Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.8800 (0.39%) ($25.7500 - $25.9000) on Mon. Nov. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $25.8800(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.69(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.43(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.12(3.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.49%(30%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -2.96%(20%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.55%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2006	23.6	25.12	25.43	25.69	25.69	25.79	25.88(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	30	20	126	0.37	79%	0.17	76	0.73%	0	1.7	79	0
2	Nov_10_2006	23.56	25.05	25.34	25.59	25.63	25.69	25.78(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	20	29	122	0.25	79%	0.17	76.2	0.74%	0	1.7	78	0
3	Nov_9_2006	23.52	24.98	25.27	25.42	25.52	25.6	25.6(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	30	19	99	0.38	79%	0.13	73.1	0.74%	0	1.6	76	0
4	Nov_8_2006	23.49	24.92	25.22	25.31	25.36	25.58	25.61(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	44	70	24	103	0.37	79%	0.17	66.2	0.74%	0	1.8	79	0
5	Nov_7_2006	23.45	24.85	25.15	25.22	25.23	25.44	25.56(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	60	32	107	0.82	79%	0.17	59.1	0.74%	0	1.9	81	0

6	Nov_6_2006	23.41	24.79	25.07	25.14	25.14	25.15	25.4(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	40	0	19	102	1.1	79%	0.17	58.2	0.74%	0	1.7	80	0
7	Nov_3_2006	23.37	24.73	25	25.06	25.14	25.02	24.93(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-20	-11	89	2.8	76%	0.17	58.6	0.71%	0	0.6	65	0
8	Nov_2_2006	23.33	24.69	24.99	25.09	25.1	25.13	25.07(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	10	-6	109	0.76	76%	0.17	63.4	0.7%	0	1.2	72	0
9	Nov_1_2006	23.29	24.66	24.94	25.11	25.12	25.17	25.13(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	20	13	123	0.62	76%	0.17	74.6	0.71%	0	1.5	69	0
10	Oct_31_2006	23.25	24.63	24.86	25.07	25.11	25.06	25.16(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10	11	119	0.28	76%	0.17	82.5	0.73%	0	1.7	76	0

11	Oct_30_2006	23.21	24.58	24.78	24.99	25.05	25.07	25.03(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	10	4	104	0.2	76%	0.17	82	0.73%	0	1.5	70	0
12	Oct_27_2006	23.17	24.54	24.73	24.93	24.98	25.15	25.06(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	50	19	103	0.32	80%	0.13	81.1	0.77%	0	1.7	71	0
13	Oct_26_2006	23.14	24.49	24.66	24.86	24.87	25.03	25.19(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	51	50	33	104	0.42	80%	0.13	82.2	0.77%	0	2.4	78	0
14	Oct_25_2006	23.11	24.43	24.59	24.73	24.74	24.81	24.92(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	20	20	81	0.54	78%	0.09	85.3	0.76%	0	2	61	0
15	Oct_24_2006	23.09	24.38	24.52	24.63	24.66	24.72	24.75(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	20	16	51	0.3	81%	0.09	80.6	0.76%	0	1.5	53	0

16	Oct_23_2006	23.07	24.34	24.48	24.54	24.58	24.68	24.73(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	30	13	37	0.73	81%	0.09	79.8	0.8%	0	1.6	63	0
17	Oct_20_2006	23.05	24.3	24.43	24.5	24.48	24.6	24.72(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	30	15	36	0.19	81%	0.04	75.7	0.81%	0	1.7	65	0
18	Oct_19_2006	23.04	24.25	24.38	24.44	24.42	24.49	24.55(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	20	10	29	0.31	84%	0.09	74.7	0.81%	0	1.3	64	0
19	Oct_18_2006	23.02	24.22	24.37	24.43	24.38	24.36	24.39(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10	3	34	0.33	84%	0.04	76.8	0.89%	0	0.7	59	0
20	Oct_17_2006	23.01	24.19	24.38	24.4	24.39	24.35	24.33(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10	-2	42	0.2	78%	0.09	64.7	0.89%	0	0.5	61	0

21	Oct_16_2006	22.99	24.15	24.37	24.39	24.37	24.41	24.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	10	5	50	0.58	78%	0.04	60	0.91%	0	1.2	67	0
22	Oct_13_2006	22.98	24.11	24.33	24.35	24.32	24.42	24.42(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	30	10	52	0.18	70%	0.04	63.3	0.92%	0	1.1	66	0
23	Oct_12_2006	22.97	24.07	24.3	24.31	24.28	24.33	24.53(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	10	8	49	0.45	65%	0.09	66.7	0.96%	0	1.6	73	0
24	Oct_11_2006	22.95	24.03	24.25	24.3	24.23	24.23	24.22(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-8	48	0.85	63%	0.04	80.4	0.97%	0	0.7	64	0
25	Oct_10_2006	22.94	24.01	24.23	24.37	24.29	24.24	24.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-20	2	66	0.61	63%		88.9	0.98%	0	1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.