.27	30.94	30.63	30.71	30.52	30.2	30.8(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-90	-7	-32	7.75	42%	-0.15	-12.9	1.77%	0	-0.3	38	0
4	Mar_17_2008	33.32	30.96	30.61	30.74	30.64	30.33	29.99(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-80	-18	-49	2.61	37%	-0.18	-0.6	1.74%	0	-1.7	34	0
5	Mar_14_2008	33.38	31.01	30.72	30.73	30.88	30.83	30.58(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	0	1	-46	2.7	36%	-0.15	7.9	1.75%	0	-0.8	44	0

6	Mar_13_2008	33.43	31.01	30.76	30.67	30.72	30.96	31.19(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	60	6	-48	1.26	38%	-0.12	13.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	0
7	Mar_12_2008	33.47	31.03	30.8	30.57	30.61	30.94	31.01(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	80	14	-43	1.49	41%	-0.12	18.6	1.76%	0	-0	52	0
8	Mar_11_2008	33.51	31.01	30.9	30.56	30.56	30.49	30.93(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-20	8	-37	3.73	39%	-0.09	25.6	1.79%	0	-0.2	48	0
9	Mar_10_2008	33.54	31.01	30.99	30.48	30.6	30.27	29.94(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-60	-20	-49	2.9	35%	-0.15	7.7	1.75%	0	-1.8	37	0
10	Mar_7_2008	33.59	30.97	31.13	30.7	30.68	30.62	30.26(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-20	-16	-30	2.37	35%	-0.15	5.3	1.76%	0	-1.2	47	0

11	Mar_6_2008	33.64	30.96	31.22	30.84	30.83	30.92	30.72(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	20	-4	-16	2.25	35%	-0.15	1.5	1.75%	0	-0.4	50	0
12	Mar_5_2008	33.69	30.94	31.25	31.07	30.87	30.73	30.93(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-50	-13	-8	3.34	35%	-0.12	5.3	1.76%	0	-0	49	0
13	Mar_4_2008	33.73	30.88	31.28	31.31	31.09	30.74	30.56(-1.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-15	-100	-23	8	2.91	35%	-0.15	6.8	1.75%	0	-0.5	51	0
14	Mar_3_2008	33.78	30.93	31.36	31.58	31.44	31.01	31.03(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-110	-18	41	2.01	35%	-0.12	21.5	1.74%	0	0.1	65	0
15	Feb_29_2008	33.82	30.94	31.36	31.58	31.62	31.45	30.98(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-40	-12	59	2.49	35%	-0.15	33.2	1.73%	0	0.1	65	0

16	Feb_28_2008	33.87	30.95	31.35	31.63	31.63	31.87	31.84(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	50	13	82	2.8	41%	-0.09	37.6	1.7%	0	1.3	74	0
17	Feb_27_2008	33.9	30.9	31.28	31.44	31.4	31.8	32.15(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	90	22	85	3.06	41%	-0.09	40.6	1.75%	0	1.9	74	0
18	Feb_26_2008	33.93	30.84	31.12	31.26	31.2	31.39	31.88(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	40	19	83	2.38	39%	-0.09	42.4	1.75%	0	1.7	75	0
19	Feb_25_2008	33.96	30.78	30.93	31.14	31.03	31	31.3(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-20	2	55	1.09	37%	-0.12	29.1	1.75%	0	0.9	47	0
20	Feb_22_2008	34	30.71	30.78	31.04	31.1	31.02	30.99(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10	0	32	1.31	37%	-0.12	5.4	1.75%	0	0.5	44	0

21	Feb_21_2008	34.04	30.69	30.68	31.02	31.05	31.06	30.9(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	-5	16	1.5	37%	-0.12	-13.2	1.76%	0	0.4	47	0
22	Feb_20_2008	34.08	30.63	30.6	31.07	31.02	31.19	31.21(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	30	8	16	3.72	40%	-0.12	-40.2	1.76%	0	1	52	0
23	Feb_19_2008	34.12	30.58	30.6	30.96	31.04	31.04	31.28(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	10	18	1	2.17	38%	-0.12	-79.1	1.8%	0	1.2	52	0
24	Feb_15_2008	34.16	30.62	30.45	30.69	30.86	30.85	30.81(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	10	6	-15	1.11	37%	-0.12	-93.7	1.79%	0	0.3	50	0
25	Feb_14_2008	34.2	30.68	30.5	30.48	30.65	31.04	30.9(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	110	17	-9	1.34	37%		-102	1.82%	0	0.3	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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