Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.5000 (-0.16%) ($31.4100 - $31.6200) on Thu. May. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $31.5000(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.49(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.34(0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.94(1.81%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.97%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2007	28.25	30.94	31.34	31.49	31.53	31.52	31.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	0	0	52	0.92	58%	0.14	105.1	1.11%	0	1	72	0
2	May_2_2007	28.21	30.84	31.27	31.47	31.5	31.56	31.55(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	20	5	59	0.86	58%	0.18	104	1.12%	0	1.2	77	0
3	May_1_2007	28.16	30.74	31.22	31.43	31.46	31.53	31.6(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	20	14	78	1.02	59%	0.18	102.4	1.12%	0	1.3	81	0
4	Apr_30_2007	28.11	30.62	31.16	31.3	31.38	31.43	31.4(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	20	12	81	0.58	60%	0.18	93.4	1.11%	0	1.1	74	0
5	Apr_27_2007	28.06	30.5	31.12	31.21	31.23	31.38	31.42(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	40	6	91	0.78	60%	0.18	83.7	1.11%	0	1.2	77	0

6	Apr_26_2007	28.01	30.37	31.04	31.16	31.21	31.33	31.36(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	30	19	101	0.64	60%	0.14	78.9	1.12%	0	1.2	73	0
7	Apr_25_2007	27.97	30.22	30.94	31.04	31.16	31.08	31.35(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10	7	99	0.49	58%	0.18	69.4	1.12%	0	1.3	77	0
8	Apr_24_2007	27.92	30.09	30.8	30.98	31.02	31.09	30.95(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	20	-8	97	0.6	57%	0.18	71.6	1.13%	0	1	76	0
9	Apr_23_2007	27.87	29.98	30.73	31	31.03	31.24	30.97(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	50	14	127	1.16	57%	0.18	75.6	1.13%	0	1.1	79	0
10	Apr_20_2007	27.82	29.86	30.62	31.02	30.98	30.94	31.15(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	-10	14	150	0.87	55%	0.18	84.4	1.13%	0	1.4	84	0

11	Apr_19_2007	27.77	29.73	30.51	30.9	30.93	30.82	30.77(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-20	-2	155	0.66	55%	0.18	90.4	1.13%	0	1.2	83	0
12	Apr_18_2007	27.72	29.62	30.39	30.81	30.87	31.02	31.05(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	40	17	177	2.68	55%	0.18	96.4	1.13%	0	1.6	91	0
13	Apr_17_2007	27.67	29.47	30.23	30.59	30.66	31.05	31.07(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	100	32	177	0.95	55%	0.18	95.7	1.13%	0	1.8	80	0
14	Apr_16_2007	27.62	29.3	30.04	30.41	30.4	30.72	31.08(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	73	70	40	172	0.8	55%	0.18	91.8	1.14%	0	2	81	0
15	Apr_13_2007	27.57	29.11	29.81	30.17	30.17	30.27	30.53(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	20	18	149	0.5	53%	0.11	85.1	1.12%	0	1.6	77	0

16	Apr_12_2007	27.54	28.94	29.64	30.06	30.03	30.09	30.3(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	10	12	142	2.15	54%	0.18	79.1	1.13%	0	1.5	77	0
17	Apr_11_2007	27.49	28.78	29.45	29.91	29.97	30.06	29.97(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	13	127	2.03	55%	0.15	72.4	1.13%	0	1.3	75	0
18	Apr_10_2007	27.45	28.63	29.32	29.81	29.83	29.98	30.15(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	40	21	135	1.08	54%	0.15	67.8	1.13%	0	1.6	84	0
19	Apr_9_2007	27.41	28.5	29.17	29.61	29.66	29.88	29.89(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	60	27	136	0.33	54%	0.22	73.4	1.14%	0	1.5	84	0
20	Apr_5_2007	27.35	28.38	29.05	29.4	29.45	29.68	30(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	60	32	142	0.83	51%	0.15	73.9	1.13%	0	1.9	88	0

21	Apr_4_2007	27.31	28.25	28.89	29.15	29.2	29.45	29.56(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	70	30	143	0.45	49%	0.15	72.8	1.14%	0	1.6	88	0
22	Apr_3_2007	27.27	28.12	28.79	28.91	29	29.22	29.44(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	60	27	146	1.35	50%	0.11	64.3	1.14%	0	1.7	88	0
23	Apr_2_2007	27.24	28	28.64	28.77	28.76	28.95	29.15(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	50	16	146	0.58	50%	0.15	56.4	1.14%	0	1.5	87	0
24	Mar_30_2007	27.2	27.86	28.5	28.67	28.67	28.79	28.83(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	30	13	139	0.61	50%	0.11	40.2	1.14%	0	1.3	66	0
25	Mar_29_2007	27.17	27.76	28.35	28.64	28.61	28.57	28.79(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10	3	132	0.27	50%		29.6	1.15%	0	1.4	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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