Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 4, 2007

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $35.5800 (0.25%) ($35.4700 - $35.6300) on Tue. Dec. 4, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $35.5800(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    JNK(0%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.58(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.09(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.09(1.4%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2007	33.61	35.09	35.09	35.58	35.58	35.54	35.58(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10	4	61	1.21	52%	0.03	-0.6	1.36%	0	0.8	50	0
2	Dec_3_2007	33.6	35.07	34.93	35.39	35.52	35.69	35.49(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	40	20	45	1.1	52%	0.03	-15.3	1.36%	0	0.7	55	0
3	Nov_30_2007	33.59	35.09	34.84	35.12	35.26	35.62	35.61(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	80	23	17	0.78	55%	0.03	-24	1.38%	0	0.9	49	0
4	Nov_29_2007	33.58	35.06	34.72	34.97	34.93	35.35	35.54(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	21	80	31	-8	0.7	57%	0.03	-32.7	1.38%	0	0.8	46	0
5	Nov_28_2007	33.57	35.06	34.67	34.73	34.75	34.89	35.68(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	12	30	25	-28	1.29	55%	0.09	-31.9	1.41%	0	0.9	50	0

6	Nov_27_2007	33.54	35.09	34.63	34.55	34.54	34.51	34.61(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10	1	-56	1.61	50%	0	-33.5	1.38%	0	-0.8	42	0
7	Nov_26_2007	33.54	35.16	34.64	34.41	34.58	34.61	34.18(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	20	-1	-72	1.68	50%	0	-27.1	1.39%	0	-1.5	43	0
8	Nov_23_2007	33.54	35.23	34.78	34.51	34.48	34.57	34.82(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	20	5	-70	0.8	54%	0.03	-18.2	1.38%	0	-0.7	42	0
9	Nov_21_2007	33.53	35.26	34.88	34.42	34.46	34.55	34.37(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	20	-3	-72	1.54	57%	0.03	-22.9	1.39%	0	-1.5	46	0
10	Nov_20_2007	33.52	35.29	34.99	34.61	34.49	34.39	34.77(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-30	-9	-73	1.35	57%	0.03	-16.5	1.38%	0	-0.9	41	0

11	Nov_19_2007	33.51	35.3	35.08	34.74	34.7	34.37	33.92(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-70	-21	-72	1.29	54%	0.03	-10.6	1.35%	0	-2.3	40	0
12	Nov_16_2007	33.5	35.3	35.23	34.9	34.99	34.59	34.66(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-70	-27	-73	4.97	57%	0.06	-10.9	1.33%	0	-1.2	42	0
13	Nov_15_2007	33.48	35.34	35.36	35.09	35.1	35.02	34.39(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-40	-20	-34	-59	2.38	54%	0.03	-7.3	1.33%	0	-1.8	44	0
14	Nov_14_2007	33.47	35.34	35.46	35.39	35.42	35.39	35.29(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-0	5	-24	0.57	57%	0.09	10.3	1.32%	0	-0.2	51	0
15	Nov_13_2007	33.44	35.39	35.55	35.42	35.5	35.18	35.42(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-60	-15	-15	1.04	57%	0.09	13.8	1.33%	0	0.1	54	0

16	Nov_12_2007	33.41	35.37	35.59	35.49	35.56	35.45	34.76(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-20	-22	-3	1.51	55%	0.06	15.8	1.31%	0	-1.2	52	0
17	Nov_9_2007	33.39	35.4	35.59	35.6	35.7	35.82	35.58(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	30	6	37	1.87	54%	0.09	27.2	1.28%	0	0.4	62	0
18	Nov_8_2007	33.36	35.38	35.72	35.68	35.55	35.68	35.91(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	10	10	55	2.89	54%	0.09	34.6	1.33%	0	1.1	61	0
19	Nov_7_2007	33.33	35.34	35.66	35.54	35.52	35.59	35.45(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	10	-0	42	0.97	54%	0.06	33.1	1.32%	0	0.2	51	0
20	Nov_6_2007	33.31	35.32	35.62	35.7	35.49	35.43	35.75(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-30	-4	51	0.41	57%	0.06	46.6	1.32%	0	0.9	54	0

21	Nov_5_2007	33.29	35.29	35.54	35.71	35.61	35.45	35.3(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-40	-12	48	0.64	57%	0.06	49.6	1.35%	0	0	54	0
22	Nov_2_2007	33.27	35.27	35.46	35.85	35.76	35.54	36(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-50	-7	51	1.43	57%	0.12	56.4	1.35%	0	1.6	56	0
23	Nov_1_2007	33.23	35.22	35.32	35.77	35.83	35.77	35.18(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10	-9	38	1.14	55%	0.09	59.4	1.32%	0	-0.1	49	0
24	Oct_31_2007	33.2	35.19	35.33	35.79	35.85	35.97	36.28(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	30	21	56	0.79	60%	0.15	60.4	1.26%	0	2.3	61	0
25	Oct_30_2007	33.15	35.11	35.22	35.53	35.62	35.88	35.8(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	60	20	40	0.34	62%		58.8	1.25%	0	1.7	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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