Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 15, 2007

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $28.4600 (0.11%) ($28.3400 - $28.5200) on Thu. Feb. 15, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $28.4600(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.05(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.93(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.56(3.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.51%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.02%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 0.97%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2007	26.18	27.56	27.93	28.05	28.07	28.38	28.46(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	53	80	33	113	0.22	62%	0.19	61.6	0.8%	0	1.8	83	0
2	Feb_14_2007	26.13	27.47	27.86	27.95	27.91	28.09	28.43(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	57	40	35	124	0.34	62%	0.15	63.4	0.8%	0	2	83	0
3	Feb_13_2007	26.09	27.39	27.77	27.84	27.79	27.77	27.97(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10	6	113	0.16	60%	0.19	69.3	0.77%	0	1.4	67	0
4	Feb_12_2007	26.04	27.34	27.71	27.84	27.79	27.74	27.65(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10	-5	114	0.39	58%	0.15	73.3	0.76%	0	0.8	66	0
5	Feb_9_2007	26	27.3	27.65	27.84	27.8	27.82	27.75(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	10	-1	123	0.51	58%	0.15	77.3	0.76%	0	1.1	72	0

6	Feb_8_2007	25.96	27.25	27.57	27.79	27.75	27.87	27.93(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	30	10	124	0.27	58%	0.15	70.8	0.76%	0	1.6	66	0
7	Feb_7_2007	25.92	27.17	27.46	27.76	27.72	27.78	27.92(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	10	19	128	0.91	58%	0.19	59.5	0.76%	0	1.7	71	0
8	Feb_6_2007	25.87	27.1	27.38	27.68	27.67	27.63	27.72(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10	8	122	0.42	61%	0.15	55.6	0.76%	0	1.5	65	0
9	Feb_5_2007	25.83	27.04	27.31	27.61	27.6	27.65	27.62(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	10	10	108	0.39	61%	0.16	49.3	0.79%	0	1.5	60	0
10	Feb_2_2007	25.79	26.99	27.22	27.48	27.53	27.72	27.74(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	50	33	98	1.45	61%	0.16	38.3	0.79%	0	2	64	0

11	Feb_1_2007	25.75	26.95	27.15	27.31	27.34	27.56	27.78(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	60	41	87	0.51	61%	0.16	34.9	0.79%	0	2.4	69	0
12	Jan_31_2007	25.71	26.91	27.05	27.12	27.12	27.33	27.56(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	50	24	61	0.73	60%	0.16	35.6	0.79%	0	2.3	70	0
13	Jan_30_2007	25.67	26.88	26.97	27.04	27.03	27.12	27.35(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	20	23	56	0.55	60%	0.2	36	0.78%	0	2	61	0
14	Jan_29_2007	25.62	26.88	26.94	26.96	27.03	26.91	26.98(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-20	2	51	0.57	57%	0.16	32.9	0.77%	0	0.6	58	0
15	Jan_26_2007	25.58	26.85	26.93	26.93	26.98	26.93	26.86(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-12	47	0.35	59%	0.12	19.5	0.77%	0	0	55	0

16	Jan_25_2007	25.55	26.83	26.9	26.97	27	27.05	26.84(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	20	3	50	0.38	59%	0.16	14.6	0.78%	0	0	46	0
17	Jan_24_2007	25.51	26.82	26.86	26.95	26.99	27.03	27.15(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	10	12	31	0.44	62%	0.12	-1.2	0.77%	0	1.5	48	0
18	Jan_23_2007	25.48	26.79	26.81	26.9	26.93	27.03	26.99(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	10	1	11	0.23	62%	0.08	-19.2	0.77%	0	1	51	0
19	Jan_22_2007	25.46	26.78	26.76	26.91	26.93	26.95	26.79(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	2	10	2	3	0.3	62%	0.12	-28.2	0.76%	0	0	48	0
20	Jan_19_2007	25.43	26.78	26.75	26.92	26.89	26.9	27.1(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-0	15	4	0.42	65%	0.12	-19.8	0.75%	0	1.3	53	0

21	Jan_18_2007	25.4	26.8	26.74	26.82	26.86	26.84	26.73(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	4	-0	7	-4	0.58	63%	0.12	-30.5	0.73%	0	-0.3	54	0
22	Jan_17_2007	25.37	26.82	26.74	26.75	26.79	26.84	26.88(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	30	10	5	0.44	63%	0.16	-31.7	0.73%	0	0.3	60	0
23	Jan_16_2007	25.33	26.83	26.77	26.7	26.67	26.89	27.03(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	50	27	8	0.36	63%	0.2	-26.9	0.73%	0	0.8	55	0
24	Jan_12_2007	25.28	26.84	26.76	26.6	26.6	26.69	26.88(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	20	25	-6	0.43	65%	0.16	-26.8	0.73%	0	0.2	52	0
25	Jan_11_2007	25.24	26.85	26.75	26.55	26.51	26.46	26.6(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-20	-20	-44	0.9	63%		-26	0.73%	0	-0.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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